Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on May 9?
No won
Total volume
$242
Trades
32
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 16:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $84 | $84 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $1 | $118 | $117 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $21 | $21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 11 | — | $86 | $86 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $88 | $88 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical-Beanstalk 0xf626…8a12 | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-08 06:55 |
| Complex-Pneumonia 0xe7fc…1c16 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 07:18 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Spyglass 0xe99c…cf00 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-09 00:26 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-07 11:25 |
| Alarmed-Metallurgist 0xa3ca…d665 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-07 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 18:26 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 00:35 |
| Descriptive-Tentacle 0x96fc…721b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 00:15 |
| Miniature-Dentist 0x7215…7301 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 00:19 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 00:02 |
| Frosty-Series 0x8f60…39c4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 10:10 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 15:36 |
| Alert-Fishery 0x80bb…b8aa | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 07:29 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 11:26 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 11:25 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 16:55:49 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x925bc1… |
| 05-09 16:55:49 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1c25d9… |
| 05-09 16:55:49 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf174f6… |
| 05-09 07:29:55 | Alert-Fishery 0x80bb…b8aa | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6cbaff… |
| 05-09 00:35:26 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe3aa96… |
| 05-09 00:26:06 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Spyglass 0xe99c…cf00 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x394760… |
| 05-09 00:19:43 | Miniature-Dentist 0x7215…7301 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8c9e8a… |
| 05-09 00:15:50 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaeb8f2… |
| 05-09 00:15:29 | Descriptive-Tentacle 0x96fc…721b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x436951… |
| 05-09 00:10:44 | Heavy-Curl 0x3210…15d9 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x0849e6… |
| 05-09 00:10:44 | Heavy-Curl 0x3210…15d9 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfba413… |
| 05-09 00:10:44 | Heavy-Curl 0x3210…15d9 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x6cbb20… |
| 05-09 00:10:44 | Heavy-Curl 0x3210…15d9 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xdb81af… |
| 05-09 00:10:44 | Heavy-Curl 0x3210…15d9 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x038ed4… |
| 05-09 00:02:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x7e5ec0… |
| 05-08 20:11:06 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa4698a… |
| 05-08 10:12:26 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3302c2… |
| 05-08 08:10:10 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd514b1… |
| 05-08 07:18:50 | Complex-Pneumonia 0xe7fc…1c16 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x22b264… |
| 05-08 06:55:02 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5d7677… |
| 05-08 04:48:58 | Critical-Beanstalk 0xf626…8a12 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb0fe20… |
| 05-07 18:26:18 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xfc7b27… |
| 05-07 15:42:12 | Alarmed-Metallurgist 0xa3ca…d665 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x8d075d… |
| 05-07 15:36:48 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa9b719… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1cac43… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa6bab4… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xc28d79… |
| 05-07 11:26:39 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x56bde4… |
| 05-07 11:26:16 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9b491f… |
| 05-07 11:25:36 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x8b446b… |
| 05-07 11:25:34 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xbc8e70… |
| 05-07 10:10:07 | Frosty-Series 0x8f60…39c4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7deaad… |