Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on May 5?
open
Total volume
$281
$513 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$218
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $5 | $146 | $141 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 11 | $2 | $115 | $112 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-05 19:27 |
| Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 05-05 19:28 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-05 13:05 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 06:55 |
| Bustling-Bidder 0x98f8…67c0 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-05 17:32 |
| Starchy-Obsidian 0xf6b5…4768 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 04:35 |
| Visible-Making 0x422a…c395 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 11:11 |
| Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 9 | 05-05 19:28 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 06:20 |
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 11:15 |
| Frail-Savior 0xcd35…360b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 13:26 |
| Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 19:27 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x22b2…4b13 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 22:04 |
| Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 11:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:28:12 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf9e448… |
| 05-05 19:28:12 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x545ed6… |
| 05-05 19:28:12 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf1e7fa… |
| 05-05 19:28:12 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc386a1… |
| 05-05 19:28:12 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd901c5… |
| 05-05 19:28:12 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1c6871… |
| 05-05 19:28:02 | Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde5ae3… |
| 05-05 19:28:02 | Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91a12c… |
| 05-05 19:28:02 | Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf41c93… |
| 05-05 19:28:02 | Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1fb053… |
| 05-05 19:28:02 | Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfbb299… |
| 05-05 19:28:00 | Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe284c2… |
| 05-05 19:27:44 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4b11eb… |
| 05-05 19:27:44 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe6c322… |
| 05-05 19:27:44 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9b3683… |
| 05-05 19:27:38 | Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb466f2… |
| 05-05 19:27:38 | Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x81aa9c… |
| 05-05 17:32:50 | Bustling-Bidder 0x98f8…67c0 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4495a2… |
| 05-05 17:32:36 | Bustling-Bidder 0x98f8…67c0 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x87d6a9… |
| 05-05 14:05:24 | Well-Off-Dame 0x5ab7…e715 | No | SELL | 105 | 99¢ | $105 | 0x88ff9c… |
| 05-05 13:26:54 | Frail-Savior 0xcd35…360b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc03f54… |
| 05-05 13:05:28 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x85d4b6… |
| 05-05 11:15:16 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x82ba02… |
| 05-05 11:11:42 | Visible-Making 0x422a…c395 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x0b5c15… |
| 05-05 11:05:28 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x0679f6… |
| 05-05 09:25:16 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0xc3b0d4… |
| 05-05 07:30:16 | Revolving-Snowboarding 0xd802…d766 | No | SELL | 23 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x7945ec… |
| 05-05 07:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x7969…9fec | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x25cfc4… |
| 05-05 06:55:08 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x6672a9… |
| 05-05 06:20:04 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x9f0ee8… |
| 05-05 04:35:22 | Starchy-Obsidian 0xf6b5…4768 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x2f20d2… |
| 05-04 22:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x22b2…4b13 | No | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x3f398b… |
| 05-04 21:54:56 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xc1dbf1… |