Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?
open
Total volume
$607
$30,359 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$80,172
Latest YES mid
54¢
Latest NO mid
46¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 07:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.4¢
(top1%: 91% YES on $28
vs crowd: 88% YES on $214)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $25 | $2 | +$23 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $163 | $24 | +$138 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $26 | $3 | +$23 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $8 | $4 | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $17 | $15 | +$1 |
| Median | 6 | $15 | $2 | +$13 |
| Below median | 5 | $46 | $2 | +$44 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $41 | — | +$41 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $35 | — | +$35 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reasonable-Wick 0x75bd…0288 | No | +334 | $170 | $170 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Smooth-Smock 0xbfbc…f670 | Yes | +78 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-09 03:40 |
| Grown-Industrialisation 0x0ca5…a155 | Yes | +61 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-09 06:04 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +44 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 07:04 |
| Realistic-Authentication 0xf79c…94ea | Yes | +31 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-09 03:20 |
| Repentant-Cappelletti 0x2b35…0bfe | No | +31 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-09 05:19 |
| Inferior-Ownership 0xa509…ae46 | Yes | +30 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-09 07:19 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | +23 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Moist-Blocker 0x764b…1faf | No | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Charming-Retirement 0x905f…ad6b | Yes | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-09 07:19 |
| Honorable-Lathe 0x5b03…13ee | Yes | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 06:45 |
| Naughty-Polarization 0x5cb4…4576 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 06:59 |
| Triangular-Cape 0x831d…0705 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 03:24 |
| Giving-Seller 0x8d19…bf25 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 04:10 |
| Lighthearted-Listing-Molecule 0xc407…0875 | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7f5…8314 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 07:04 |
| Key-Acrylic 0xe196…0ab5 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 10:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9a5…b591 | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 04:10 |
| Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7cc…949e | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 05:34 |
| Circular-Colorlessness 0x4923…599a | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 03:14 |
| Ornery-Placement 0x8968…c3c1 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 05:34 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 07:09 |
| Rundown-Vertigo 0x45cf…0f46 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:59 |
| Opulent-Geology 0x902d…e3fa | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xe941…a496 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:59 |
| Limited-Voting 0xa9e6…807c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:59 |
| Ornery-Placement 0x8968…c3c1 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 05:34 |
| Right-Tarragon 0xa590…271c | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:00 |
| Deadly-Overshoot 0x7ea7…466c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Antique-Prison 0xa33a…a018 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 04:59 |
| Dense-Diversity 0x83bc…172f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 04:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 07:24:56 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 48¢ | $11 | 0xc25736… |
| 05-09 07:24:52 | Reasonable-Wick 0x75bd…0288 | No | BUY | 334 | 51¢ | $170 | 0x2ddb95… |
| 05-09 07:24:47 | Deadly-Overshoot 0x7ea7…466c | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x5834d3… |
| 05-09 07:24:40 | Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x6e2e59… |
| 05-09 07:24:28 | Moist-Blocker 0x764b…1faf | No | BUY | 21 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xc2598a… |
| 05-09 07:19:53 | Charming-Retirement 0x905f…ad6b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xe62c7d… |
| 05-09 07:19:37 | Inferior-Ownership 0xa509…ae46 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x75c080… |
| 05-09 07:09:44 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 3 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x03f2ec… |
| 05-09 07:04:59 | (anonymous) 0xf7f5…8314 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xcf1417… |
| 05-09 07:04:57 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 56¢ | $25 | 0xc5ccc9… |
| 05-09 06:59:53 | Naughty-Polarization 0x5cb4…4576 | No | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x8116da… |
| 05-09 06:59:46 | Rundown-Vertigo 0x45cf…0f46 | No | BUY | 3 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x8a0c3e… |
| 05-09 06:59:33 | (anonymous) 0xe941…a496 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x900313… |
| 05-09 06:59:33 | Hospitable-Dame 0x2d6a…8add | No | SELL | 187 | 42¢ | $79 | 0x546873… |
| 05-09 06:59:33 | Limited-Voting 0xa9e6…807c | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xaa4c68… |
| 05-09 06:59:32 | Sophisticated-Bicycle 0xcf73…0215 | No | SELL | 278 | 42¢ | $117 | 0xa6141b… |
| 05-09 06:45:04 | Honorable-Lathe 0x5b03…13ee | Yes | BUY | 18 | 57¢ | $10 | 0x3243bb… |
| 05-09 06:04:29 | Grown-Industrialisation 0x0ca5…a155 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 57¢ | $35 | 0xdc071e… |
| 05-09 05:34:36 | Ornery-Placement 0x8968…c3c1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x7248fc… |
| 05-09 05:34:32 | Ornery-Placement 0x8968…c3c1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x9df597… |
| 05-09 05:34:30 | (anonymous) 0xa7cc…949e | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x4df37b… |
| 05-09 05:34:29 | Ornery-Placement 0x8968…c3c1 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xcd33e8… |
| 05-09 05:19:33 | Repentant-Cappelletti 0x2b35…0bfe | No | BUY | 31 | 47¢ | $14 | 0x7a6e13… |
| 05-09 04:59:37 | Antique-Prison 0xa33a…a018 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xb5039e… |
| 05-09 04:49:34 | Opulent-Geology 0x902d…e3fa | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x2a8c7b… |
| 05-09 04:39:30 | Dense-Diversity 0x83bc…172f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xf95d95… |
| 05-09 04:10:48 | (anonymous) 0xc9a5…b591 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x34a67d… |
| 05-09 04:10:29 | Giving-Seller 0x8d19…bf25 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xfe5a93… |
| 05-09 03:40:30 | Smooth-Smock 0xbfbc…f670 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 51¢ | $40 | 0xfd0cf5… |
| 05-09 03:24:52 | Triangular-Cape 0x831d…0705 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x5bb07c… |
| 05-09 03:20:26 | Realistic-Authentication 0xf79c…94ea | Yes | BUY | 31 | 51¢ | $16 | 0xd5fdff… |
| 05-09 03:14:32 | Circular-Colorlessness 0x4923…599a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x96edd3… |
| 05-09 03:14:32 | Circular-Colorlessness 0x4923…599a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x07c4ff… |
| 05-08 23:36:47 | Lighthearted-Listing-Molecule 0xc407…0875 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x19c42c… |
| 05-07 10:53:31 | Key-Acrylic 0xe196…0ab5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x202507… |
| 05-07 10:53:31 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x2a8aa4… |
| 05-07 10:00:13 | Right-Tarragon 0xa590…271c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x2445b4… |