European Open: Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon
cancelled
Total volume
$15,563
Trades
191
Unique wallets
74
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-26
First seen
2026-10-17
last 10-18 18:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-35.4¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $8.4K
vs crowd: 53% YES on $15.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $1.9K | $6.9K | $5.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $1.1K | $46 | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $3.7K | $47 | +$3.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $1.1K | $81 | +$1.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $1.4K | $6.9K | $5.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $1.3K | $8 | +$1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $915 | $23 | +$892 |
| Median | 4 | $43 | $1 | +$41 |
| Below median | 19 | $209 | $25 | +$184 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $95 | $74 | +$21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $839 | $42 | +$796 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $3.1K | — | +$3.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | +13,695 | $6,435 | $7,307 | 69 | 10-18 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8bc…2956 | Holger Rune | +2,924 | $1,491 | $1,491 | 3 | 10-18 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2aff…411f | Holger Rune | +2,021 | $1,031 | $1,031 | 4 | 10-18 16:59 |
| Scary-Body 0xe1e4…a1ad | Holger Rune | +1,900 | $969 | $969 | 1 | 10-18 18:05 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Holger Rune | +1,094 | $625 | $625 | 6 | 10-18 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x77c7…5fdf | Holger Rune | +844 | $430 | $430 | 1 | 10-18 17:21 |
| Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Holger Rune | +806 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 10-18 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x801e…71b4 | Holger Rune | +767 | $391 | $391 | 4 | 10-18 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x105d…e8de | Holger Rune | +588 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 10-18 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd619…c461 | Holger Rune | +442 | $271 | $271 | 2 | 10-18 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb07…e2cc | Holger Rune | +262 | $131 | $131 | 7 | 10-18 16:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xe74c…deb2 | Holger Rune | +213 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 10-18 15:15 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Holger Rune | +200 | $123 | $123 | 2 | 10-18 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb42…176e | Holger Rune | +118 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 10-18 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b04…2ec7 | Holger Rune | +108 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 10-18 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5628…abbc | Holger Rune | +100 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 10-18 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf2d…d689 | Holger Rune | +98 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-18 16:13 |
| Active-Fraction 0x0ac5…f963 | Holger Rune | +98 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-18 16:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a80…d472 | Raphael Collignon | +89 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 10-17 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Holger Rune | +88 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 10-18 14:15 |
| Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f | Holger Rune | +88 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 10-18 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…3d51 | Holger Rune | +80 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 10-18 15:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Holger Rune | +79 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-18 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x947d…dff0 | Holger Rune | +78 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-18 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x93b6…0a85 | Holger Rune | +74 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 10-18 16:02 |
| Enormous-Vegetable 0x60ec…f7b0 | Holger Rune | +74 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 10-18 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e03…1087 | Holger Rune | +63 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 10-18 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x0464…67da | Holger Rune | +55 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 10-17 06:35 |
| Loose-Associate 0x6a86…b39e | Holger Rune | +52 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 10-17 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xef67…c87e | Holger Rune | +50 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 10-18 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9026…514d | Holger Rune | +49 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 10-18 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xea30…a166 | Holger Rune | +49 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-18 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xcca1…d411 | Raphael Collignon | +30 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-17 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xef67…c87e | Raphael Collignon | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-18 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c02…b4d4 | Raphael Collignon | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-17 06:35 |
| Few-Crocodile 0xc846…c413 | Raphael Collignon | +15 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 10-18 11:31 |
| Kindhearted-Instant 0xf759…0221 | Raphael Collignon | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-18 11:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf393…9f39 | Raphael Collignon | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-18 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5a2…5f4c | Raphael Collignon | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-18 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c59…45b2 | Raphael Collignon | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-17 12:53 |
| Brief-Recreation 0x64fc…9b30 | Raphael Collignon | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-17 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b91…1e97 | Raphael Collignon | +2 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-18 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ecc…03ff | Raphael Collignon | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x64c6…e917 | Raphael Collignon | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-17 22:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 18:58:42 | (anonymous) 0xb541…8cf1 | Holger Rune | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x18df14… |
| 10-18 18:58:42 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x18df14… |
| 10-18 18:22:06 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | SELL | 41 | 50¢ | $21 | 0xe5e23c… |
| 10-18 18:22:06 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Holger Rune | SELL | 41 | 50¢ | $21 | 0xe5e23c… |
| 10-18 18:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x4b04…2ec7 | Holger Rune | BUY | 108 | 51¢ | $55 | 0x55583f… |
| 10-18 18:19:05 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 108 | 49¢ | $53 | 0x55583f… |
| 10-18 18:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x6ae221… |
| 10-18 18:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xc4f8…7333 | Holger Rune | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x6ae221… |
| 10-18 18:05:48 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 1,900 | 49¢ | $931 | 0xb05514… |
| 10-18 18:05:48 | Scary-Body 0xe1e4…a1ad | Holger Rune | BUY | 1,900 | 51¢ | $969 | 0xb05514… |
| 10-18 17:45:21 | (anonymous) 0x105d…e8de | Holger Rune | BUY | 392 | 51¢ | $200 | 0x69fad5… |
| 10-18 17:45:21 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 392 | 49¢ | $192 | 0x69fad5… |
| 10-18 17:45:15 | (anonymous) 0x105d…e8de | Holger Rune | BUY | 196 | 51¢ | $100 | 0x09b95a… |
| 10-18 17:45:15 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 196 | 49¢ | $96 | 0x09b95a… |
| 10-18 17:44:05 | (anonymous) 0xef67…c87e | Holger Rune | BUY | 25 | 50¢ | $12 | 0x90a2c1… |
| 10-18 17:44:05 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | SELL | 831 | 50¢ | $416 | 0x90a2c1… |
| 10-18 17:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x7b91…1e97 | Raphael Collignon | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x527416… |
| 10-18 17:44:05 | (anonymous) 0x8794…1b5a | Holger Rune | SELL | 856 | 50¢ | $428 | 0x90a2c1… |
| 10-18 17:44:05 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x527416… |
| 10-18 17:36:35 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 651 | 49¢ | $319 | 0x68fab2… |
| 10-18 17:36:35 | (anonymous) 0x8794…1b5a | Holger Rune | BUY | 651 | 51¢ | $332 | 0x68fab2… |
| 10-18 17:35:24 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 205 | 49¢ | $100 | 0xd879d0… |
| 10-18 17:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x8794…1b5a | Holger Rune | BUY | 205 | 51¢ | $105 | 0xd879d0… |
| 10-18 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x77c7…5fdf | Holger Rune | BUY | 844 | 51¢ | $430 | 0x0c02d5… |
| 10-18 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 844 | 49¢ | $413 | 0x0c02d5… |
| 10-18 17:10:38 | Melodic-Celery-Caftan 0x9506…6182 | Holger Rune | BUY | 39 | 51¢ | $20 | 0x3db0be… |
| 10-18 17:10:38 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 39 | 49¢ | $19 | 0x3db0be… |
| 10-18 17:10:08 | Melodic-Celery-Caftan 0x9506…6182 | Raphael Collignon | SELL | 40 | 49¢ | $20 | 0x6ccad5… |
| 10-18 17:10:08 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 40 | 49¢ | $20 | 0x6ccad5… |
| 10-18 16:59:35 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 1,051 | 49¢ | $515 | 0x2bf128… |
| 10-18 16:59:35 | (anonymous) 0x2aff…411f | Holger Rune | BUY | 1,051 | 51¢ | $536 | 0x2bf128… |
| 10-18 16:54:27 | Unfolded-Treaty 0xc36f…afae | Holger Rune | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xbfccd0… |
| 10-18 16:54:27 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xbfccd0… |
| 10-18 16:51:59 | (anonymous) 0xeb3d…d8a2 | Holger Rune | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xbe5f4c… |
| 10-18 16:51:59 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xbe5f4c… |
| 10-18 16:46:32 | (anonymous) 0x5b91…eba2 | Holger Rune | SELL | 78 | 50¢ | $39 | 0x0b7c8a… |
| 10-18 16:46:32 | (anonymous) 0xfb07…e2cc | Holger Rune | BUY | 78 | 50¢ | $39 | 0x0b7c8a… |
| 10-18 16:45:42 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 382 | 49¢ | $187 | 0xdea924… |
| 10-18 16:45:42 | (anonymous) 0x2aff…411f | Holger Rune | BUY | 382 | 51¢ | $195 | 0xdea924… |
| 10-18 16:45:23 | (anonymous) 0x2aff…411f | Holger Rune | BUY | 392 | 51¢ | $200 | 0xf52539… |
| 10-18 16:45:23 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 392 | 49¢ | $192 | 0xf52539… |
| 10-18 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x2aff…411f | Holger Rune | BUY | 196 | 51¢ | $100 | 0x8a3cba… |
| 10-18 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 196 | 49¢ | $96 | 0x8a3cba… |
| 10-18 16:44:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8b0…c447 | Holger Rune | BUY | 11 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x33217b… |
| 10-18 16:44:08 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 11 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x33217b… |
| 10-18 16:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x5b91…eba2 | Holger Rune | BUY | 39 | 51¢ | $20 | 0xedafb2… |
| 10-18 16:42:35 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 39 | 49¢ | $19 | 0xedafb2… |
| 10-18 16:39:50 | (anonymous) 0xab24…d87a | Holger Rune | BUY | 18 | 51¢ | $9 | 0x76e0b7… |
| 10-18 16:39:50 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 18 | 49¢ | $9 | 0x76e0b7… |
| 10-18 16:35:15 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 63 | 49¢ | $31 | 0x2e1b12… |
| 10-18 16:35:15 | (anonymous) 0x9e03…1087 | Holger Rune | BUY | 63 | 51¢ | $32 | 0x2e1b12… |
| 10-18 16:33:08 | (anonymous) 0xc4f8…7333 | Holger Rune | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x0303b6… |
| 10-18 16:33:08 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x0303b6… |
| 10-18 16:31:24 | Active-Fraction 0x0ac5…f963 | Holger Rune | BUY | 98 | 51¢ | $50 | 0xfb38e2… |
| 10-18 16:31:24 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 98 | 49¢ | $48 | 0xfb38e2… |
| 10-18 16:23:20 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 22 | 49¢ | $11 | 0x3951fa… |
| 10-18 16:23:20 | Square-Sheep 0xf7b0…9178 | Holger Rune | BUY | 22 | 51¢ | $11 | 0x3951fa… |
| 10-18 16:21:54 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0xcd1311… |
| 10-18 16:21:54 | (anonymous) 0xcf2d…d689 | Raphael Collignon | SELL | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0xcd1311… |
| 10-18 16:19:20 | (anonymous) 0xfb07…e2cc | Holger Rune | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x24ddb4… |
| 10-18 16:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x6ecc…03ff | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x24ddb4… |
| 10-18 16:15:30 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xef822a… |
| 10-18 16:15:30 | (anonymous) 0x35ba…4390 | Holger Rune | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xef822a… |
| 10-18 16:15:18 | (anonymous) 0x35ba…4390 | Raphael Collignon | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x884b56… |
| 10-18 16:15:18 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x884b56… |
| 10-18 16:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 78 | 49¢ | $38 | 0x7806cd… |
| 10-18 16:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x947d…dff0 | Holger Rune | BUY | 78 | 51¢ | $40 | 0x7806cd… |
| 10-18 16:14:39 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 39 | 49¢ | $19 | 0x4d679d… |
| 10-18 16:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x5b91…eba2 | Holger Rune | BUY | 39 | 51¢ | $20 | 0x4d679d… |
| 10-18 16:13:45 | (anonymous) 0xcf2d…d689 | Holger Rune | BUY | 98 | 51¢ | $50 | 0xd45e52… |
| 10-18 16:13:45 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 98 | 49¢ | $48 | 0xd45e52… |
| 10-18 16:13:41 | (anonymous) 0xfb42…176e | Holger Rune | BUY | 118 | 51¢ | $60 | 0xd3efa9… |
| 10-18 16:13:41 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 118 | 49¢ | $58 | 0xd3efa9… |
| 10-18 16:07:48 | Melodic-Celery-Caftan 0x9506…6182 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x22e26a… |
| 10-18 16:07:48 | (anonymous) 0xfb07…e2cc | Holger Rune | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x22e26a… |
| 10-18 16:07:24 | (anonymous) 0xb040…dbea | Holger Rune | BUY | 18 | 51¢ | $9 | 0xab4a4b… |
| 10-18 16:07:24 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 18 | 49¢ | $9 | 0xab4a4b… |
| 10-18 16:05:15 | (anonymous) 0x35ba…4390 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xbf6084… |
| 10-18 16:05:15 | (anonymous) 0xfb07…e2cc | Holger Rune | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xbf6084… |
| 10-18 16:04:41 | (anonymous) 0xfb07…e2cc | Holger Rune | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x628929… |
| 10-18 16:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x35ba…4390 | Holger Rune | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x628929… |
| 10-18 16:04:35 | (anonymous) 0xde6b…f584 | Holger Rune | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xda9a2a… |
| 10-18 16:04:35 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xda9a2a… |
| 10-18 16:04:20 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xd1be92… |
| 10-18 16:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x35ba…4390 | Holger Rune | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xd1be92… |
| 10-18 16:02:54 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x64d300… |
| 10-18 16:02:54 | (anonymous) 0xc4f8…7333 | Holger Rune | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x64d300… |
| 10-18 16:02:53 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 74 | 49¢ | $36 | 0x1364e2… |
| 10-18 16:02:53 | Enormous-Vegetable 0x60ec…f7b0 | Holger Rune | BUY | 74 | 51¢ | $38 | 0x1364e2… |
| 10-18 16:02:27 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 701 | 49¢ | $344 | 0x9214fd… |
| 10-18 16:02:27 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 250 | 49¢ | $122 | 0x214f65… |
| 10-18 16:02:27 | (anonymous) 0x801e…71b4 | Holger Rune | BUY | 250 | 51¢ | $128 | 0x214f65… |
| 10-18 16:02:27 | (anonymous) 0xc8bc…2956 | Holger Rune | BUY | 701 | 51¢ | $358 | 0x9214fd… |
| 10-18 16:02:26 | (anonymous) 0x93b6…0a85 | Holger Rune | BUY | 25 | 51¢ | $13 | 0x565128… |
| 10-18 16:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 25 | 49¢ | $12 | 0x565128… |
| 10-18 16:02:23 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 25 | 49¢ | $12 | 0x9d17ea… |
| 10-18 16:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x93b6…0a85 | Holger Rune | BUY | 25 | 51¢ | $13 | 0x9d17ea… |
| 10-18 16:02:20 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Raphael Collignon | BUY | 25 | 49¢ | $12 | 0xf563d9… |
| 10-18 16:02:20 | (anonymous) 0x93b6…0a85 | Holger Rune | BUY | 25 | 51¢ | $13 | 0xf563d9… |
| 10-18 16:01:36 | (anonymous) 0xfb07…e2cc | Holger Rune | BUY | 100 | 50¢ | $50 | 0x90b6e7… |