Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$266,158

Trades

26,434

Unique wallets

1,505

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-01-15

First seen

2026-01-15

last 01-15 20:16

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +22,992 (anon) +17,763 (anon) +10,294 (anon) +8,984 Courteous-Fort +8,028 (anon) +5,000 (anon) +4,761 (anon) +4,742

NO holders

(anon) +26,798 (anon) +20,771 (anon) +14,798 (anon) +9,745 (anon) +8,951 (anon) +4,435 (anon) +3,864 (anon) +3,832

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -4.6¢ (top1%: 59% YES on $124.7K vs crowd: 63% YES on $226.9K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	116	$71.8K	$54.5K	+$17.4K
🐬 Dolphin	349	$39.7K	$17.5K	+$22.2K
🐟 Fish	594	$29.7K	$8.2K	+$21.5K
🦐 Shrimp	446	$2.6K	$2.9K	$304

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	121	$73.3K	$51.4K	+$21.9K
🏆 Top 5%	162	$11.8K	$3.8K	+$8.0K
✅ Top 10%	91	$2.1K	$946	+$1.1K
Median	102	$626	$444	+$181
Below median	470	$5.1K	$3.1K	+$2.1K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	239	$5.4K	$3.0K	+$2.5K
🔻 Bottom 5%	216	$13.5K	$8.2K	+$5.3K
💀 Bottom 1%	104	$32.0K	$12.2K	+$19.8K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x5892…4ad2	Down	+26,798	$10,538	$10,538	400	01-15 20:12
(anonymous) 0x71b4…b311	Up	+22,992	$12,056	$12,056	269	01-15 20:00
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Down	+20,771	$6,379	$6,379	513	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x5892…4ad2	Up	+17,763	$10,549	$10,549	581	01-15 20:12
(anonymous) 0xe18f…b47d	Down	+14,798	$3,502	$3,502	2	01-15 20:05
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Up	+10,294	$6,895	$6,895	286	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+9,745	$4,689	$9,311	433	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xf444…c970	Up	+8,984	$5,428	$5,428	183	01-15 20:15
(anonymous) 0xf444…c970	Down	+8,951	$3,684	$3,684	153	01-15 20:14
Courteous-Fort 0x1878…d998	Up	+8,028	$7,948	$7,948	61	01-15 20:16
(anonymous) 0x024c…fd09	Up	+5,000	$2,500	$2,500	166	01-15 20:00
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+4,761	$3,037	$3,037	469	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+4,742	$3,138	$3,483	167	01-15 20:13
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+4,435	$1,525	$1,525	465	01-15 20:14
Nippy-Pecan 0x1ec6…0cfe	Up	+4,000	$1,911	$1,911	1	01-15 20:07
(anonymous) 0xafe1…8b26	Down	+3,864	$729	$729	401	01-15 20:15
(anonymous) 0x63b9…b8ac	Down	+3,832	$720	$720	8	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	Up	+3,515	$2,301	$2,301	261	01-15 20:13
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+3,355	$2,546	$3,237	169	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+3,211	$2,035	$6,827	508	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xb982…9043	Up	+3,006	$2,430	$2,430	1	01-15 20:13
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Down	+2,946	$855	$855	207	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Down	+2,945	$1,102	$1,102	81	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Up	+2,885	$2,049	$2,049	169	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xe041…f2e5	Down	+2,600	$817	$1,763	43	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Up	+2,568	$1,662	$1,662	66	01-15 20:14
Silent-Median 0xc6e2…11d1	Up	+2,540	$2,505	$2,505	1	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xc165…af1f	Up	+2,464	$1,713	$1,713	520	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xc165…af1f	Down	+2,427	$786	$786	453	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x8d56…c454	Up	+2,320	$2,254	$2,254	3	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xd990…4866	Up	+2,289	$1,280	$1,280	2	01-15 19:59
Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b	Down	+2,266	$1,040	$1,040	58	01-15 19:57
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+2,263	$888	$888	214	01-15 20:12
Fresh-Anarchist 0x8f14…1e77	Up	+2,070	$1,522	$1,522	1	01-15 20:08
(anonymous) 0x9067…f64f	Up	+2,000	$1,060	$1,060	59	01-15 20:00
(anonymous) 0x45ea…f5ab	Down	+1,921	$451	$451	85	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Up	+1,865	$1,217	$1,217	210	01-15 20:13
(anonymous) 0x8f40…600d	Down	+1,858	$353	$679	25	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xf24a…0b53	Down	+1,764	$637	$637	83	01-15 20:11
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Down	+1,703	$643	$643	13	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Up	+1,703	$1,114	$1,114	13	01-15 20:13
(anonymous) 0x9c1e…2fd2	Down	+1,692	$547	$547	94	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x9aeb…5a2d	Down	+1,608	$573	$573	19	01-15 20:11
(anonymous) 0xf24a…0b53	Up	+1,513	$974	$974	127	01-15 20:11
(anonymous) 0xf8fe…157b	Down	+1,405	$487	$487	84	01-15 20:09
(anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba	Down	+1,400	$18	$18	12	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x557b…80d4	Down	+1,347	$432	$432	119	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x557b…80d4	Up	+1,332	$972	$972	108	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x9c1e…2fd2	Up	+1,309	$866	$866	72	01-15 20:13
(anonymous) 0x05c1…45b7	Down	+1,245	$666	$754	84	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xbfe1…f922	Up	+1,217	$882	$882	107	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Down	+1,206	$777	$3,284	375	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xdd5a…b6c4	Down	+1,157	$425	$425	115	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x2289…0c44	Down	+1,123	$11	$11	7	01-15 20:15
(anonymous) 0x84d1…a8ee	Up	+1,110	$1,088	$1,088	1	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0x97d2…adb9	Up	+1,103	$850	$850	1	01-15 20:11
(anonymous) 0xc062…ea25	Up	+1,097	$900	$900	1	01-15 20:06
(anonymous) 0xdd5a…b6c4	Up	+1,090	$771	$771	76	01-15 20:14
(anonymous) 0xbfe1…f922	Down	+1,021	$343	$343	117	01-15 20:13
(anonymous) 0xd64b…d37c	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	01-15 20:15