Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$764
$4,094 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$173
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 14:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $37
vs crowd: 5% YES on $736)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $68 | $68 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $34 | $634 | $600 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $37 | $37 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $4 | $576 | $571 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $51 | $50 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | $9 | $9 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 4 | $28 | $20 | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent-Spirituality 0xc60b…d9f7 | No | +582 | $547 | $547 | 2 | 05-09 02:50 |
| Beautiful-Cleft 0x1b0d…b018 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-09 14:02 |
| Attractive-Right 0x0ea3…41f8 | Yes | +50 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-09 03:24 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 05-09 10:20 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 02:55 |
| Powerless-Entrepreneur 0x633d…80a2 | No | +29 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | Yes | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 23:36 |
| Honest-Stitch 0x945d…77aa | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 05:34 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 10:20 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 13:58 |
| Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:33 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 14:03 |
| Pointless-Cinnamon 0xb63a…3005 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:23 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:43 |
| Perky-Warmup 0x5c5c…828b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 14:24:05 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x0cda68… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce94f1… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf7a01e… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4caa92… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45fd92… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa9e018… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63d9f7… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15d764… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x80e2c4… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x296b27… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x902862… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x10246a… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8f3f3… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9879c8… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e0c33… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77e943… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7a90b7… |
| 05-09 14:03:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0c0bb8… |
| 05-09 14:02:51 | Beautiful-Cleft 0x1b0d…b018 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x26052c… |
| 05-09 13:58:27 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xce7c11… |
| 05-09 13:13:00 | Insistent-Kiss 0xdea3…1b1a | Yes | SELL | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc15020… |
| 05-09 12:06:44 | Absolute-Scraper 0xb49f…9679 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x54544d… |
| 05-09 12:00:40 | Perky-Warmup 0x5c5c…828b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x4002b2… |
| 05-09 10:20:15 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xfbff64… |
| 05-09 10:20:10 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x7d4ea9… |
| 05-09 05:34:46 | Honest-Stitch 0x945d…77aa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xff4328… |
| 05-09 03:43:42 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xb86fe5… |
| 05-09 03:24:22 | Attractive-Right 0x0ea3…41f8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xebe55a… |
| 05-09 03:20:29 | Attractive-Right 0x0ea3…41f8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x1a252b… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xc2d1b0… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3a18b0… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbab1de… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x00ed00… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x43ba6a… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1026b8… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfa85fc… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc42d3a… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbfac83… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x786e4c… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9c9890… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfd1907… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2dd1c6… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5f48a8… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x936d48… |
| 05-09 02:50:13 | Violent-Spirituality 0xc60b…d9f7 | No | BUY | 424 | 93¢ | $396 | 0xc339e3… |
| 05-09 02:45:13 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xb612e2… |
| 05-09 02:40:18 | Violent-Spirituality 0xc60b…d9f7 | No | BUY | 158 | 96¢ | $151 | 0xe4611c… |
| 05-09 00:23:09 | Pointless-Cinnamon 0xb63a…3005 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x7d3135… |
| 05-08 23:36:47 | (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | Yes | BUY | 21 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x6ca0f5… |
| 05-08 22:21:40 | Insistent-Kiss 0xdea3…1b1a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xfdd253… |
| 05-08 15:32:21 | Mealy-Reactant 0x477f…9144 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xf00ea3… |
| 05-08 08:44:49 | Powerless-Entrepreneur 0x633d…80a2 | No | BUY | 29 | 68¢ | $20 | 0x79cc31… |
| 05-08 07:33:23 | Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x8ca000… |
| 05-08 05:15:10 | Absolute-Scraper 0xb49f…9679 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x0e4fa5… |