Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-16?
open
Total volume
$787
Trades
34
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$6,705
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 16:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.2¢
(top1%: 39% YES on $396
vs crowd: 63% YES on $747)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $85 | $239 | $154 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $68 | $12 | +$56 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $301 | $6 | +$295 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $15 | $21 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $153 | $243 | $90 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $41 | $4 | +$38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| Median | 3 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
| Below median | 6 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $100 | $2 | +$98 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $160 | $8 | +$152 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +500 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 05-16 14:45 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +299 | $239 | $239 | 1 | 05-16 15:06 |
| Flat-Priest-Rank 0x6e0f…27f3 | Yes | +222 | $160 | $160 | 2 | 05-16 15:56 |
| Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | Yes | +147 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-16 14:02 |
| Lovely-Octopus 0x0e41…b875 | Yes | +143 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-16 15:41 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +80 | $48 | $48 | 5 | 05-16 15:46 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | +36 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-16 15:21 |
| Near-Failure 0x629d…756c | Yes | +29 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-16 15:51 |
| Limp-Venue 0x2c46…dac9 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-16 14:02 |
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | +18 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 15:21 |
| Plush-Ultimatum 0x9f2c…d0df | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 15:46 |
| Bubbly-Dusk 0xba0e…dc13 | No | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 15:56 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 15:22 |
| Sore-Misnomer 0xfbf8…99f4 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 23:03 |
| Unconscious-Assistance 0xc718…64a8 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 15:37 |
| Fantastic-Dump 0xe529…6c9d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 15:36 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 15:06 |
| Wavy-Editing 0xa5ec…3630 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 15:31 |
| Tiny-Coral 0xe4f0…8774 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 15:51 |
| Unfortunate-Locket 0xd3da…c91f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 15:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 16:16:26 | Ornery-Decryption 0xa6f3…30b5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8e18ce… |
| 05-16 15:56:47 | Flat-Priest-Rank 0x6e0f…27f3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xa50d2a… |
| 05-16 15:56:29 | Bubbly-Dusk 0xba0e…dc13 | No | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8cebae… |
| 05-16 15:51:46 | Near-Failure 0x629d…756c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x12adba… |
| 05-16 15:51:44 | Tiny-Coral 0xe4f0…8774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x145f84… |
| 05-16 15:51:12 | Ornery-Decryption 0xa6f3…30b5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x009639… |
| 05-16 15:46:43 | (anonymous) 0x0736…a8c8 | No | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xcb1a76… |
| 05-16 15:46:24 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0x4881cf… |
| 05-16 15:46:17 | Plush-Ultimatum 0x9f2c…d0df | Yes | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0x02e68e… |
| 05-16 15:42:33 | Flat-Priest-Rank 0x6e0f…27f3 | Yes | BUY | 211 | 71¢ | $150 | 0x60fc40… |
| 05-16 15:41:54 | Acceptable-Edition 0x32c0…c82c | No | SELL | 52 | 30¢ | $15 | 0xb0a879… |
| 05-16 15:41:33 | Lovely-Octopus 0x0e41…b875 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 70¢ | $100 | 0xc3e4bc… |
| 05-16 15:39:55 | Gullible-Advocate 0xe299…6f4a | Yes | SELL | 33 | 65¢ | $22 | 0x7b3e3c… |
| 05-16 15:37:54 | (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe72e1a… |
| 05-16 15:36:37 | Fantastic-Dump 0xe529…6c9d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x6e605b… |
| 05-16 15:31:47 | Wavy-Editing 0xa5ec…3630 | No | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x9efa1c… |
| 05-16 15:31:42 | (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xe9378f… |
| 05-16 15:31:35 | (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | No | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xcb5b6d… |
| 05-16 15:31:28 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0x2f9187… |
| 05-16 15:26:35 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 58¢ | $10 | 0x45dfd9… |
| 05-16 15:25:20 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 55¢ | $9 | 0xaa1039… |
| 05-16 15:22:48 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 56¢ | $10 | 0x91c461… |
| 05-16 15:22:39 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 8 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x119d94… |
| 05-16 15:21:33 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 18 | 45¢ | $8 | 0x77fa3f… |
| 05-16 15:21:26 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 54¢ | $19 | 0xb44d34… |
| 05-16 15:07:48 | Unfortunate-Locket 0xd3da…c91f | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xa35b16… |
| 05-16 15:06:51 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x377309… |
| 05-16 15:06:38 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 299 | 80¢ | $239 | 0x9da987… |
| 05-16 14:45:21 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 199 | 17¢ | $34 | 0x5e7e1a… |
| 05-16 14:41:58 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 301 | 17¢ | $51 | 0x1dd22b… |
| 05-16 14:19:04 | Unconscious-Assistance 0xc718…64a8 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xea210b… |
| 05-16 14:02:27 | Limp-Venue 0x2c46…dac9 | No | BUY | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x2f00e6… |
| 05-16 14:02:27 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 12¢ | $18 | 0x905d3b… |
| 05-15 23:03:49 | Sore-Misnomer 0xfbf8…99f4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x1c430d… |