Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or below on May 12?
open
Total volume
$341
$2,607 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$5,419
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 10:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $2 | $339 | $337 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $247 | $247 |
| Median | 10 | — | $51 | $51 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $32 | $32 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | No | +247 | $247 | $247 | 3 | 05-10 08:59 |
| Nice-Maestro 0x7c39…cf4a | Yes | +160 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:03 |
| Overdue-Railway 0x213e…c874 | Yes | +105 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-10 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f51…8b09 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-10 08:59 |
| Overdue-Unique 0xf7e8…a35d | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-10 08:59 |
| Heavenly-Infancy 0xb8b9…bae7 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd70…1d06 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 08:59 |
| Impeccable-Circadian 0x8984…da38 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:53 |
| Double-Dose 0x098e…9209 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:38 |
| Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:59 |
| White-Coinsurance 0x4f9e…9aa0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 08:59 |
| Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 08:59 |
| Overdue-Railway 0x213e…c874 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf403…d522 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 08:59 |
| Dutiful-Secretion 0x4948…70ee | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 07:20 |
| Another-Album 0x20ff…8e08 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 02:40 |
| Definite-Motor 0xd78c…cdb0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 10:32 |
| Acidic-Gamebird 0xb76c…2b13 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 06:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 10:32:51 | Definite-Motor 0xd78c…cdb0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6f0fb4… |
| 05-11 07:20:06 | Dutiful-Secretion 0x4948…70ee | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x5f3859… |
| 05-11 06:49:07 | Acidic-Gamebird 0xb76c…2b13 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbc1291… |
| 05-11 02:40:34 | Another-Album 0x20ff…8e08 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x5e05e2… |
| 05-10 13:56:03 | Overdue-Railway 0x213e…c874 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa852a… |
| 05-10 09:03:21 | Nice-Maestro 0x7c39…cf4a | Yes | BUY | 160 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb25bdd… |
| 05-10 08:59:18 | Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xdf6342… |
| 05-10 08:59:15 | Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xda2ad8… |
| 05-10 08:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xdd70…1d06 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xdd74d0… |
| 05-10 08:59:02 | Overdue-Railway 0x213e…c874 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2f437f… |
| 05-10 08:59:02 | Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | No | BUY | 106 | 100¢ | $106 | 0xf4d81f… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | No | BUY | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0x5ff98d… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | White-Coinsurance 0x4f9e…9aa0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4ccc9b… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | No | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0xe7c22d… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x8f51…8b09 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xb3a30e… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | Overdue-Unique 0xf7e8…a35d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x638aeb… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | White-Coinsurance 0x4f9e…9aa0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd4be97… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | Heavenly-Infancy 0xb8b9…bae7 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2405df… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | Overdue-Unique 0xf7e8…a35d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4a5aad… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xf403…d522 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xb3dac5… |
| 05-10 08:59:01 | Overdue-Railway 0x213e…c874 | Yes | BUY | 204 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaa3d36… |
| 05-10 07:38:29 | Double-Dose 0x098e…9209 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc73f52… |
| 05-10 04:53:41 | Impeccable-Circadian 0x8984…da38 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xca2c3e… |