Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$350
$359 in 24h
Trades
48
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$9,462
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 17:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $0 | $212 | $212 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $3 | $94 | $91 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $25 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Median | 5 | — | $47 | $47 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $223 | $223 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| unranked | 3 | $0 | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | +268 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 01:43 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +109 | $108 | $108 | 4 | 05-14 08:14 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +74 | $74 | $74 | 4 | 05-14 23:27 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +49 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 09:24 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Frail-Chassis 0x9ae6…d270 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 08:03 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 4 | 05-14 15:19 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-15 04:00 |
| Likely-Shield 0x680d…4fbb | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-15 07:49 |
| Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 22:08 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 05:29 |
| Ancient-Android 0xb846…034d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 22:42 |
| Villainous-Billing 0x59e6…c4d4 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 09:10 |
| Zany-Parliament 0xfcb3…e377 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Darling-Oxford 0xcd54…41ee | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 02:10 |
| Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 04:49 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 05:10 |
| Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 17:04:43 | Multicolored-Lute 0x0b31…b243 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xdd8420… |
| 05-15 12:52:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02c87e… |
| 05-15 12:41:28 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffd9fc… |
| 05-15 10:31:17 | Zany-Parliament 0xfcb3…e377 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x410c98… |
| 05-15 09:10:54 | Villainous-Billing 0x59e6…c4d4 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa48c58… |
| 05-15 08:39:37 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd3acb0… |
| 05-15 07:51:43 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbfa85f… |
| 05-15 07:49:53 | Likely-Shield 0x680d…4fbb | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xb098c6… |
| 05-15 05:29:06 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeeb511… |
| 05-15 04:49:17 | Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x916e0a… |
| 05-15 04:00:31 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xe4c6ec… |
| 05-15 02:10:21 | Darling-Oxford 0xcd54…41ee | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xbdda7e… |
| 05-15 01:43:00 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb346a4… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xacc2f8… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8ee4e… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf46283… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d2f2b… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae6898… |
| 05-14 22:42:01 | Ancient-Android 0xb846…034d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4c9cb5… |
| 05-14 22:32:23 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95ece7… |
| 05-14 22:32:06 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa01c12… |
| 05-14 22:08:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb6362… |
| 05-14 22:08:58 | Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x4df051… |
| 05-14 21:52:42 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbf354a… |
| 05-14 21:42:34 | Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8e3301… |
| 05-14 21:28:41 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6c616… |
| 05-14 21:28:41 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x045704… |
| 05-14 21:28:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x853f4a… |
| 05-14 21:18:43 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf362a8… |
| 05-14 19:27:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5af956… |
| 05-14 19:22:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c6068… |
| 05-14 19:21:47 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4844ac… |
| 05-14 18:39:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6066e… |
| 05-14 18:39:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xacb0dd… |
| 05-14 18:39:54 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6cbf41… |
| 05-14 16:54:35 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x40a0f5… |
| 05-14 15:19:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xe687c6… |
| 05-14 12:47:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x6c0bdf… |
| 05-14 10:54:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb4c16d… |
| 05-14 09:59:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x963464… |
| 05-14 08:14:10 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x0beb9c… |
| 05-14 08:09:14 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x1b829e… |
| 05-14 08:03:59 | Frail-Chassis 0x9ae6…d270 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a736c… |
| 05-14 05:10:47 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x0c9b36… |
| 05-13 23:14:57 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x38e01d… |
| 05-13 23:13:40 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0xe747ad… |
| 05-13 14:23:20 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x8e65ae… |
| 05-13 09:24:12 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x74d236… |