Realized P&L
-$2.63K
Unrealized P&L
-$135
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved
885
Trades
2,071
lifetime
Volume
$52.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$618
13 positions
First seen
2026-10-02
last 10-27 22:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
93% 59% -$770
Politics
5% 50% -$1,959
Crypto
2% 61% +$8
Sports
1% 50% +$90
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27? No +250 $220 98¢ $244 +$24 10-27 21:55
Will Bradford City AFC win on 2026-10-27? Yes — +182 $107 100¢ $182 +$75 10-27 19:54
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +96 $69 94¢ $90 +$21 10-16 12:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +44 $41 96¢ $42 +$1 10-27 21:05
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +61 $19 44¢ $27 +$8 10-17 17:25
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +34 $10 29¢ $10 $0 10-27 16:22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27? Yes +282 $252 2¢ $7 -$245 10-27 20:23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +94 $18 6¢ $6 -$12 10-24 05:03
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +6 $5 78¢ $5 $0 10-25 14:42
Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 10-27 16:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +53 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 10-26 10:37
Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27? Yes +192 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 10-27 17:31
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-27 19:38