Happy-Go-Lucky-Spyglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-16 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

75% 100% +$0

Crypto

18% 100% +$0

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	5	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$0	05-06 11:08
highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 74 75f	4	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-24 13:09
highest temperature in madrid on april 2 2026 22c	1	$61	61	0	+61	open	—	04-02 02:11
highest temperature in singapore on april 1 2026 34c	1	$61	61	0	+61	open	—	04-01 11:38
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 26	1	$61	61	0	+61	open	—	03-26 07:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	3	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	04-29 21:31
will the captive be the 2 global netflix movie this week	1	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	03-30 04:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 10?	2	$53	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 17:44
highest temperature in wuhan on march 29 2026 25c	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	03-29 10:48
highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 13corbelow	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	03-28 03:53
highest temperature in houston on april 23 2026 70 71f	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-23 01:56
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:45
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 17corhigher	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-17 13:32
will nflx close between 80 and 90 week april 17 2026	5	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-17 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 25?	4	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-25 08:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	05-16 14:45
highest temperature in nyc on april 11 2026 78forhigher	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-11 02:44
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 22 2026 16c	2	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	04-22 14:14
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 4?	4	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	05-03 08:27
lowest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 42 43f	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-24 02:19
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	05-15 22:22
will mexicos february unemployment rate be 2pt7	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-26 22:47
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 120 139	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-03 05:44
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 80forhigher	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 02:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-07 11:29
will gerb sds win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by any margin	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-19 09:50
lowest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 8c	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-24 13:07
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 26?	4	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 21:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 00:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 15:14:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb6e976…
05-16 14:45:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4b9175…
05-16 04:18:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x90071d…
05-15 22:30:41	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 16?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x34382c…
05-15 22:22:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd032bd…
05-15 19:12:51	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4fae1a…
05-15 18:05:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1295e2…
05-10 18:01:29	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2363b7…
05-10 17:45:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x926f34…
05-10 17:44:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xebfe0c…
05-09 18:34:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2c6173…
05-09 16:15:56	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x09215e…
05-09 15:56:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf137f9…
05-08 13:37:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x274aea…
05-07 16:38:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce935d…
05-07 11:29:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x818ff2…
05-07 02:23:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb3b27c…
05-06 11:08:22	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x17a6c5…
05-05 14:12:18	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xe0e3d2…
05-05 09:18:46	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7864ce…
05-04 20:46:24	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef3c2f…
05-04 19:12:28	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x697782…
05-03 16:34:48	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb32859…
05-03 15:32:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xffe731…
05-03 15:09:16	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc8eb44…
05-03 08:27:54	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xada6da…
05-03 08:23:48	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xddc958…
05-03 07:53:40	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0xa6164d…
05-03 06:04:16	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x070293…
05-01 01:49:30	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x87dbd1…
05-01 00:40:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1d1d06…
04-30 00:02:06	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$4	0x899ab5…
04-29 21:31:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x05961b…
04-29 10:13:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb12854…
04-29 03:22:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc6f551…
04-28 22:45:48	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe4b873…
04-28 19:30:00	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2c033c…
04-28 18:54:42	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d2197…
04-28 15:41:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2f0812…
04-27 15:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x104e2d…
04-27 10:34:44	Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa0dce8…
04-27 09:04:20	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on April 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xa85ec5…
04-27 02:57:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea41f4…
04-26 22:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x565885…
04-26 17:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6ba970…
04-26 17:42:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf54e2e…
04-26 17:42:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x91cfe8…
04-26 17:42:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x02debe…
04-26 16:55:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x66d90e…
04-26 16:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 26?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x30372d…
04-26 06:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcc47af…
04-26 06:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x94c2a3…
04-26 03:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9a3172…
04-25 21:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x962a85…
04-25 21:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd90429…
04-25 21:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 26?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x345879…
04-25 21:04:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1b7366…
04-25 17:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9a4f58…
04-25 13:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa154a2…
04-25 08:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 25?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xada853…
04-25 08:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 25?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x97f2f6…
04-25 07:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa0951c…
04-25 07:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8ca0bb…
04-25 07:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 25?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6c7348…
04-25 07:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1e07ce…
04-25 06:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x63ddef…
04-25 06:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C or below on April 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x43a311…
04-25 02:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x79187c…
04-25 01:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x3d47fc…
04-24 23:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x493952…
04-24 19:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x27d5b7…
04-24 18:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa2e0bc…
04-24 13:14:00	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 10c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x29e414…
04-24 13:09:04	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 74 75f	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x27b0e0…
04-24 13:07:36	lowest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 8c	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf7b223…
04-24 12:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x6bf86a…
04-24 11:30:28	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 74 75f	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x663c35…
04-24 10:20:44	lowest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 8c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5a07b7…
04-24 07:41:20	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x813b07…
04-24 07:27:56	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 10c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x08deb6…
04-24 06:39:34	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 10c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8fb69e…
04-24 04:12:40	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 11c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x6fc94f…
04-24 02:31:30	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfcff06…
04-24 02:31:30	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7f583e…
04-24 02:27:50	highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 47forbelow	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7ec886…
04-24 02:23:44	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 22corbelow	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5128e3…
04-24 02:22:30	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 80forhigher	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xd0869d…
04-24 02:19:48	lowest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 42 43f	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x11adb4…
04-23 23:51:38	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 22corbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccee55…
04-23 21:16:34	highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 47forbelow	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x633066…
04-23 20:05:30	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 10c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x82d825…
04-23 12:50:10	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa69556…
04-23 10:30:30	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf78932…
04-23 08:33:38	lowest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 42 43f	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf3528d…
04-23 03:15:48	lowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f1bad…
04-23 01:56:14	highest temperature in houston on april 23 2026 70 71f	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x494284…
04-22 22:10:12	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 80forhigher	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7cd4fb…
04-22 21:20:32	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7b7557…
04-22 18:17:54	highest temperature in moscow on april 23 2026 3c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfc7045…
04-22 17:40:28	highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 25corhigher	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x25f28d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	94	$4.79K	11,514	04-28 09:52
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	93	$9.80K	1,184	04-28 04:43
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	76	$2.98K	398	04-20 23:27
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	67	$1.21K	1,123	04-27 00:40
Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0	66	$2.82K	144	04-26 18:34
(anonymous) 0x5aec…904b	65	$6.12K	416	04-27 14:11
Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b	60	$931	454	05-03 06:42
Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507	59	$80.3K	2,753	04-28 10:09