Nice-Maestro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$530

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

1,017

Trades

5,142

lifetime

Volume

$5.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 08-17 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

86% 25% -$499

Politics

8% 17% -$51

Crypto

6% 73% +$14

Sports

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-1	-$1	88¢	$-1	$0	04-30 03:11
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	Yes	-8	$0	3¢	$-0	+$0	04-30 03:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-2	$0	6¢	$-0	+$0	04-30 03:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	39	$206	135	135	+0	Yes	+$54	07-04 17:17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	46	$119	206	206	+0	No	-$57	07-13 10:23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	33	$62	141	0	+141	Yes	+$79	06-17 15:32
highest temperature in moscow on april 15 2026 13c	8	$59	584	0	+584	No	-$3	04-15 19:09
den nor agf 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	24	$47	130	0	+130	FC Nordsjælland	-$47	04-15 19:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	12	$44	52	0	+52	Yes	+$8	07-18 17:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	11	$43	53	34	+19	Yes	-$3	06-03 21:16
highest temperature in chicago on april 14 2026 58forhigher	8	$40	67	0	+67	Yes	+$0	04-12 06:57
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 19c	7	$40	77	0	+77	Yes	-$4	04-20 18:30
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	5	$40	47	0	+47	No	+$7	05-16 21:51
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 14c	13	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	04-20 18:15
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	15	$40	78	0	+78	No	-$40	06-22 17:59
lowest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 46 47f	12	$39	46	0	+46	No	+$6	04-22 17:45
den nor agf 2026 04 23 total 1pt5	9	$39	62	0	+62	Over	-$19	04-15 07:00
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	33	$38	156	0	+156	No	-$38	06-17 15:47
lowest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 44 45f	13	$38	41	0	+41	No	+$3	04-21 07:03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	16	$36	77	77	+0	No	+$8	07-12 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 25?	11	$36	81	0	+81	No	-$1	04-25 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?	12	$36	42	0	+42	Yes	+$6	06-11 05:53
highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 62 63f	8	$34	71	0	+71	Yes	+$3	04-20 21:13
lowest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 48 49f	10	$33	39	0	+39	No	+$6	04-22 17:49
highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 34c	8	$32	132	0	+132	Yes	-$2	04-13 07:45
highest temperature in moscow on april 24 2026 4c	10	$32	39	0	+39	No	-$1	04-24 11:10
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	41	$30	267	0	+267	Yes	-$21	04-21 16:19
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 5?	4	$30	167	0	+167	No	-$1	06-05 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	10	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	04-28 07:19
lowest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 48 49f	12	$29	31	0	+31	No	+$2	04-21 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?	17	$29	67	0	+67	No	-$29	07-13 03:19
highest temperature in jakarta on april 24 2026 35c	6	$29	70	0	+70	No	-$1	04-24 07:51
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 4?	8	$28	29	0	+29	Yes	-$28	06-04 06:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 06:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xeca5e0…
08-17 06:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcb680d…
08-17 06:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf96d80…
08-17 06:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3cd9ed…
08-17 06:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6abe7f…
08-17 06:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x02dc90…
08-12 19:42:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x0beac1…
08-12 19:30:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x56fa0a…
08-09 05:23:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0x9d98b1…
08-09 04:55:36	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	0¢	$0	0x655c70…
08-08 21:38:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	325	0¢	$0	0x99838f…
08-07 20:33:27	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0xe9cd0b…
08-07 20:33:22	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	344	0¢	$0	0x5f32df…
08-07 20:33:18	Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x392d70…
08-07 20:33:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	277	0¢	$0	0xaf391a…
08-07 20:33:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	0¢	$1	0x38e77a…
08-07 20:32:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x199fc6…
08-07 20:32:48	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x028a84…
08-07 20:32:43	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x6f0a6b…
08-07 20:32:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	1¢	$1	0x2db1bf…
08-07 20:32:15	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	0¢	$1	0x73fbd1…
08-07 20:09:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	1¢	$1	0x7ddb5f…
07-26 19:52:07	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf72ed1…
07-26 19:52:04	Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x746a4f…
07-25 01:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0d7b12…
07-24 05:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb7e10b…
07-24 05:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3e3b77…
07-24 05:08:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xac28f2…
07-24 04:43:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f12d8…
07-24 04:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa95608…
07-24 04:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa3b107…
07-24 04:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x215c64…
07-24 04:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbcef86…
07-24 04:14:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xbc5557…
07-23 20:14:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb817a9…
07-23 20:08:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd6334e…
07-23 20:02:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9bc2b5…
07-23 19:22:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x601c47…
07-23 19:21:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x976e3e…
07-23 17:19:49	Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x43a04d…
07-23 17:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x439ae7…
07-23 05:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x8c5d06…
07-23 05:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x410cf7…
07-23 05:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa830e8…
07-23 05:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x28300e…
07-23 05:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xffb2f9…
07-23 05:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8b4c50…
07-23 05:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xddeadd…
07-23 05:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe69e42…
07-23 05:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe73bb7…
07-23 05:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x47d9ed…
07-23 05:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3903bc…
07-23 05:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a48cd…
07-23 05:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8beb7d…
07-23 05:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbb04ab…
07-23 05:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x173d76…
07-23 05:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa67b30…
07-23 05:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x81a43b…
07-23 05:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe019b6…
07-23 05:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xde3fec…
07-23 05:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xc6066b…
07-23 05:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe74bc6…
07-23 05:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xcf0c4f…
07-23 05:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe74b91…
07-23 05:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xabc3a6…
07-23 05:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc65b4b…
07-23 05:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xafb79a…
07-23 05:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x74d354…
07-23 05:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbfddc5…
07-23 05:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xba5ae4…
07-23 05:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x97d3f0…
07-23 05:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x527c04…
07-23 05:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd9c909…
07-23 05:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xb933f4…
07-23 05:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe9b39f…
07-23 05:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x553d7c…
07-23 05:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x7353d0…
07-23 05:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x30b075…
07-23 04:21:39	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x240483…
07-23 04:08:18	Will Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0e2885…
07-23 04:08:18	Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x04959a…
07-23 03:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfb0b10…
07-23 03:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1a5eb6…
07-23 03:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd912bd…
07-23 03:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd96302…
07-23 03:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe4fcf3…
07-23 03:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf18be8…
07-23 03:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x18fb7f…
07-23 03:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa4d6e2…
07-23 02:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x40e68d…
07-23 02:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x01f25b…
07-23 02:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x048309…
07-23 02:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9bf17b…
07-23 02:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7153c2…
07-23 01:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xacabab…
07-23 01:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x50f0a4…
07-23 01:43:34	Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xfddb8b…
07-23 01:43:10	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xee28fa…
07-23 01:26:30	Will Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8e2a7d…
07-23 01:26:25	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x2318d0…