Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$374
$589 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$243
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $233 | $17 | +$216 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $8 | $7 | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 16 | $221 | $1 | +$220 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | Yes | +133 | $132 | $132 | 1 | 05-05 19:45 |
| Kooky-Delay 0x50be…6b67 | No | +83 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xc423…2ccd | Yes | +61 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-05 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | +59 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 05-05 09:55 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 06:55 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 12:06 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 06:55 |
| Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-05 09:25 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 06:20 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 11:00 |
| Graceful-Doctor-Hellcat 0x1802…9b20 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 08:41 |
| Extraneous-Nest 0xad9d…9dcf | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c4a…b3e8 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 22:19 |
| Awful-Prescription 0x87bd…9712 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:55 |
| Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb4e…d019 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xf585…9063 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 13:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 20:14:54 | Aggravating-Jumbo 0xdcd2…87c9 | Yes | SELL | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0x37c1c9… |
| 05-05 19:57:30 | Robust-Pitcher 0x49db…ed50 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe3b997… |
| 05-05 19:45:02 | Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 100¢ | $132 | 0x565b0e… |
| 05-05 19:33:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | SELL | 170 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d88de… |
| 05-05 18:47:04 | Frightened-Outfielder 0x5c75…627b | No | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf80ef7… |
| 05-05 18:09:56 | Irritating-Childhood 0xe026…aef4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x43965c… |
| 05-05 17:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x80fe…ddd5 | No | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f253c… |
| 05-05 14:24:44 | Kooky-Delay 0x50be…6b67 | No | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5ea5a3… |
| 05-05 13:05:30 | (anonymous) 0xf585…9063 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd29736… |
| 05-05 13:05:28 | (anonymous) 0xbb4e…d019 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x40994a… |
| 05-05 12:26:52 | Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xeb9693… |
| 05-05 12:06:52 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xd158e7… |
| 05-05 11:00:10 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x9de792… |
| 05-05 09:55:22 | Awful-Prescription 0x87bd…9712 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x4ebb29… |
| 05-05 09:55:22 | Extraneous-Nest 0xad9d…9dcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x8c7a56… |
| 05-05 09:55:18 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 70¢ | $20 | 0x9fa36b… |
| 05-05 09:30:22 | (anonymous) 0xc423…2ccd | Yes | BUY | 61 | 66¢ | $40 | 0x00fd18… |
| 05-05 09:25:14 | Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xe22721… |
| 05-05 09:10:22 | Severe-Intentionality 0xc4f9…8d24 | No | SELL | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xcd5c69… |
| 05-05 08:55:20 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x3b2816… |
| 05-05 08:41:14 | Graceful-Doctor-Hellcat 0x1802…9b20 | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x7c5e57… |
| 05-05 08:41:06 | Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 59¢ | $2 | 0x01e966… |
| 05-05 06:55:08 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xb1a767… |
| 05-05 06:55:08 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x977baa… |
| 05-05 06:20:04 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x0981b0… |
| 05-04 22:19:42 | Open-Origin 0x1c61…3d1b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x64faa1… |
| 05-04 22:19:16 | (anonymous) 0x7c4a…b3e8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xfe1d9b… |
| 05-04 21:54:56 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xd51223… |