Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 11?
open
Total volume
$318
$1,719 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$1,830
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 17:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $8 | $253 | $245 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $64 | $64 |
| Median | 11 | $2 | $184 | $182 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $4 | $53 | $49 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +161 | $3 | $4 | 6 | 05-11 13:17 |
| Poor-Track 0x4e65…7a19 | No | +117 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-10 02:16 |
| Wiggly-Pack 0x7f41…b3a3 | Yes | +55 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 13:58 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +54 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 17:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-11 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 05-11 04:19 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +26 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 01:03 |
| Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-10 08:47 |
| Female-Teepee 0x28da…a414 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-11 14:26 |
| Realistic-Switch-Bunch 0xdfb1…baff | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-10 11:31 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-11 10:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xa382…44de | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 19:04 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 08:29 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d8e…4e34 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd07…7b21 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 22:16 |
| Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:09 |
| Grateful-Porpoise 0x4d8a…2d2a | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 13:22 |
| Milky-Impulse 0x1fe9…69b8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 08:59 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 00:09 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 17:49:18 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcb3bc9… |
| 05-11 14:26:10 | Female-Teepee 0x28da…a414 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x038305… |
| 05-11 13:17:41 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5de5ef… |
| 05-11 13:17:41 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x684341… |
| 05-11 10:36:28 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfb6c71… |
| 05-11 10:36:13 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3cb805… |
| 05-11 10:27:07 | Webbed-Magic 0x15d9…6b54 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x7f3733… |
| 05-11 04:19:12 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x29dee9… |
| 05-11 04:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0xe04477… |
| 05-11 04:14:25 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1ade91… |
| 05-11 04:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1a3746… |
| 05-11 04:12:30 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb38e8f… |
| 05-11 03:54:11 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd8af1b… |
| 05-11 03:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x2d8e…4e34 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa943b8… |
| 05-11 03:11:30 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x182793… |
| 05-11 03:01:06 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7e39b0… |
| 05-11 02:56:10 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x74914b… |
| 05-11 02:35:12 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbf057f… |
| 05-11 02:35:12 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcf8ccd… |
| 05-10 23:37:48 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc25621… |
| 05-10 22:16:27 | (anonymous) 0xbd07…7b21 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd24264… |
| 05-10 19:04:45 | (anonymous) 0xa382…44de | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x1e9b06… |
| 05-10 16:09:22 | Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x83c7a9… |
| 05-10 13:22:00 | Grateful-Porpoise 0x4d8a…2d2a | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xc5f085… |
| 05-10 11:31:56 | Realistic-Switch-Bunch 0xdfb1…baff | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x24c935… |
| 05-10 11:31:17 | Realistic-Switch-Bunch 0xdfb1…baff | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xe5fcdc… |
| 05-10 10:37:58 | Heartfelt-Viability 0xc1b9…7ce7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe7a9af… |
| 05-10 08:47:54 | Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa02813… |
| 05-10 08:41:50 | Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | BUY | 17 | 98¢ | $16 | 0x756d59… |
| 05-10 08:29:47 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xac2837… |
| 05-10 02:16:25 | Poor-Track 0x4e65…7a19 | No | BUY | 117 | 98¢ | $115 | 0xb100d8… |
| 05-10 01:03:13 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x325339… |
| 05-10 00:09:19 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x423ed2… |
| 05-09 13:58:16 | Wiggly-Pack 0x7f41…b3a3 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x8c245f… |
| 05-09 09:50:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2611d1… |
| 05-09 09:50:00 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xefb4c1… |
| 05-09 09:50:00 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcdaec4… |
| 05-09 08:59:38 | Milky-Impulse 0x1fe9…69b8 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0896c6… |