Warm-Site — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

11 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$254

$254 lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$120	231	0	+231	open	—	05-07 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$59	0	71	-71	Up	$-11	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$22	36	8	+28	Up	+$9	05-06 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	05-07 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$6	0	10	-10	Up	$-3	05-06 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$6	0	9	-9	open	—	05-07 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	0	7	-7	Down	$-2	05-06 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-07 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-07 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-06 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 20:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4dd211…
05-07 19:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4f83fd…
05-07 19:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xd39907…
05-07 18:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x53cf8c…
05-07 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	231	52¢	$120	0xc00609…
05-06 17:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x0e1adb…
05-06 17:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x015213…
05-06 17:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x584244…
05-06 17:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x602f1e…
05-06 17:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x065270…
05-04 20:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	71	84¢	$59	0x9cb48c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	10	$2.74K	104	05-07 20:01
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$1.50K	66	05-07 20:01
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	9	$641	174	05-07 20:01
Humble-Outcome 0x9a1d…86d6	8	$2.05K	17	05-07 20:01
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	8	$1.80K	40	05-07 20:01
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	8	$780	63	05-07 20:01
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	8	$769	66	05-07 20:01
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	8	$552	35	05-07 20:01