Overdue-Railway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,076

lifetime

Volume

$8.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-10 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

58% — —

Other

33% — —

Politics

8% 33% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 277 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	16	$120	144	0	+144	open	—	03-21 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	1	$112	243	0	+243	open	—	04-27 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?	4	$102	180	0	+180	open	—	04-26 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3PM ET	2	$101	52	51	+0	open	—	04-26 20:07
highest temperature in madrid on march 23 2026 14corbelow	3	$92	47	47	+0	open	—	03-23 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	5	$80	144	0	+144	open	—	04-26 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on April 27?	3	$78	290	0	+290	open	—	04-27 13:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	168	$76	196	146	+50	open	—	04-01 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	10	$70	121	0	+121	open	—	04-28 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	11	$70	969	0	+969	open	—	04-28 08:22
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	35	$64	80	3	+78	open	—	03-20 15:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$64	41	41	+0	open	—	04-26 18:50
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on April 26?	33	$61	62	0	+62	open	—	04-25 06:04
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?	8	$60	103	4	+100	open	—	04-27 06:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 24	49	$60	91	35	+56	open	—	03-24 14:30
btc updown 15m 1775056500	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	04-01 15:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 19	50	$58	102	23	+80	open	—	03-19 15:55
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 11am et	1	$57	57	0	+57	open	—	04-01 15:58
btc updown 15m 1775066400	1	$56	56	0	+56	open	—	04-01 18:14
bitcoin up or down on march 19 2026	16	$54	96	21	+75	open	—	03-19 07:16
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	37	$51	83	47	+36	open	—	03-19 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	04-25 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8PM ET	1	$50	66	0	+66	open	—	04-25 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ET	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	04-26 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-27 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11PM ET	1	$50	66	0	+66	open	—	04-27 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-25 04:57
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	116	$48	64	56	+8	open	—	03-29 22:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$48	66	17	+49	open	—	04-07 20:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$48	74	53	+21	open	—	04-07 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 13:55:35	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)	Aalesunds FK	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0xe302d7…
05-10 09:12:31	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)	SK Brann	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x45f32d…
05-06 06:02:28	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)	SK Brann	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xba1b6d…
05-06 06:02:28	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)	SK Brann	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x6c4759…
04-29 12:38:36	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)	Aalesunds FK	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x773898…
04-29 12:38:34	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)	Rosenborg BK	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd8214…
04-29 12:38:34	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)	Aalesunds FK	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x26db28…
04-28 08:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x35bf6c…
04-28 08:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x89756c…
04-28 08:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xc1e7ff…
04-28 08:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x4f9ed1…
04-28 08:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0xc3cc4e…
04-28 08:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x879f29…
04-28 08:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x7302af…
04-28 08:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$2	0x689ee1…
04-28 08:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x02d3bb…
04-28 08:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x37cfa0…
04-28 08:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x17c87f…
04-28 07:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9aac5c…
04-28 07:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x20276c…
04-28 07:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x64a99f…
04-28 07:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x6a6b77…
04-28 07:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x7be0d3…
04-28 07:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x75184d…
04-28 07:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x008382…
04-28 07:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x49239c…
04-28 07:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x30a11e…
04-28 07:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x45f222…
04-28 07:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xdc603c…
04-27 13:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	214	1¢	$2	0x0184bb…
04-27 13:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7effe5…
04-27 13:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$73	0x797463…
04-27 09:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x9a1da5…
04-27 08:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x259938…
04-27 07:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	243	46¢	$112	0x4c9f52…
04-27 07:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	215	15¢	$33	0xc89858…
04-27 06:19:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xef8b5e…
04-27 06:19:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 27?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf3d59b…
04-27 06:19:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 27?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x40c52e…
04-27 06:12:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x04376a…
04-27 06:12:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?	Yes	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0x86b7c0…
04-27 06:11:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$16	0x6b9113…
04-27 06:11:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x07f31e…
04-27 06:11:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb6a40f…
04-27 03:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x08bc15…
04-27 01:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3d0086…
04-26 21:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x2f0e51…
04-26 21:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x74c6c2…
04-26 21:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x65936a…
04-26 21:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d695e…
04-26 21:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa02155…
04-26 21:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xa54c88…
04-26 21:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?	No	BUY	79	3¢	$2	0xf724d2…
04-26 20:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	61	83¢	$50	0xebee52…
04-26 20:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	219	17¢	$37	0xb53fe8…
04-26 20:14:08	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xd4c1bf…
04-26 20:13:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x6a5a95…
04-26 20:13:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xf17ea8…
04-26 20:13:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xafb360…
04-26 20:13:20	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x369506…
04-26 20:12:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xbd3c80…
04-26 20:12:40	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)	SK Brann	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6b05ea…
04-26 20:12:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xf9bc29…
04-26 20:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x0ac622…
04-26 20:11:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0x4680f3…
04-26 20:08:24	Spread: IK Start (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x021563…
04-26 20:07:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x2cdcad…
04-26 20:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x1c3b64…
04-26 20:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad4d71…
04-26 20:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xd8e754…
04-26 19:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x380f79…
04-26 18:56:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C or below on April 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa92aa3…
04-26 18:56:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x3c3ab6…
04-26 18:56:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x4d4cec…
04-26 18:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe7de39…
04-26 18:55:32	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1bacb8…
04-26 18:55:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xfefe97…
04-26 18:54:48	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1e05e3…
04-26 18:54:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x1493ab…
04-26 18:53:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xefd203…
04-26 18:53:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0200a4…
04-26 18:52:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd1db02…
04-26 18:52:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x4de2ee…
04-26 18:52:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xf402f0…
04-26 18:52:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x127e5c…
04-26 18:51:48	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x433ffd…
04-26 18:51:28	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$6	0x1979df…
04-26 18:51:18	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xea38d3…
04-26 18:51:10	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfa5416…
04-26 18:50:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x8b25fb…
04-26 18:50:48	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x74aeba…
04-26 18:50:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x4c4b54…
04-26 18:50:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xe9808d…
04-26 18:50:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x2c4316…
04-26 18:49:06	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xaa5c4d…
04-26 18:48:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x6b60af…
04-26 18:48:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf1b53d…
04-26 18:48:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0xb81222…
04-26 18:47:48	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf5762c…
04-26 08:36:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x659aa5…