Astonishing-Organisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$3.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-15 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

65% 0% $-0

Crypto

24% 57% +$0

Politics

8% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	3	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-13 09:07
will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	04-13 09:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	4	$63	48	14	+34	No	+$0	05-11 06:54
highest temperature in houston on april 1 2026 94 95f	1	$61	61	0	+61	open	—	04-01 10:19
ethereum above 1800 on march 29	1	$57	58	0	+58	open	—	03-29 06:11
highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 73forbelow	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-22 11:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 27?	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-26 23:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	2	$48	24	24	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 03:43
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-11 02:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-14 12:24
highest temperature in istanbul on april 6 2026 13c	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-06 02:44
highest temperature in lagos on april 18 2026 37corhigher	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-19 01:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	3	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	04-29 02:44
will trolls be the 2 global netflix movie this week	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-30 06:06
xrp above 1pt4 on april 4	1	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	04-04 02:58
highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 20c	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-23 18:03
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	$-0	05-05 20:32
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 17:39
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 9corbelow	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-22 11:32
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	02-05 19:42
will sp 500 spx close at 7200 7300 in march	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	03-30 09:17
will nflx close between 90 and 100 week april 3 2026	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-03 02:37
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 18:48
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 7 2026 15c	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-07 03:25
highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 60 61f	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 18:04
ethereum above 2600 on april 20	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 07:16
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 19c	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 16:29
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 00:51
ethereum above 1800 on april 5	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-05 04:28
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 00:01:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x75d0b7…
05-14 17:32:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe2f792…
05-14 12:24:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x147bd0…
05-14 00:27:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x091fb3…
05-13 19:50:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd9387f…
05-13 18:10:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xae3eff…
05-12 03:43:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc46bff…
05-11 21:43:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x598a13…
05-11 06:54:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd55616…
05-11 03:30:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe2a67b…
05-11 03:19:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8c9764…
05-10 20:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf5fdb8…
05-10 07:55:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd4357…
05-10 06:29:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x841d0c…
05-10 05:37:23	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5587fc…
05-09 17:11:32	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6438cf…
05-09 09:57:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x851d35…
05-08 10:54:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x946e2f…
05-07 07:09:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x187d1d…
05-07 06:21:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdc7f9…
05-05 20:32:58	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x89e46d…
05-05 13:06:08	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x401a93…
05-05 01:10:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6bf012…
05-04 20:18:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x159ac1…
05-04 11:24:32	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbd249a…
05-04 08:38:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8d9167…
05-03 15:12:32	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x501352…
05-03 07:06:02	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x754529…
05-03 03:11:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4cf932…
05-02 17:06:32	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x200f58…
05-02 12:20:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x01c302…
05-01 00:51:54	Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf62f8a…
04-30 17:39:32	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8aff9a…
04-29 18:48:18	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x82b8fe…
04-29 16:15:46	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xce77a5…
04-29 14:40:36	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16db9f…
04-29 13:32:16	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x25a7ad…
04-29 08:01:54	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe0896b…
04-29 07:09:12	Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbade8d…
04-29 02:44:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9e143f…
04-29 02:23:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc3b8bd…
04-28 19:42:28	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6c424b…
04-28 17:29:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2ff53a…
04-27 14:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xeda25c…
04-27 14:11:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc73b66…
04-27 12:02:32	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcd55a5…
04-27 08:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa43d4c…
04-27 02:07:12	Will "180" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd6ad07…
04-26 23:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1dc01a…
04-26 23:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x04422c…
04-26 23:19:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x312ec3…
04-26 23:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7f6b23…
04-26 23:15:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xafb159…
04-26 21:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6baa0…
04-26 18:25:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x27429f…
04-26 15:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbdff03…
04-26 13:03:56	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2364bf…
04-26 04:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3e46a2…
04-26 00:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0da86e…
04-26 00:29:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x47b70a…
04-25 21:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 26?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x21592d…
04-25 21:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on April 26?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x085688…
04-25 20:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x87650d…
04-25 17:51:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa56d21…
04-25 12:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on April 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x421dac…
04-25 11:32:00	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on April 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x609eb2…
04-25 09:37:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on April 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xddc154…
04-25 08:59:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on April 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfe79f9…
04-25 05:38:26	lowest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 41forbelow	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xeb45b0…
04-24 07:52:08	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 24	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x225147…
04-24 05:02:38	lowest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 41forbelow	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xae6ec3…
04-24 04:22:30	highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf67ca8…
04-24 01:43:16	highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 17corhigher	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x171eb7…
04-23 22:11:22	highest temperature in jakarta on april 24 2026 38corhigher	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x20c67f…
04-23 19:18:48	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9393ef…
04-23 18:27:08	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9efaa9…
04-23 18:11:20	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 30c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3ff3d4…
04-23 18:10:02	highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 23c	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xaa2fea…
04-23 18:08:46	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 54 55f	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1a866b…
04-23 18:07:22	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 10c	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8853e8…
04-23 18:04:44	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 60 61f	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa213b1…
04-23 18:03:18	highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 20c	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3b7e05…
04-23 11:57:52	highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd5057b…
04-23 09:45:06	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 10c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x94f53f…
04-23 07:46:14	highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 20c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf28eb7…
04-23 01:04:06	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7756cd…
04-22 23:24:00	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 30c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47729d…
04-22 20:32:28	highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 23c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x3af949…
04-22 15:44:32	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfc1dd4…
04-22 15:01:26	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 13c	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb8ae3f…
04-22 11:51:46	highest temperature in milan on april 22 2026 15c	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x92e91e…
04-22 11:45:28	highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 39corhigher	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xceff06…
04-22 11:45:28	highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 39corhigher	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x74099f…
04-22 11:45:28	highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 39corhigher	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5827e3…
04-22 11:40:24	highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 26c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6dc394…
04-22 11:39:00	highest temperature in chengdu on april 22 2026 23c	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x517b5c…
04-22 11:36:14	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 33corhigher	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x24ba78…
04-22 11:32:26	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 9corbelow	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x61cff4…
04-22 11:31:04	highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 73forbelow	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x158393…
04-22 11:11:42	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 33corhigher	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb6ffb5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	109	$534	764	05-13 19:39
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	82	$5.04K	5,453	04-27 17:40
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	77	$7.05K	941	04-27 11:02
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	61	$7.10K	523	04-26 15:28
Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b	60	$555	262	04-26 11:10
Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0	58	$1.73K	127	04-27 18:27
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	56	$1.09K	1,029	04-27 19:19
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	51	$8.13K	1,180	04-25 05:41