Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 8?
open
Total volume
$380
$2,408 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$2,757
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 19:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $0 | $379 | $379 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 4 | — | $147 | $147 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 12 | $0 | $219 | $218 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puzzling-Bow 0x39bf…e411 | No | +106 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 05-07 11:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | +94 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-07 16:39 |
| Trusty-Tanktop 0x9d7e…3dbe | No | +82 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-06 16:11 |
| Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-06 16:12 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-06 20:10 |
| Rough-Spec 0x993b…6e90 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 11:01 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 19:16 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 08:19 |
| Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 10:15 |
| Finished-Organisation 0x01e8…f926 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 09:03 |
| Short-Term-Mastoid 0x0245…e257 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 07:54 |
| Trifling-Pickup 0x9f99…9747 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 09:25 |
| Insidious-Authorization 0x059d…e12e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 02:53 |
| Immaculate-Pillow 0x6e7d…adb4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 03:33 |
| Ragged-Blocker 0xac4a…a781 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 09:41 |
| Warlike-Extinction 0xb202…7032 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 06:08 |
| Spiteful-Tent 0x0dae…6e16 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 19:16:12 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc3ac10… |
| 05-07 16:39:08 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 94 | 100¢ | $94 | 0xa83f2b… |
| 05-07 11:59:24 | Puzzling-Bow 0x39bf…e411 | No | BUY | 106 | 100¢ | $105 | 0x955f10… |
| 05-07 11:01:07 | Rough-Spec 0x993b…6e90 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf19a8d… |
| 05-07 10:15:30 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x7c39b8… |
| 05-07 09:41:05 | Ragged-Blocker 0xac4a…a781 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x578867… |
| 05-07 09:25:17 | Trifling-Pickup 0x9f99…9747 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8602f1… |
| 05-07 09:03:09 | Finished-Organisation 0x01e8…f926 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xfbf01e… |
| 05-07 09:00:12 | Appropriate-Boycott 0xc1d2…ec9c | Yes | SELL | 312 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc97f23… |
| 05-07 08:33:25 | Spiteful-Tent 0x0dae…6e16 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x67970e… |
| 05-07 08:19:04 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xaa9072… |
| 05-07 07:54:12 | Short-Term-Mastoid 0x0245…e257 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xdfc39a… |
| 05-07 06:08:42 | Warlike-Extinction 0xb202…7032 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4e9202… |
| 05-07 03:52:52 | Appropriate-Boycott 0xc1d2…ec9c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b9155… |
| 05-07 03:43:44 | Appropriate-Boycott 0xc1d2…ec9c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa83eca… |
| 05-07 03:42:54 | Appropriate-Boycott 0xc1d2…ec9c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff1722… |
| 05-07 03:37:56 | Appropriate-Boycott 0xc1d2…ec9c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5fa63d… |
| 05-07 03:33:44 | Appropriate-Boycott 0xc1d2…ec9c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdab934… |
| 05-07 03:33:23 | Immaculate-Pillow 0x6e7d…adb4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9c8c4c… |
| 05-07 03:28:08 | Appropriate-Boycott 0xc1d2…ec9c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa013fd… |
| 05-07 03:23:04 | Appropriate-Boycott 0xc1d2…ec9c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb380a4… |
| 05-07 02:53:38 | Insidious-Authorization 0x059d…e12e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x23e0ee… |
| 05-06 20:10:07 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xeff033… |
| 05-06 19:45:12 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xed673c… |
| 05-06 16:12:24 | Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xb11c0c… |
| 05-06 16:11:49 | Trusty-Tanktop 0x9d7e…3dbe | No | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x5ccc17… |