Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$284
$1,674 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$1,995
Latest YES mid
44¢
Latest NO mid
56¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 12:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $48 | $48 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $72 | $152 | $80 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $34 | $34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $15 | $1 | +$14 |
| Median | 9 | $6 | $70 | $64 |
| Below median | 4 | $8 | $4 | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | $85 | $80 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| unranked | 4 | $18 | $5 | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +107 | $19 | $19 | 5 | 05-08 05:22 |
| Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | +84 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-07 10:50 |
| Critical-Beanstalk 0xf626…8a12 | Yes | +36 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 08:33 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-07 11:46 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 06:55 |
| Winged-Graph 0xf0f0…640c | Yes | +23 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 11:39 |
| Tedious-Postage 0x0838…64f6 | Yes | +19 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 09:45 |
| Sparse-Burning 0xb99c…177a | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4208…1c31 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:59 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-08 04:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-08 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a48…5474 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-08 05:22 |
| Multicolored-Farming 0xc53a…625f | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 01:07 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:22 |
| Crafty-Flat 0x5337…222b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a54…c38e | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 05:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7a7…0493 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 04:59 |
| Frosty-Series 0x8f60…39c4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 05:48 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 08:10 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +3 | $2 | $18 | 2 | 05-08 11:09 |
| Complicated-Fox 0xa498…9dcf | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 00:57 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 15:06 |
| Huge-Ejector 0x1611…f0ea | No | +1 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 11:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 12:59:47 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x0c0c38… |
| 05-08 11:39:28 | Winged-Graph 0xf0f0…640c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 33¢ | $8 | 0xae9b66… |
| 05-08 11:09:31 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | SELL | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0x51cde2… |
| 05-08 11:09:31 | Huge-Ejector 0x1611…f0ea | No | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $0 | 0x6cc3f9… |
| 05-08 10:12:26 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xbeee6b… |
| 05-08 10:11:23 | Complicated-Fox 0xa498…9dcf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xb00bf3… |
| 05-08 09:45:34 | Tedious-Postage 0x0838…64f6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x0524b5… |
| 05-08 08:10:10 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xe11741… |
| 05-08 07:30:46 | Multicolored-Farming 0xc53a…625f | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0xcbf6dd… |
| 05-08 06:55:00 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x645075… |
| 05-08 05:22:50 | (anonymous) 0x7a48…5474 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x176c03… |
| 05-08 05:22:41 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0xa0fe05… |
| 05-08 05:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x7a54…c38e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xb35533… |
| 05-08 05:22:40 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x791c02… |
| 05-08 04:59:41 | (anonymous) 0x7a48…5474 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x4fae42… |
| 05-08 04:59:41 | (anonymous) 0x7a48…5474 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x46efa3… |
| 05-08 04:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x4208…1c31 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xb7c4a2… |
| 05-08 04:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x77ac00… |
| 05-08 04:59:35 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…0493 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x4f0100… |
| 05-08 04:59:34 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…0493 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x13d0d9… |
| 05-08 04:59:32 | (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x004e79… |
| 05-08 04:59:32 | (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x04035c… |
| 05-08 04:59:32 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x1fd5f1… |
| 05-08 04:59:32 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x039d34… |
| 05-08 04:59:30 | Crafty-Flat 0x5337…222b | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xc88385… |
| 05-08 04:48:41 | Huge-Ejector 0x1611…f0ea | No | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xc3edf7… |
| 05-08 04:48:37 | Critical-Beanstalk 0xf626…8a12 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 33¢ | $12 | 0x83e67f… |
| 05-08 04:47:33 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x1bacdf… |
| 05-08 04:47:31 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf7b185… |
| 05-08 04:47:31 | (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xf583a3… |
| 05-08 04:41:39 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0xa168ab… |
| 05-08 01:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xc400d9… |
| 05-08 00:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x7cbca9… |
| 05-08 00:57:20 | Sparse-Burning 0xb99c…177a | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x301749… |
| 05-07 22:46:40 | (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8803ae… |
| 05-07 22:46:33 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x4d78b1… |
| 05-07 22:46:31 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xb168bc… |
| 05-07 15:06:23 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x692ded… |
| 05-07 11:46:25 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 57 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xc88ebf… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x45d565… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe4514d… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x17dc26… |
| 05-07 10:50:09 | Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | BUY | 84 | 96¢ | $80 | 0xf1216b… |
| 05-07 08:33:22 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0xb9479f… |
| 05-07 05:48:52 | Frosty-Series 0x8f60…39c4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8c54c3… |