Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 8?
open
Total volume
$549
$3,883 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$3,895
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 20:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $227 | $227 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $0 | $321 | $321 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $180 | $180 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Median | 11 | — | $161 | $161 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $50 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $100 | $100 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +180 | $180 | $180 | 2 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Pure-Inlay 0x4ed6…0861 | No | +58 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-08 07:09 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 05:28 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +47 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Fair-Woodland 0xc51b…8136 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-08 09:03 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| Astonishing-Organisation 0x28f0…cc6a | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-07 11:11 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Spyglass 0xe99c…cf00 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-07 15:36 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-08 18:27 |
| Potable-Mobile 0xcdef…de52 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-07 22:26 |
| Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-06 18:06 |
| Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-08 05:09 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-08 04:38 |
| Empty-Inlay 0x8ee7…5bec | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-07 10:47 |
| Similar-Spread 0x03bb…4db7 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-07 13:24 |
| Repentant-Ecology 0x5286…e080 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 13:19 |
| Cumbersome-Read 0xcc9b…43f0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 04:54 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 18:21 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 16:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 20:16:40 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xedaff3… |
| 05-08 18:27:54 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa26738… |
| 05-08 13:19:44 | Repentant-Ecology 0x5286…e080 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x050647… |
| 05-08 09:20:12 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb09efe… |
| 05-08 09:03:59 | Fair-Woodland 0xc51b…8136 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xbb94be… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xab67ed… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x624ffc… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xb6beb3… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc4582e… |
| 05-08 07:09:42 | Pure-Inlay 0x4ed6…0861 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0x52b20f… |
| 05-08 05:38:16 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0e76d… |
| 05-08 05:28:21 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xbed110… |
| 05-08 05:09:08 | Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xf44b2d… |
| 05-08 04:54:31 | Cumbersome-Read 0xcc9b…43f0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd62143… |
| 05-08 04:38:25 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x7f358c… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda7c4d… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Stable-Safari 0xd34c…f04c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5eedb9… |
| 05-07 23:01:10 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3febf4… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2a224… |
| 05-07 22:26:25 | Potable-Mobile 0xcdef…de52 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x5baf45… |
| 05-07 18:21:22 | Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0b8cd0… |
| 05-07 15:36:45 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Spyglass 0xe99c…cf00 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x3a5ed8… |
| 05-07 13:24:32 | Similar-Spread 0x03bb…4db7 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xc4c20f… |
| 05-07 11:11:22 | Astonishing-Organisation 0x28f0…cc6a | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x09c985… |
| 05-07 10:47:56 | Empty-Inlay 0x8ee7…5bec | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xd3af68… |
| 05-07 03:08:13 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1e31a4… |
| 05-06 18:06:55 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x54ab2b… |
| 05-06 16:48:22 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe4b790… |