Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox
open
Total volume
$597
Trades
31
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$554
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-24
First seen
2026-05-16
last 05-17 18:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+39.2¢
(top1%: 91% YES on $189
vs crowd: 52% YES on $597)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $253 | $19 | +$233 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $24 | $5 | +$19 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $16 | $243 | $227 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $15 | $22 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $171 | $17 | +$154 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $12 | $198 | $186 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $13 | $20 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $82 | $2 | +$80 |
| unranked | 10 | $31 | $20 | +$11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf0a1…e6d5 | No | +374 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 05-17 02:17 |
| Single-Crazy 0xe401…7b88 | Yes | +200 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-17 02:17 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | +174 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-17 02:17 |
| Jittery-Vineyard 0x5c5c…e316 | No | +100 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-16 23:24 |
| Smug-Variability 0xdd5e…9040 | Yes | +72 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-16 23:24 |
| Automatic-Hardcover 0x033f…618e | No | +63 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-16 23:24 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +33 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-16 19:52 |
| Similar-Sympathy 0xff68…8379 | No | +33 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 19:52 |
| Sick-Cycle 0x7511…582e | Yes | +28 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-16 23:24 |
| Sad-Gold 0x8a3d…316c | Yes | +24 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-17 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd3b…cea6 | Yes | +23 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-16 23:24 |
| Close-Approach 0xdc50…7fde | No | +14 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-17 16:50 |
| Treasured-Guidance 0x4caa…28fb | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 13:23 |
| Naive-Hallway 0xd107…0b88 | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 12:02 |
| Nice-Rubric 0xf39a…5c94 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-17 12:02 |
| Knowledgeable-Dumbwaiter-Gherkin 0xf8af…f133 | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 12:02 |
| Regal-Innovation 0x6127…334f | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 12:02 |
| Thunderous-Poisoning 0x3f71…dee9 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-17 12:02 |
| Cooked-Thinking 0xdddb…5f96 | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 12:02 |
| Thoughtful-Increase 0xcf92…52e5 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 12:02 |
| Honest-Gym 0x4cc5…c6b2 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 12:02 |
| Sneaky-Armadillo 0xf898…e720 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-17 18:12 |
| Past-Punishment 0xb4d2…ce99 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-17 18:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 18:12:18 | Sneaky-Armadillo 0xf898…e720 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x591105… |
| 05-17 18:12:18 | Past-Punishment 0xb4d2…ce99 | No | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x591105… |
| 05-17 18:12:09 | Past-Punishment 0xb4d2…ce99 | No | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x2a0c2e… |
| 05-17 18:12:09 | Sneaky-Armadillo 0xf898…e720 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x2a0c2e… |
| 05-17 16:50:47 | Sad-Gold 0x8a3d…316c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 48¢ | $7 | 0xc4ef98… |
| 05-17 16:50:47 | Close-Approach 0xdc50…7fde | No | BUY | 14 | 52¢ | $7 | 0xc4ef98… |
| 05-17 13:23:23 | Treasured-Guidance 0x4caa…28fb | No | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xb78642… |
| 05-17 13:23:23 | Sad-Gold 0x8a3d…316c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xb78642… |
| 05-17 12:02:28 | Naive-Hallway 0xd107…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xadc7c0… |
| 05-17 12:02:28 | Thoughtful-Increase 0xcf92…52e5 | No | BUY | 7 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xadc7c0… |
| 05-17 12:02:28 | Thunderous-Poisoning 0x3f71…dee9 | No | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xadc7c0… |
| 05-17 12:02:28 | Nice-Rubric 0xf39a…5c94 | No | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xadc7c0… |
| 05-17 12:02:28 | Nice-Rubric 0xf39a…5c94 | No | BUY | 7 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xd5d59c… |
| 05-17 12:02:28 | Cooked-Thinking 0xdddb…5f96 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xd5d59c… |
| 05-17 12:02:26 | Knowledgeable-Dumbwaiter-Gherkin 0xf8af…f133 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x0e6c40… |
| 05-17 12:02:26 | Regal-Innovation 0x6127…334f | No | BUY | 7 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x0e6c40… |
| 05-17 12:02:26 | Honest-Gym 0x4cc5…c6b2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xddc7fc… |
| 05-17 12:02:26 | Thunderous-Poisoning 0x3f71…dee9 | No | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xddc7fc… |
| 05-17 02:17:41 | (anonymous) 0xf0a1…e6d5 | No | BUY | 374 | 53¢ | $198 | 0x513a5e… |
| 05-17 02:17:41 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 174 | 47¢ | $82 | 0x513a5e… |
| 05-17 02:17:41 | Single-Crazy 0xe401…7b88 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 47¢ | $94 | 0x513a5e… |
| 05-16 23:24:41 | (anonymous) 0xdd3b…cea6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 69¢ | $8 | 0xf18392… |
| 05-16 23:24:41 | Automatic-Hardcover 0x033f…618e | No | BUY | 11 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xf18392… |
| 05-16 23:24:36 | Automatic-Hardcover 0x033f…618e | No | BUY | 52 | 27¢ | $14 | 0xaa9ff7… |
| 05-16 23:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xdd3b…cea6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 71¢ | $9 | 0xaa9ff7… |
| 05-16 23:24:13 | Smug-Variability 0xdd5e…9040 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 75¢ | $54 | 0x416e7b… |
| 05-16 23:24:13 | Jittery-Vineyard 0x5c5c…e316 | No | BUY | 72 | 25¢ | $18 | 0x416e7b… |
| 05-16 23:24:13 | Jittery-Vineyard 0x5c5c…e316 | No | BUY | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x784e3f… |
| 05-16 23:24:13 | Sick-Cycle 0x7511…582e | Yes | BUY | 28 | 75¢ | $21 | 0x784e3f… |
| 05-16 19:52:18 | Similar-Sympathy 0xff68…8379 | No | BUY | 33 | 61¢ | $20 | 0xdc578c… |
| 05-16 19:52:18 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 39¢ | $13 | 0xdc578c… |