Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$90
Trades
21
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$975
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 06:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $60 | $15 | +$45 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $7 | $4 | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Median | 4 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
| Below median | 6 | $28 | $6 | +$22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warmhearted-Muskrat 0xa610…2f7a | Yes | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 06:01 |
| Exhausted-Kitten 0xa36b…1d89 | Yes | +24 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 14:29 |
| Wretched-Eyrie-Delivery 0xf86c…9074 | Yes | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 04:54 |
| Woozy-Break 0x9686…1701 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 23:04 |
| Fancy-Clan 0x3b1f…4e2d | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 17:42 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 04:49 |
| Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 18:24 |
| Hasty-Signet 0x8b1b…2cae | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 01:04 |
| Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 21:07 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 17:09 |
| Intent-Celery 0xb9d0…829b | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 15:04 |
| Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 15:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 16:56 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 23:10 |
| Weekly-Association 0xfe78…8246 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:21 |
| Bumpy-Lid 0x0c40…8ef9 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb15b…01bb | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 18:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 06:05:52 | Only-Lipoprotein 0x5157…fdbc | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xa0a3ff… |
| 05-16 04:54:33 | Wretched-Eyrie-Delivery 0xf86c…9074 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 45¢ | $10 | 0x939365… |
| 05-16 04:49:18 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x0d4d7a… |
| 05-16 01:04:10 | Hasty-Signet 0x8b1b…2cae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x328dfb… |
| 05-16 01:03:57 | Hasty-Signet 0x8b1b…2cae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xf9f063… |
| 05-15 23:10:46 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x4b14a2… |
| 05-15 23:04:05 | Woozy-Break 0x9686…1701 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x56a1f7… |
| 05-15 21:20:43 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x4025f3… |
| 05-15 18:57:46 | (anonymous) 0xb15b…01bb | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x7f8aec… |
| 05-15 18:57:43 | Bumpy-Lid 0x0c40…8ef9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x9f5755… |
| 05-15 18:24:49 | Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | No | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0x6cb8ce… |
| 05-15 17:42:35 | Fancy-Clan 0x3b1f…4e2d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x72431f… |
| 05-15 17:09:48 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x734fd4… |
| 05-15 16:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x9ce2f2… |
| 05-15 14:29:31 | Exhausted-Kitten 0xa36b…1d89 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 37¢ | $9 | 0x8acf19… |
| 05-14 21:07:08 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xe1f3cc… |
| 05-14 16:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xae3ab3… |
| 05-14 15:04:29 | Intent-Celery 0xb9d0…829b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xb8877c… |
| 05-14 15:04:27 | Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xc6e572… |
| 05-14 14:41:14 | Weekly-Association 0xfe78…8246 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x1b5d63… |
| 05-14 06:01:22 | Warmhearted-Muskrat 0xa610…2f7a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0xedf4b8… |