Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$197
$449 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,184
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 08:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $21 | $133 | $113 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $6 | $45 | $39 |
| Median | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| Below median | 8 | $9 | $14 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $5 | $13 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $29 | $29 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | +58 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb69b…368e | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | +19 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 12:29 |
| Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:16 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xec21…30bf | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 19:58 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-09 15:39 |
| Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:38 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c75…d40b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:51 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-10 02:20 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:01 |
| Right-Strawman 0x7b6b…0c4c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:08 |
| Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:52 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:29 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +1 | $-2 | $14 | 10 | 05-10 06:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:38:41 | Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xadbabc… |
| 05-10 08:33:49 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 13 | 71¢ | $9 | 0x052549… |
| 05-10 08:33:43 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x7a646d… |
| 05-10 08:33:42 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xba576d… |
| 05-10 08:29:38 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xdc497a… |
| 05-10 08:16:43 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x3b69b6… |
| 05-10 08:11:30 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x1c1c0c… |
| 05-10 07:52:27 | Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x44a1b3… |
| 05-10 07:22:25 | Tricky-Friction 0x7df0…3b5d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x2acfab… |
| 05-10 06:43:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x9d5f06… |
| 05-10 06:43:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x919a74… |
| 05-10 06:27:17 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xfb15c9… |
| 05-10 06:18:06 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xb9dfe3… |
| 05-10 06:12:54 | Monumental-Literate 0x5407…dbc0 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xf2e4e9… |
| 05-10 06:06:12 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x1c86f4… |
| 05-10 06:03:20 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xf173de… |
| 05-10 06:01:48 | Monumental-Literate 0x5407…dbc0 | No | SELL | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x012d30… |
| 05-10 06:01:44 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x4063d7… |
| 05-10 04:16:30 | Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x660d50… |
| 05-10 03:02:08 | Monumental-Literate 0x5407…dbc0 | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xbdb782… |
| 05-10 02:48:55 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x9c418b… |
| 05-10 02:35:23 | Original-Beret 0x2231…3ed6 | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $0 | 0xbc4bfb… |
| 05-10 02:21:39 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe5bd7e… |
| 05-10 02:20:09 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x68fe66… |
| 05-10 02:20:02 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x6804fd… |
| 05-10 02:06:36 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x0b0a86… |
| 05-10 02:03:35 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd12bf0… |
| 05-10 02:00:35 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xfa1438… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x76abca… |
| 05-10 01:51:34 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x5cbbb3… |
| 05-10 01:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x4c75…d40b | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x4818a6… |
| 05-10 01:48:34 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x03486d… |
| 05-10 01:05:36 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x260acb… |
| 05-10 01:05:35 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x286882… |
| 05-10 01:05:35 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x5ae442… |
| 05-10 01:05:33 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 58 | 76¢ | $44 | 0xdba0c3… |
| 05-09 21:44:21 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x8c230a… |
| 05-09 19:58:27 | (anonymous) 0xec21…30bf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xd1a1f0… |
| 05-09 15:39:08 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x3a5bf2… |
| 05-09 14:18:22 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x0ddb6b… |
| 05-09 12:29:07 | (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | BUY | 19 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xc507e7… |
| 05-09 12:22:52 | (anonymous) 0xb69b…368e | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xc3e237… |
| 05-09 12:08:42 | Right-Strawman 0x7b6b…0c4c | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5c1c6d… |