Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$683
$5,265 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$1,540
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 22:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $17 | $652 | $635 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $544 | $544 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $59 | $59 |
| Median | 3 | — | $51 | $51 |
| Below median | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | +444 | $424 | $424 | 6 | 05-09 03:00 |
| Instructive-Countess 0x9aa6…610b | Yes | +169 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 02:45 |
| Unhealthy-Bog 0xcbbc…b5d0 | Yes | +158 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 20:13 |
| Innocent-Kit 0x0fa2…e1d4 | Yes | +67 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 14:30 |
| Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-08 22:16 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +57 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:07 |
| Jumpy-Surgeon 0x9abf…eb59 | Yes | +56 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 21:51 |
| Noxious-Trinket 0xf137…a1c1 | Yes | +51 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Broken-Blocker 0x42c8…face | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:34 |
| Fearful-Reliability 0xa637…3494 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 04:58 |
| Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | +44 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-08 07:04 |
| Delirious-Viability 0x3ac4…2529 | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-09 00:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 07:33 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 22:36 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fcc…5fa6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xda15…6811 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a71…4a6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 22:35 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 21:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 22:35:26 | (anonymous) 0x0a71…4a6b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2f3194… |
| 05-09 21:46:13 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x07dbda… |
| 05-09 20:13:27 | Unhealthy-Bog 0xcbbc…b5d0 | Yes | BUY | 158 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x7a7372… |
| 05-09 20:02:46 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xd4fead… |
| 05-09 19:08:19 | Neat-Crab 0xc602…6278 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf2a129… |
| 05-09 19:07:54 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4ccbb1… |
| 05-09 10:15:25 | (anonymous) 0xda15…6811 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x94c629… |
| 05-09 10:15:23 | (anonymous) 0x5fcc…5fa6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7e1e72… |
| 05-09 03:00:32 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 73 | 96¢ | $70 | 0x3deac8… |
| 05-09 02:45:31 | Instructive-Countess 0x9aa6…610b | Yes | BUY | 169 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xcff8c8… |
| 05-09 00:34:33 | Broken-Blocker 0x42c8…face | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0e336f… |
| 05-09 00:20:14 | Delirious-Viability 0x3ac4…2529 | No | BUY | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0x9680f7… |
| 05-08 22:36:28 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2119d0… |
| 05-08 22:21:19 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x558c9a… |
| 05-08 22:16:46 | Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0xac13d0… |
| 05-08 21:51:34 | Jumpy-Surgeon 0x9abf…eb59 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x665118… |
| 05-08 14:30:21 | Innocent-Kit 0x0fa2…e1d4 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x182430… |
| 05-08 12:44:58 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 80 | 98¢ | $79 | 0x709489… |
| 05-08 11:34:43 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x3eeb77… |
| 05-08 09:20:50 | Noxious-Trinket 0xf137…a1c1 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x002abc… |
| 05-08 09:05:56 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 119 | 94¢ | $112 | 0xc31f9a… |
| 05-08 08:25:43 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x19c24a… |
| 05-08 07:33:39 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xd8e92a… |
| 05-08 07:15:41 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 112 | 95¢ | $106 | 0xdf24f9… |
| 05-08 07:08:30 | Noxious-Trinket 0xf137…a1c1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x50f6cc… |
| 05-08 07:04:25 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x28246a… |
| 05-08 07:04:17 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $28 | 0xb42d08… |
| 05-08 04:58:43 | Fearful-Reliability 0xa637…3494 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xb3264e… |
| 05-08 04:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xf0228b… |