Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$173,322

Trades

7,835

Unique wallets

1,042

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-01-12

First seen

2026-01-12

last 01-12 06:30

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Colossal-Facet +54,413 (anon) +39,354 (anon) +4,826 (anon) +4,325 (anon) +4,319 (anon) +3,547 (anon) +3,020 (anon) +2,952

NO holders

Smart-Compassion +33,160 (anon) +17,469 Querulous-Oxford +14,500 (anon) +5,236 Well-Made-Sneeze +4,909 (anon) +3,779 (anon) +3,613 Sparse-Individual +3,486

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +0.9¢ (top1%: 19% YES on $103.0K vs crowd: 18% YES on $159.6K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	93	$13.4K	$106.3K	$92.9K
🐬 Dolphin	226	$12.0K	$14.6K	$2.6K
🐟 Fish	393	$1.9K	$7.6K	$5.7K
🦐 Shrimp	330	$1.5K	$2.2K	$697

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	90	$19.5K	$83.5K	$64.0K
🏆 Top 5%	106	$1.1K	$4.1K	$3.0K
✅ Top 10%	54	$96	$578	$482
Median	91	$550	$581	$30
Below median	331	$1.1K	$3.2K	$2.1K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	168	$1.2K	$3.0K	$1.8K
🔻 Bottom 5%	132	$2.0K	$7.2K	$5.2K
💀 Bottom 1%	70	$3.4K	$28.7K	$25.3K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1	Up	+54,413	$54	$54	6	01-12 06:29
(anonymous) 0xf693…e96c	Up	+39,354	$6,759	$6,759	561	01-12 06:23
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	Down	+33,160	$33,120	$33,120	49	01-12 06:30
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Down	+17,469	$14,413	$14,413	300	01-12 06:22
Querulous-Oxford 0xd81f…6b75	Down	+14,500	$14,486	$14,486	1	01-12 06:29
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+5,236	$3,836	$3,836	57	01-12 06:22
Well-Made-Sneeze 0x425e…7993	Down	+4,909	$4,904	$4,904	8	01-12 06:29
(anonymous) 0x961a…3361	Up	+4,826	$1,223	$1,223	151	01-12 06:21
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+4,325	$845	$845	51	01-12 06:20
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Up	+4,319	$1,210	$1,210	98	01-12 06:21
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Down	+3,779	$2,878	$2,878	114	01-12 06:23
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Down	+3,613	$2,422	$2,422	19	01-12 06:23
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+3,547	$861	$861	54	01-12 06:20
Sparse-Individual 0x7a0e…10b2	Down	+3,486	$2,952	$2,952	68	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0x961a…3361	Down	+3,412	$2,080	$2,080	58	01-12 06:20
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+3,390	$2,507	$2,507	35	01-12 06:23
(anonymous) 0x0d18…24a6	Up	+3,020	$1,550	$1,550	6	01-12 06:03
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Up	+2,952	$609	$609	4	01-12 06:27
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Down	+2,952	$2,045	$2,045	4	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Up	+2,843	$783	$783	122	01-12 06:21
(anonymous) 0xb9e6…2f0f	Down	+1,968	$1,000	$1,000	1	01-12 06:16
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Up	+1,881	$943	$943	90	01-12 06:19
(anonymous) 0x8c90…6e09	Down	+1,867	$925	$925	7	01-12 06:14
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Down	+1,599	$1,270	$1,270	25	01-12 06:23
(anonymous) 0x146e…92d9	Down	+1,573	$1,447	$1,447	1	01-12 06:21
Made-Up-Cream 0x104a…5b05	Down	+1,560	$1,466	$1,466	1	01-12 06:23
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Down	+1,275	$983	$1,031	38	01-12 06:23
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Up	+1,229	$180	$180	41	01-12 06:23
(anonymous) 0x0ad3…747b	Down	+1,200	$1,104	$1,104	4	01-12 06:20
(anonymous) 0xebca…170e	Down	+1,174	$749	$749	50	01-12 06:19
(anonymous) 0x05c1…45b7	Down	+1,152	$899	$899	31	01-12 06:23
(anonymous) 0x1ff4…e7a5	Up	+1,000	$90	$90	1	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0xdef5…a2bf	Up	+1,000	$1	$1	7	01-12 06:28
(anonymous) 0x9cd1…0b33	Up	+908	$213	$213	22	01-12 06:21
Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be	Up	+900	$457	$457	27	01-12 06:14
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+896	$580	$580	99	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0xe041…f2e5	Down	+873	$598	$606	6	01-12 06:20
(anonymous) 0x817d…2527	Down	+847	$779	$779	1	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0x05c1…45b7	Up	+828	$399	$399	27	01-12 06:20
(anonymous) 0x593d…04c8	Up	+795	$136	$136	53	01-12 06:18
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+795	$550	$550	49	01-12 06:23
(anonymous) 0x9cd1…0b33	Down	+790	$672	$672	26	01-12 06:20
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Up	+777	$194	$313	48	01-12 06:20
Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab	Up	+768	$390	$390	15	01-12 06:14
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Up	+749	$245	$245	59	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+742	$284	$284	44	01-12 06:18
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+637	$490	$490	27	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0x61f2…8519	Up	+623	$120	$432	160	01-12 06:23
Ordinary-Wild 0xce0a…c836	Down	+623	$456	$623	9	01-12 06:19
(anonymous) 0x397b…0337	Up	+600	$306	$306	6	01-12 06:12
(anonymous) 0x474f…07fd	Down	+600	$288	$288	3	01-12 06:15
(anonymous) 0xf1d5…155a	Down	+569	$279	$279	1	01-12 06:12
(anonymous) 0x0aaf…7a87	Down	+556	$409	$409	6	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+522	$164	$164	56	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0x0aaf…7a87	Up	+500	$70	$70	5	01-12 06:22
Klutzy-Register 0x5039…a717	Up	+444	$40	$40	1	01-12 06:21
(anonymous) 0x2d91…5c46	Up	+444	$40	$40	2	01-12 06:22
(anonymous) 0x4a58…64ca	Up	+400	$200	$200	1	01-12 06:00
(anonymous) 0x557b…80d4	Up	+387	$93	$93	23	01-12 06:20
Sparse-Individual 0x7a0e…10b2	Up	+375	$188	$188	18	01-12 06:19