Bubbly-Dusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$465

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

927

Trades

1,815

lifetime

Volume

$5.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-06 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 61% -$154

Other

34% 47% -$223

Sports

2% 38% -$53

Politics

1% 0% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$237	578	+578	No	-$237	07-07 19:45
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5	76	$160	339	+339	Over	-$28	05-17 07:28
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$81	130	+130	Spain	+$48	07-19 21:05
Will Switzerland vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?	1	$37	529	+529	No	-$37	10-06 17:41
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	5	$34	487	+487	No	-$34	05-10 19:57
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$32	94	+94	No	-$32	05-11 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$30	53	+53	Up	+$5	05-17 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$28	50	+50	Up	+$22	05-17 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$27	62	+62	Down	+$8	05-17 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$26	27	+27	Up	+$1	05-17 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$24	44	+44	Up	-$2	05-17 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	8	$24	40	+40	Down	-$24	05-17 20:51
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	1	$24	88	+88	No	-$24	07-19 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$24	59	+59	Down	-$4	05-17 20:45
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Sofia Kenin	2	$20	45	+45	Oksana Selekhmeteva	-$20	05-16 09:59
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Titouan Droguet	2	$20	24	+24	Raphael Collignon	+$4	05-15 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$19	130	+130	Up	-$19	05-18 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$19	38	+38	Down	+$4	05-18 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$19	37	+37	Up	-$4	05-18 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$19	37	+37	Up	-$4	05-18 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$19	37	+37	Down	+$4	05-18 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$19	41	+41	Up	-$4	05-18 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$19	36	+36	Up	-$4	05-18 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$19	36	+36	Up	-$4	05-18 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$18	36	+36	Up	+$2	05-18 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$18	37	+37	Down	+$4	05-18 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$18	37	+37	Up	-$3	05-18 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$18	48	+48	Down	+$2	05-17 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$18	36	+36	Up	+$2	05-18 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$18	38	+38	Down	+$4	05-18 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 17:41:14	Will Switzerland vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	529	7¢	$37	0xeef046…
07-19 21:05:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	130	63¢	$81	0xe3b029…
07-19 21:00:25	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	88	27¢	$24	0x18f25d…
07-07 20:29:13	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc464ec…
07-07 19:45:53	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	578	41¢	$237	0x683998…
06-22 18:51:20	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xaab026…
06-22 18:50:53	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0xb22b9c…
06-18 20:41:58	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x263cca…
06-18 20:41:41	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x24e34b…
06-18 20:18:19	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0xdb0f39…
06-18 18:54:19	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9dd9be…
06-18 18:53:59	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6a5369…
06-16 21:31:08	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8cd095…
06-16 21:30:55	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc5b40a…
06-16 21:30:35	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0f3876…
06-16 21:30:28	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x063d08…
06-16 21:30:20	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa63886…
06-14 17:31:28	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x4ab2a7…
06-14 05:16:22	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	71	18¢	$13	0x0a95c5…
06-13 19:37:21	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	260	5¢	$13	0xf320bb…
06-13 18:57:22	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x4f1d4e…
05-22 05:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xc63e1d…
05-22 05:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x979416…
05-22 04:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xbfcac6…
05-22 04:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x753ae8…
05-22 04:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x27d26a…
05-22 04:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9411e1…
05-22 04:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5d0069…
05-22 04:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x14f21c…
05-21 21:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1b99f8…
05-21 21:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8cab7d…
05-21 21:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x536697…
05-21 21:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x01a71f…
05-21 21:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x79dd67…
05-21 21:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x917ecf…
05-21 21:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe9e223…
05-21 21:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0xd5b1a3…
05-21 21:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf7dced…
05-21 21:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c72c2…
05-21 21:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0x003a6f…
05-21 21:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb669d9…
05-21 21:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x8f95e8…
05-21 21:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x05d74b…
05-21 20:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x684a54…
05-21 20:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa57f65…
05-21 16:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6ba920…
05-21 15:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x316dd3…
05-21 15:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe6a8e3…
05-21 15:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfe65b3…
05-20 23:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc40006…
05-20 23:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x525816…
05-20 23:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc67af8…
05-20 22:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x189f76…
05-20 21:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x907b11…
05-20 21:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1c0d85…
05-20 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xdaa566…
05-20 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6074a6…
05-20 21:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x072579…
05-20 20:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xded64a…
05-20 20:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3182ab…
05-20 20:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x95183c…
05-20 20:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9029de…
05-20 20:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x54e6a9…
05-20 18:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc16f6b…
05-20 18:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x183d56…
05-20 18:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x84fd77…
05-20 18:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb1f05a…
05-20 18:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x85528c…
05-20 17:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1c1c1a…
05-20 17:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfd8d89…
05-20 17:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbb143a…
05-20 17:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe5d7ad…
05-20 16:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5573ab…
05-20 14:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xe57d3e…
05-20 14:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xc14076…
05-20 14:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa4be82…
05-20 13:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7f5741…
05-20 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd3566a…
05-20 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1d645c…
05-20 13:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x17cc60…
05-20 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xad5fb2…
05-20 13:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6f0b60…
05-20 12:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9a05a8…
05-20 12:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1f704b…
05-20 10:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x7f898a…
05-20 10:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3fe9a5…
05-20 10:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x122d68…
05-20 09:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xd7d24a…
05-20 09:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xc0b75b…
05-20 09:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9e85bf…
05-20 09:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xcd4a39…
05-20 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xdc46fc…
05-20 09:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xe49f56…
05-20 09:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x05b41f…
05-20 09:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x14b2b2…
05-20 08:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xb96e2d…
05-20 08:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9e17f4…
05-20 07:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xc3e432…
05-20 07:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x8e9afd…
05-20 07:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x5fdfba…