Will the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$5,083
$12,785 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,918
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 06:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4.4K | $2 | +$4.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $526 | $111 | +$415 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $4.4K | $104 | +$4.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $417 | $1 | +$416 |
| Median | 4 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| Below median | 6 | $6 | $6 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $50 | — | +$50 |
| unranked | 5 | $37 | $2 | +$35 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fussy-Expedition 0x594e…1c11 | Yes | +2,906 | $2,877 | $2,877 | 1 | 05-12 10:42 |
| Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | Yes | +1,559 | $1,542 | $1,542 | 1 | 05-12 05:35 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +599 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 05-12 10:57 |
| Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | +404 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 04:34 |
| Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | Yes | +404 | $402 | $402 | 1 | 05-12 10:42 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | No | +250 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:55 |
| Earnest-Polarization-Potential 0x0137…c8eb | No | +137 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:48 |
| Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | +108 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 04:28 |
| Sophisticated-Alpha-Opportunist 0x1f67…1e6f | No | +101 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:51 |
| Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 06:46 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +29 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 01:43 |
| Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 04:28 |
| Misty-Lottery 0x1065…4d50 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 03:23 |
| Unfit-Electricity 0xf0af…f6a1 | Yes | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 06:26 |
| Overdue-Unique 0xf7e8…a35d | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 10:42 |
| Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 04:40 |
| Orderly-Spark 0xc0e4…80be | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1434…30f4 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 10:42 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 08:32 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 04:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1545…3d97 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:42 |
| Ajar-Pump 0xcf8c…e805 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 06:46:23 | Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xae2430… |
| 05-13 06:26:28 | Unfit-Electricity 0xf0af…f6a1 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x4cf385… |
| 05-13 03:23:46 | Misty-Lottery 0x1065…4d50 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x78dc46… |
| 05-13 02:51:25 | Sophisticated-Alpha-Opportunist 0x1f67…1e6f | No | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x45d2d0… |
| 05-13 02:48:23 | Earnest-Polarization-Potential 0x0137…c8eb | No | BUY | 137 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf739c7… |
| 05-13 02:42:56 | Ajar-Pump 0xcf8c…e805 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5702c1… |
| 05-13 01:43:43 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f13f7… |
| 05-13 00:26:12 | Orange-Nightmare-Dugout 0x8783…8584 | No | SELL | 128 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1328c… |
| 05-12 23:56:06 | Orange-Nightmare-Dugout 0x8783…8584 | No | BUY | 128 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x37516d… |
| 05-12 21:55:57 | Orderly-Spark 0xc0e4…80be | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5874c8… |
| 05-12 19:55:30 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | No | BUY | 250 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb1044b… |
| 05-12 11:02:30 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf1ad8f… |
| 05-12 10:57:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 357 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf4e8bb… |
| 05-12 10:57:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 167 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fa852… |
| 05-12 10:42:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 37 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x95c58b… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | Yes | BUY | 404 | 100¢ | $402 | 0xf9e6fb… |
| 05-12 10:42:30 | Overdue-Unique 0xf7e8…a35d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8d24c5… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x1434…30f4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0228aa… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x1545…3d97 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf1a0d9… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Fussy-Expedition 0x594e…1c11 | Yes | BUY | 2,906 | 99¢ | $2,877 | 0x0fd4ab… |
| 05-12 08:32:18 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4763fe… |
| 05-12 05:35:59 | Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | Yes | BUY | 1,559 | 99¢ | $1,542 | 0xd8c77c… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x379a92… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb396d8… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x478d3c… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x11e38f… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8d519c… |
| 05-12 05:20:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 38 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xee9232… |
| 05-12 04:40:50 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf4cbf1… |
| 05-12 04:34:44 | Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | BUY | 404 | 25¢ | $100 | 0x69ac10… |
| 05-12 04:28:42 | Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | BUY | 108 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x27d0f2… |
| 05-12 04:28:42 | Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xad1590… |
| 05-12 04:20:27 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x800551… |