Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$11,883
$4 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$11,264
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-17 03:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $129
vs crowd: 100% YES on $11.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $9.2K | — | +$9.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $2.7K | $1 | +$2.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $32 | $10 | +$22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $129 | — | +$129 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $6.9K | $0 | +$6.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 7 | $4.9K | $2 | +$4.9K |
| Below median | 4 | $4 | $10 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovable-Cursor 0x1182…6ec9 | No | +10,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-17 03:58 |
| Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | Yes | +6,852 | $6,845 | $6,845 | 1 | 05-17 03:58 |
| Questionable-Cornmeal 0xb934…d989 | Yes | +2,183 | $2,181 | $2,181 | 1 | 05-14 22:48 |
| Pleasing-Pattern 0x0990…f36f | No | +1,500 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 05:58 |
| Coarse-Buyer 0x4b63…1923 | Yes | +1,333 | $1,332 | $1,332 | 1 | 05-17 03:58 |
| Frank-Poster 0x9f03…3e43 | Yes | +1,320 | $1,319 | $1,319 | 1 | 05-17 03:58 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +130 | $129 | $129 | 2 | 05-11 13:13 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | +118 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-11 13:13 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 22:48 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +55 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-14 22:48 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-14 22:48 |
| Big-Hearted-Preserves 0xacd9…da6f | Yes | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 21:11 |
| Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-15 02:14 |
| Round-Trachoma 0xddd4…cda9 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 02:14 |
| Illustrious-Holder 0x195d…b32c | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 13:13 |
| Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 13:13 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 21:11 |
| Tense-Anesthesiology 0x71af…c057 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 19:23 |
| Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | No | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 19:23 |
| Bright-Pit 0x14cb…13b5 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 20:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 03:58:27 | Frank-Poster 0x9f03…3e43 | Yes | BUY | 1,320 | 100¢ | $1,319 | 0x75f661… |
| 05-17 03:58:27 | Lovable-Cursor 0x1182…6ec9 | No | BUY | 10,000 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x75f661… |
| 05-17 03:58:27 | Coarse-Buyer 0x4b63…1923 | Yes | BUY | 1,333 | 100¢ | $1,332 | 0x75f661… |
| 05-17 03:58:27 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | SELL | 495 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75f661… |
| 05-17 03:58:27 | Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | Yes | BUY | 6,852 | 100¢ | $6,845 | 0x75f661… |
| 05-15 11:37:37 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92fcb0… |
| 05-15 11:37:37 | Adorable-Curtain 0xd9e0…8659 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x92fcb0… |
| 05-15 05:58:28 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | SELL | 1,500 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x937e49… |
| 05-15 05:58:28 | Pleasing-Pattern 0x0990…f36f | No | BUY | 1,500 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x937e49… |
| 05-15 02:14:17 | Round-Trachoma 0xddd4…cda9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xca022e… |
| 05-15 02:14:17 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca022e… |
| 05-14 22:48:33 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b0f68… |
| 05-14 22:48:33 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b0f68… |
| 05-14 22:48:33 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x7b0f68… |
| 05-14 22:48:33 | Questionable-Cornmeal 0xb934…d989 | Yes | BUY | 2,183 | 100¢ | $2,181 | 0x7b0f68… |
| 05-14 22:48:33 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b0f68… |
| 05-14 22:48:33 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b0f68… |
| 05-14 20:57:20 | Bright-Pit 0x14cb…13b5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x3385ff… |
| 05-14 20:57:20 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3385ff… |
| 05-14 07:29:15 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x669e65… |
| 05-14 07:29:15 | Big-Hearted-Preserves 0xacd9…da6f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x669e65… |
| 05-13 19:23:07 | Tense-Anesthesiology 0x71af…c057 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xfdf0a6… |
| 05-13 19:23:07 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | No | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfdf0a6… |
| 05-12 21:11:15 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4fd21c… |
| 05-12 21:11:15 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4fd21c… |
| 05-12 21:11:15 | (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x4fd21c… |
| 05-12 09:34:29 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x868e7a… |
| 05-12 09:34:29 | Adorable-Curtain 0xd9e0…8659 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x868e7a… |
| 05-11 13:13:09 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x230340… |
| 05-11 13:13:09 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x230340… |
| 05-11 13:13:02 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x58fca6… |
| 05-11 13:13:02 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | BUY | 58 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58fca6… |
| 05-11 13:13:02 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x58fca6… |
| 05-11 13:13:02 | Illustrious-Holder 0x195d…b32c | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x58fca6… |
| 05-11 13:13:02 | Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x58fca6… |
| 05-10 19:43:51 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b8854… |
| 05-10 19:43:51 | Adorable-Curtain 0xd9e0…8659 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x0b8854… |