Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-16?
open
Total volume
$13,073
$5 in 24h
Trades
104
Unique wallets
63
Liquidity
$6,798
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 08:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-40.1¢
(top1%: 28% YES on $2.1K
vs crowd: 68% YES on $12.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $561 | $536 | +$25 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1.6K | $987 | +$567 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $5.6K | $370 | +$5.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $838 | $2.1K | $1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $591 | $1.5K | $932 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $797 | $538 | +$259 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $189 | $187 |
| Median | 9 | $5 | $10 | $5 |
| Below median | 13 | $50 | $16 | +$33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $17 | $7 | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $12 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $7.1K | $221 | +$6.9K |
| unranked | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exalted-Evocation 0x479e…91c3 | Yes | +7,339 | $5,000 | $5,000 | 1 | 05-16 06:19 |
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | +2,498 | $1,525 | $1,525 | 2 | 05-16 06:26 |
| Helpful-Refrigerator 0x21f5…c161 | Yes | +2,175 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-16 05:36 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +2,015 | $561 | $561 | 7 | 05-16 06:24 |
| Round-Digestive 0x4939…9ade | No | +1,831 | $1,300 | $1,300 | 4 | 05-16 04:39 |
| Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | +1,266 | $900 | $900 | 9 | 05-16 04:39 |
| Blue-Hexagon-Dial 0x2b7d…d2dc | Yes | +987 | $750 | $750 | 1 | 05-16 06:29 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +753 | $536 | $536 | 3 | 05-16 05:24 |
| Limp-Butterfly 0x3388…61d7 | No | +400 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | No | +315 | $211 | $211 | 1 | 05-16 02:46 |
| Marvelous-Viewer 0x6fa1…6edb | No | +156 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Common-Astrologer 0xf1e0…041b | No | +156 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Classic-Potato 0x972b…78ba | No | +148 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-16 02:45 |
| Metallic-Suitcase 0x6ed3…0a22 | No | +140 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Testy-Comma 0x0267…7f7e | Yes | +114 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-16 06:06 |
| Avaricious-User 0x288a…0048 | No | +101 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 05-16 04:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a6e…9bc5 | No | +96 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-16 04:50 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +92 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 05-16 06:36 |
| Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Yes | +78 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-16 05:09 |
| Innocent-Spite 0x55e7…4fb9 | Yes | +71 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-16 02:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | No | +60 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-16 05:24 |
| Unconscious-Assistance 0xc718…64a8 | Yes | +57 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-16 06:24 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +51 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 05-16 06:05 |
| Parallel-Shallows 0xe1cc…28a0 | No | +39 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 05:24 |
| Third-Countess 0xb964…927f | Yes | +37 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 06:19 |
| Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b | No | +37 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-16 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d1d…afd2 | No | +36 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-16 02:45 |
| Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | +34 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 05-16 06:14 |
| Inferior-Ownership 0xa509…ae46 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 02:45 |
| Realistic-Authentication 0xf79c…94ea | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 01:26 |
| Sunny-Extremist 0x70dc…1783 | No | +19 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-16 06:51 |
| Luminous-Traditionalism 0x4c1e…a29e | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 04:56 |
| Humiliating-Buzzard 0x6b67…829f | No | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 06:31 |
| Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8e1…9bc1 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 05:09 |
| Worried-Mineral 0x5179…2b29 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Concerned-Controversy 0x89d6…5cdf | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 04:33 |
| Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-16 05:11 |
| Frivolous-Dollar 0x95fc…10f6 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-16 05:14 |
| Super-Reorganization-Direction 0xefc3…9889 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 05:06 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-16 05:24 |
| Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3adc…972d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 04:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bcd…ac63 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0777…988b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 05:06 |
| Handy-Nationality 0x5d9d…2e12 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 05:04 |
| Scaly-Minimalism-Statute 0x0074…a982 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 05:24 |
| Regular-Gallon 0xa85b…eb0e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 02:45 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 06:21 |
| Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 02:45 |
| Treasured-Stumbling 0x6c8f…da09 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 05:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 08:35:01 | Delectable-Smoking 0x2fca…819a | Yes | SELL | 103 | 100¢ | $103 | 0x48fe7a… |
| 05-16 07:36:08 | Sunny-Extremist 0x70dc…1783 | Yes | SELL | 152 | 100¢ | $152 | 0x563662… |
| 05-16 07:05:04 | Unaware-Poncho 0xc6c3…a6e8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xd8386e… |
| 05-16 07:01:03 | Sweet-Nose 0xcb7b…5d6d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5e464a… |
| 05-16 07:01:01 | Moist-Blocker 0x764b…1faf | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x099277… |
| 05-16 06:54:59 | Gargantuan-Attendance 0x041b…d3eb | Yes | SELL | 221 | 99¢ | $219 | 0x718f9f… |
| 05-16 06:54:55 | (anonymous) 0x53dc…e6bf | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xae57d7… |
| 05-16 06:54:55 | (anonymous) 0x5340…ba2b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe7f6ee… |
| 05-16 06:51:13 | Sunny-Extremist 0x70dc…1783 | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x931685… |
| 05-16 06:46:14 | Tiny-Coral 0xe4f0…8774 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xcce1ea… |
| 05-16 06:36:15 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x140fde… |
| 05-16 06:34:41 | Exhausted-Stepaunt 0x4172…a77d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xa02a9c… |
| 05-16 06:31:18 | Humiliating-Buzzard 0x6b67…829f | No | BUY | 16 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x3a9d61… |
| 05-16 06:29:47 | Blue-Hexagon-Dial 0x2b7d…d2dc | Yes | BUY | 987 | 76¢ | $750 | 0xa2faf3… |
| 05-16 06:26:17 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | BUY | 2,001 | 69¢ | $1,381 | 0xf33f71… |
| 05-16 06:24:18 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 69¢ | $11 | 0x32342c… |
| 05-16 06:24:05 | Unconscious-Assistance 0xc718…64a8 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 69¢ | $39 | 0x0e6c7b… |
| 05-16 06:21:07 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x4fdf9d… |
| 05-16 06:19:57 | Third-Countess 0xb964…927f | Yes | BUY | 37 | 67¢ | $25 | 0x8603dd… |
| 05-16 06:19:53 | Exalted-Evocation 0x479e…91c3 | Yes | BUY | 7,339 | 68¢ | $5,000 | 0xb497d5… |
| 05-16 06:16:04 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 65¢ | $18 | 0x945d41… |
| 05-16 06:14:30 | Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | BUY | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0xd0d4f3… |
| 05-16 06:06:04 | Testy-Comma 0x0267…7f7e | Yes | BUY | 114 | 25¢ | $29 | 0x5dda5f… |
| 05-16 06:05:55 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x77a5b7… |
| 05-16 06:05:50 | Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x5f17fa… |
| 05-16 06:05:48 | Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xee3b67… |
| 05-16 05:39:51 | Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xc669ac… |
| 05-16 05:36:14 | (anonymous) 0x2ffd…d99f | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xd99cd3… |
| 05-16 05:36:08 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x1d2690… |
| 05-16 05:36:07 | Helpful-Refrigerator 0x21f5…c161 | Yes | BUY | 2,175 | 23¢ | $500 | 0xed40d8… |
| 05-16 05:34:32 | Likely-Gentleman 0x9b37…0eb2 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x198fc3… |
| 05-16 05:24:35 | Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x92a0dc… |
| 05-16 05:24:35 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0xb95968… |
| 05-16 05:24:32 | (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | No | BUY | 60 | 77¢ | $46 | 0x04e215… |
| 05-16 05:24:30 | Parallel-Shallows 0xe1cc…28a0 | No | BUY | 39 | 77¢ | $30 | 0x10ed28… |
| 05-16 05:24:28 | Scaly-Minimalism-Statute 0x0074…a982 | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0xba08fc… |
| 05-16 05:24:27 | (anonymous) 0x3bcd…ac63 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x46101c… |
| 05-16 05:24:25 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 357 | 76¢ | $271 | 0x374da0… |
| 05-16 05:24:18 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0xbc3c02… |
| 05-16 05:19:19 | Sunny-Extremist 0x70dc…1783 | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0xf30261… |
| 05-16 05:19:05 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x74b3c3… |
| 05-16 05:16:15 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $10 | 0x26267c… |
| 05-16 05:16:11 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x0eab1a… |
| 05-16 05:15:45 | (anonymous) 0x0777…988b | No | BUY | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0xbb64dc… |
| 05-16 05:14:49 | Frivolous-Dollar 0x95fc…10f6 | No | BUY | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0xe9ecb7… |
| 05-16 05:14:47 | GreedyMacFear 0xfa22…5434 | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xaa72c6… |
| 05-16 05:11:14 | Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xac2969… |
| 05-16 05:11:14 | Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0x519f39… |
| 05-16 05:10:53 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $9 | 0xd832cb… |
| 05-16 05:09:41 | Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 29¢ | $8 | 0xff0b66… |
| 05-16 05:09:34 | Treasured-Stumbling 0x6c8f…da09 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xdbcb5c… |
| 05-16 05:09:32 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xb5aa9d… |
| 05-16 05:09:32 | (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x54c564… |
| 05-16 05:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x3bcd…ac63 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x89edff… |
| 05-16 05:09:31 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 636 | 27¢ | $172 | 0x2e0b25… |
| 05-16 05:09:29 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 1,264 | 27¢ | $341 | 0xb882a1… |
| 05-16 05:09:27 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 27¢ | $12 | 0xe85667… |
| 05-16 05:09:20 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x70eafc… |
| 05-16 05:06:06 | (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd2ebcf… |
| 05-16 05:06:06 | Super-Reorganization-Direction 0xefc3…9889 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x0958c8… |
| 05-16 05:04:10 | Handy-Nationality 0x5d9d…2e12 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x77ce8f… |
| 05-16 04:59:04 | Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xbc7069… |
| 05-16 04:59:04 | Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x08c7e0… |
| 05-16 04:56:14 | Luminous-Traditionalism 0x4c1e…a29e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xfcc8f3… |
| 05-16 04:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x3adc…972d | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x28d2d9… |
| 05-16 04:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x3a6e…9bc5 | No | BUY | 96 | 73¢ | $70 | 0x83e482… |
| 05-16 04:39:19 | Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0xbf9756… |
| 05-16 04:39:18 | Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0xf8728f… |
| 05-16 04:39:16 | Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0x643a65… |
| 05-16 04:39:14 | Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0xce229d… |
| 05-16 04:39:14 | Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0x793461… |
| 05-16 04:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x0c2c…5339 | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x3969af… |
| 05-16 04:39:12 | Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0xf52ec7… |
| 05-16 04:39:11 | (anonymous) 0xb5c9…a4fc | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x7fccdd… |
| 05-16 04:39:11 | Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0xdaad71… |
| 05-16 04:39:09 | Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | BUY | 139 | 72¢ | $100 | 0x90e414… |
| 05-16 04:39:09 | Round-Digestive 0x4939…9ade | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0x386e8e… |
| 05-16 04:39:09 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | BUY | 496 | 29¢ | $144 | 0xb9d7b2… |
| 05-16 04:39:09 | Astonishing-Partnership 0xf658…655e | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0xdaf16d… |
| 05-16 04:39:02 | Round-Digestive 0x4939…9ade | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0x5e9f32… |
| 05-16 04:38:55 | Round-Digestive 0x4939…9ade | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0x7b836b… |
| 05-16 04:35:55 | Round-Digestive 0x4939…9ade | No | BUY | 1,408 | 71¢ | $1,000 | 0xae2071… |
| 05-16 04:33:17 | Concerned-Controversy 0x89d6…5cdf | Yes | BUY | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x1f3725… |
| 05-16 04:14:02 | Stupendous-Eyelashes 0x182e…5a58 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xa5d603… |
| 05-16 04:14:00 | Metallic-Suitcase 0x6ed3…0a22 | No | BUY | 140 | 68¢ | $95 | 0xb49335… |
| 05-16 04:14:00 | Avaricious-User 0x288a…0048 | No | BUY | 101 | 68¢ | $69 | 0x60024b… |
| 05-16 04:14:00 | Limp-Butterfly 0x3388…61d7 | No | BUY | 400 | 68¢ | $272 | 0xf1d50f… |
| 05-16 04:14:00 | Worried-Mineral 0x5179…2b29 | No | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0xa3015c… |
| 05-16 04:14:00 | Marvelous-Viewer 0x6fa1…6edb | No | BUY | 156 | 68¢ | $106 | 0x85f25b… |
| 05-16 04:14:00 | Common-Astrologer 0xf1e0…041b | No | BUY | 156 | 68¢ | $106 | 0x5fa250… |
| 05-16 02:54:07 | Innocent-Spite 0x55e7…4fb9 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 32¢ | $23 | 0xe9aed3… |
| 05-16 02:46:04 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xc936bd… |
| 05-16 02:46:01 | Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | No | BUY | 315 | 67¢ | $211 | 0x8a2959… |
| 05-16 02:45:59 | Frivolous-Dollar 0x95fc…10f6 | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xf1c4dc… |
| 05-16 02:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x5d1d…afd2 | No | BUY | 36 | 67¢ | $24 | 0xd68b00… |
| 05-16 02:45:54 | Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b | No | BUY | 37 | 66¢ | $24 | 0x892ad0… |
| 05-16 02:45:54 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x4adffd… |
| 05-16 02:45:54 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 356 | 66¢ | $235 | 0x3f7355… |
| 05-16 02:45:54 | Regular-Gallon 0xa85b…eb0e | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x08f968… |
| 05-16 02:45:54 | Classic-Potato 0x972b…78ba | No | BUY | 148 | 66¢ | $98 | 0x5cd3c5… |