Will Cesena FC vs. Calcio Padova end in a draw?
open
Total volume
$273
$6,626 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$218,636
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 20:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+26.1¢
(top1%: 97% YES on $105
vs crowd: 71% YES on $213)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $101 | $3 | +$99 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $49 | $60 | $11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $101 | $4 | +$98 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $10 | $51 | $41 |
| unranked | 2 | $7 | $2 | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +414 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 05-08 20:21 |
| Warm-Site 0x8f41…cdff | No | +83 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 20:07 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +70 | $26 | $26 | 14 | 05-08 20:16 |
| Tense-Referendum 0x945e…e95f | Yes | +68 | $26 | $30 | 3 | 05-08 20:21 |
| Biodegradable-Corporatism 0x8056…9507 | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 18:37 |
| Wry-Needle 0x3f83…7091 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 20:11 |
| Secret-Cofactor 0x5df5…c44c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 18:47 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 19:53 |
| Rowdy-Antecedent 0xa1a7…ace4 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 20:07 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe941…a496 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe941…a496 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 20:07 |
| Average-Win 0x1262…4e99 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 18:38 |
| Bumpy-Heartbeat 0xe479…70df | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Right-Tarragon 0xa590…271c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:49 |
| Enchanting-Nail 0x539c…fa81 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 21:59 |
| Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 20:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 20:36:09 | Leading-Temperature 0x9279…ed18 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x91ad0c… |
| 05-08 20:21:43 | Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xd0d6d0… |
| 05-08 20:21:37 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x7864b2… |
| 05-08 20:21:36 | Tense-Referendum 0x945e…e95f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x2633ad… |
| 05-08 20:16:42 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x8b2688… |
| 05-08 20:16:28 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x758a91… |
| 05-08 20:11:11 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x3b0501… |
| 05-08 20:11:07 | Wry-Needle 0x3f83…7091 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x733e41… |
| 05-08 20:11:06 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xf7dfc5… |
| 05-08 20:10:06 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x21c27b… |
| 05-08 20:09:59 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xf0d89f… |
| 05-08 20:07:15 | (anonymous) 0xe941…a496 | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x988e9e… |
| 05-08 20:07:15 | (anonymous) 0xe941…a496 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xfa6687… |
| 05-08 20:07:13 | Warm-Site 0x8f41…cdff | No | BUY | 83 | 60¢ | $50 | 0x25d52d… |
| 05-08 20:07:13 | Tense-Referendum 0x945e…e95f | Yes | BUY | 44 | 41¢ | $18 | 0x6751b9… |
| 05-08 20:07:13 | Rowdy-Antecedent 0xa1a7…ace4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xc74022… |
| 05-08 20:07:06 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xa75513… |
| 05-08 20:06:01 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xabf260… |
| 05-08 20:05:12 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xa29ea5… |
| 05-08 19:53:37 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xc73d9e… |
| 05-08 19:48:29 | Tense-Referendum 0x945e…e95f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x040c79… |
| 05-08 19:43:04 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x7d4fc2… |
| 05-08 19:35:18 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xf57086… |
| 05-08 19:20:00 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x5e69ff… |
| 05-08 19:12:14 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x7141fb… |
| 05-08 19:10:29 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xe7e9c3… |
| 05-08 18:58:02 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x8d3e9d… |
| 05-08 18:47:58 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 404 | 18¢ | $73 | 0x0785a2… |
| 05-08 18:47:58 | Secret-Cofactor 0x5df5…c44c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xa6601d… |
| 05-08 18:47:55 | Dental-Headphones-Adverb 0xf859…c775 | Yes | SELL | 268 | 18¢ | $49 | 0x498829… |
| 05-08 18:38:00 | Average-Win 0x1262…4e99 | No | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x52ed4c… |
| 05-08 18:37:58 | Biodegradable-Corporatism 0x8056…9507 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x425460… |
| 05-08 12:49:28 | Bumpy-Heartbeat 0xe479…70df | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x066777… |
| 05-08 05:10:07 | Homely-Windchime 0x2f53…2d83 | No | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xa235d2… |
| 05-08 04:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x143f…6555 | No | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x638e90… |
| 05-07 21:59:30 | Enchanting-Nail 0x539c…fa81 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x6c39ab… |
| 05-07 10:49:50 | Right-Tarragon 0xa590…271c | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xbf336b… |