Warm-Site — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$431

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-09 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 88% $-431

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$1.3K	715	715	+0	open	—	04-30 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$483	454	243	+211	Up	+$36	05-09 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$445	553	0	+553	Up	+$109	05-09 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$409	243	243	+0	open	—	04-30 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$400	456	0	+456	open	—	04-30 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$400	416	0	+416	open	—	04-30 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$371	207	207	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$354	498	0	+498	Down	$-354	05-09 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$340	207	207	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$338	199	199	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$311	200	200	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$297	168	168	+0	Up	+$13	05-07 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$284	173	156	+17	open	—	04-27 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$281	224	168	+56	Up	+$21	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$265	313	32	+280	Up	$-255	05-09 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$248	178	178	+0	Up	+$48	05-07 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$244	231	231	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$244	179	179	+0	open	—	04-30 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$241	156	152	+3	open	—	04-26 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$232	165	165	+0	open	—	04-30 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$228	130	130	+0	open	—	04-29 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$228	175	175	+0	open	—	04-30 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$225	226	33	+193	Up	+$22	05-07 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$224	125	125	+0	open	—	04-30 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$218	260	0	+260	Down	+$42	05-09 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	5	$214	389	0	+389	Down	$-214	05-09 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$211	115	115	+0	open	—	04-30 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$209	164	164	+0	open	—	04-30 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$178	180	0	+180	Down	+$2	05-07 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$167	91	91	+0	Down	+$8	05-07 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 10:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x692004…
05-09 10:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x832422…
05-09 10:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	444	72¢	$320	0xde1636…
05-09 10:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	243	63¢	$154	0xd20d2b…
05-09 10:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x255d21…
05-09 10:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4e4686…
05-09 10:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	440	73¢	$320	0x17d99d…
05-09 10:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xb8a1ce…
05-09 10:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x345dc4…
05-09 10:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8fc001…
05-09 10:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x1fa62c…
05-09 10:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	202	66¢	$134	0x43c9f7…
05-09 10:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x81941f…
05-09 10:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	277	83¢	$230	0x31ec66…
05-09 10:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	270	77¢	$210	0xbe896a…
05-09 10:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	280	86¢	$240	0xb016e1…
05-09 10:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0xa5a592…
05-09 10:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xd34a7a…
05-09 09:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	260	84¢	$218	0xb7c281…
05-08 20:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x75ed16…
05-08 20:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x22c53f…
05-08 20:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x634ab0…
05-08 20:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x542d38…
05-07 20:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x43d717…
05-07 20:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x581318…
05-07 20:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xa6a097…
05-07 20:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4dd211…
05-07 19:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x8448f2…
05-07 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x267ed9…
05-07 19:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0130c3…
05-07 19:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x62d6b3…
05-07 19:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	193	92¢	$178	0xce0363…
05-07 19:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0xaa9579…
05-07 19:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x205838…
05-07 19:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xbd65af…
05-07 19:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x689347…
05-07 19:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf6746c…
05-07 19:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbdd58f…
05-07 19:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	207	85¢	$175	0x26188b…
05-07 19:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	199	80¢	$160	0x1b98d1…
05-07 19:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2d518d…
05-07 19:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	91	96¢	$88	0xe423e7…
05-07 19:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	91	87¢	$80	0x11c7b8…
05-07 19:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	189	88¢	$167	0x79e07b…
05-07 19:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	189	87¢	$165	0x8f705d…
05-07 19:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xf0846e…
05-07 19:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4f83fd…
05-07 19:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xd39907…
05-07 19:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc56241…
05-07 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	172	96¢	$165	0x2068ce…
05-07 18:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	172	93¢	$160	0x51f269…
05-07 18:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0x6f391b…
05-07 18:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x42ed22…
05-07 18:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	166	89¢	$148	0xf6e83b…
05-07 18:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	34	36¢	$12	0xdd2ac7…
05-07 18:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	166	78¢	$130	0x3e1f69…
05-07 18:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x53cf8c…
05-07 18:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	168	92¢	$155	0xd7d389…
05-07 18:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	168	85¢	$142	0x765ae8…
05-07 18:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	231	54¢	$124	0x457760…
05-07 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	231	52¢	$120	0xc00609…
05-07 18:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd22896…
05-07 18:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x7c7fe0…
05-07 17:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	178	83¢	$148	0xf99466…
05-07 17:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0xbbf0e1…
05-06 17:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x0e1adb…
05-06 17:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x015213…
05-06 17:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc70b56…
05-06 17:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x584244…
05-06 17:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x13864a…
05-06 17:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xff265d…
05-06 17:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	79	92¢	$72	0x9cfc8c…
05-06 17:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0xee8353…
05-06 17:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x602f1e…
05-06 17:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x779c7b…
05-06 17:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x065270…
05-06 17:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x31ae6f…
05-06 17:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0x913206…
05-04 20:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x555980…
05-04 20:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd045af…
05-04 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	68	83¢	$56	0x3eecd1…
05-04 20:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	68	78¢	$53	0x0fd7ec…
05-04 20:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	61¢	$26	0x824664…
05-04 20:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x2bebb3…
05-04 20:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3cc956…
05-04 20:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xea5420…
05-04 20:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	71	84¢	$59	0x9cb48c…
05-04 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	75¢	$53	0x4b545d…
05-04 20:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	98	65¢	$64	0xb58d49…
05-04 20:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	98	53¢	$52	0xa8bba7…
05-04 19:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x5a19d0…
05-04 19:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x1085b9…
05-04 19:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xbe3e64…
05-04 19:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0xfe2949…
05-04 19:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x34fa98…
05-04 19:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xe20f33…
05-04 19:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd41cfc…
05-04 19:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x956560…
05-04 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb960de…
05-04 19:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x789195…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	144	$45.6K	7,829	05-09 10:27
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	144	$42.8K	7,493	05-09 10:27
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	143	$141.6K	18,885	05-09 10:29
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	143	$45.1K	13,395	05-09 10:29
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	143	$42.4K	12,398	05-09 10:29
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	142	$91.2K	6,430	05-09 10:28
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	140	$23.2K	1,293	05-09 10:27
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	139	$30.0K	13,746	05-09 10:29