Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 4?
open
Total volume
$463
$38,457 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$13,966
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 06:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $32 | $172 | $140 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| unranked | 13 | $15 | $142 | $128 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | +2,413 | $14 | $14 | 14 | 05-05 04:00 |
| Every-Apprehension 0x3903…0f92 | No | +103 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| Cautious-Microlending 0xe1b0…155b | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-05 00:49 |
| Rough-Outlaw 0x56f0…327f | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 03:22 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-04 23:14 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 03:40 |
| Talkative-Carbon 0x37e4…ab98 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| Disgusting-Antling 0x3bb5…5969 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| Elastic-Blowhole 0x053b…d0fa | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:29 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 22:04 |
| Left-Village 0x5937…ae8d | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 06:50:06 | Glossy-Testing 0x0823…fdd1 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8841bc… |
| 05-05 06:10:08 | Circular-Dolman 0xdc1c…5b1c | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe2fbf4… |
| 05-05 05:30:10 | Well-Off-Dame 0x5ab7…e715 | No | SELL | 103 | 100¢ | $103 | 0x96da30… |
| 05-05 04:00:04 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa8eaed… |
| 05-05 03:40:26 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4d44f6… |
| 05-05 03:35:04 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x284ab1… |
| 05-05 03:22:36 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd3330b… |
| 05-05 03:22:04 | Rough-Outlaw 0x56f0…327f | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x459fab… |
| 05-05 03:15:20 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x54cf7c… |
| 05-05 02:50:34 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd9e321… |
| 05-05 02:49:30 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9a4e48… |
| 05-05 02:40:08 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6da50a… |
| 05-05 02:10:22 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x495098… |
| 05-05 01:49:56 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 189 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x03d7d9… |
| 05-05 01:34:30 | Loving-Evaluator 0xdd68…988d | No | SELL | 128 | 99¢ | $127 | 0x45f4a1… |
| 05-05 01:30:12 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 148 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x889f0b… |
| 05-05 01:20:10 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xadbeed… |
| 05-05 01:09:34 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 230 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa3bbf3… |
| 05-05 00:49:44 | Cautious-Microlending 0xe1b0…155b | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xec65c3… |
| 05-05 00:49:34 | Cautious-Microlending 0xe1b0…155b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf9db9f… |
| 05-05 00:24:58 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8d44d1… |
| 05-04 23:14:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6ab088… |
| 05-04 23:09:42 | Joyful-Heroine 0x61b8…e749 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4dcad0… |
| 05-04 22:59:50 | Zealous-Vehicle 0x3e97…5ddc | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xea8f55… |
| 05-04 22:59:42 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6714d2… |
| 05-04 22:04:26 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x7e2425… |
| 05-04 21:59:48 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x1c8151… |
| 05-04 21:54:56 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0xdb8d8e… |
| 05-04 21:54:54 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 21 | 41¢ | $9 | 0x78ff60… |
| 05-04 21:54:48 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 52¢ | $11 | 0x7a01a2… |
| 05-04 21:29:38 | Elastic-Blowhole 0x053b…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x18c7ca… |
| 05-04 21:04:34 | Disgusting-Antling 0x3bb5…5969 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xc9eb55… |
| 05-04 21:04:24 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x611a66… |
| 05-04 21:04:24 | Left-Village 0x5937…ae8d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9c8f0b… |
| 05-04 21:04:22 | Every-Apprehension 0x3903…0f92 | No | BUY | 103 | 82¢ | $85 | 0x483b56… |
| 05-04 20:54:44 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xaa06c1… |
| 05-04 20:54:38 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf3f32a… |
| 05-04 20:01:32 | Talkative-Carbon 0x37e4…ab98 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x7cdb64… |