Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$618
$2,822 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,566
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-16 05:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $116 | $116 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $102 | $102 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $33 | $339 | $306 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | — | $258 | $258 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Median | 5 | — | $254 | $254 |
| Below median | 10 | $31 | $13 | +$18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 3 | — | $11 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poor-Track 0x4e65…7a19 | No | +247 | $245 | $245 | 1 | 05-15 01:58 |
| Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | +202 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-13 22:42 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +90 | $82 | $82 | 3 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | +84 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 23:15 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +62 | $61 | $61 | 5 | 05-15 07:13 |
| French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 23:05 |
| Curly-Album 0x1c72…f5ce | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:34 |
| Formal-Wasabi 0xa9fd…1902 | Yes | +38 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 01:53 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-15 07:10 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 11:19 |
| Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 05:52 |
| Virtual-Destruction 0x3726…b788 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:04 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 00:38 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-15 03:40 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-15 13:01 |
| Angelic-Churn 0x7d96…3e5d | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 10:14 |
| Essential-Tongue 0x8327…577d | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 15:23 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 20:47 |
| Double-Dose 0x098e…9209 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 19:13 |
| Frugal-Combat 0xcdcc…89fe | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 07:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 05:45:56 | Uniform-Approach 0xea43…13ba | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xe88e50… |
| 05-16 02:00:20 | Querulous-Wrap 0xa27a…abce | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7b865f… |
| 05-15 19:13:14 | Double-Dose 0x098e…9209 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xff52f7… |
| 05-15 16:17:02 | Bitter-Creation 0x42b2…4861 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0ef03… |
| 05-15 14:26:52 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5f26a5… |
| 05-15 13:01:35 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xe9dd24… |
| 05-15 13:01:30 | (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x15bf9a… |
| 05-15 13:01:09 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x79540b… |
| 05-15 07:59:50 | Frugal-Combat 0xcdcc…89fe | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x428c58… |
| 05-15 07:13:55 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xd541af… |
| 05-15 07:13:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x16961c… |
| 05-15 07:10:46 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xfa1473… |
| 05-15 05:09:14 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x82726a… |
| 05-15 05:09:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1d3f29… |
| 05-15 05:08:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xae2955… |
| 05-15 03:40:34 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x912ee0… |
| 05-15 03:40:32 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x725d71… |
| 05-15 03:10:30 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc0ddca… |
| 05-15 01:58:03 | Poor-Track 0x4e65…7a19 | No | BUY | 247 | 99¢ | $245 | 0xae958d… |
| 05-14 23:05:30 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x6b7cbf… |
| 05-14 21:33:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbd0f1d… |
| 05-14 20:47:06 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf915fe… |
| 05-14 18:47:13 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xeb9a7c… |
| 05-14 11:19:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x84301c… |
| 05-14 11:19:17 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x56c85e… |
| 05-14 10:14:34 | Angelic-Churn 0x7d96…3e5d | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xfde370… |
| 05-14 07:34:21 | Curly-Album 0x1c72…f5ce | Yes | BUY | 43 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc1143c… |
| 05-14 01:53:11 | Formal-Wasabi 0xa9fd…1902 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x1920b0… |
| 05-14 00:39:36 | Advanced-Petitioner 0x2e62…b22e | Yes | SELL | 23 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x4d1d36… |
| 05-14 00:38:28 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xbb1aa1… |
| 05-13 23:15:46 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xdf0777… |
| 05-13 22:42:30 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | BUY | 102 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x92af39… |
| 05-13 21:23:52 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x8d0554… |
| 05-13 21:23:50 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x23eada… |
| 05-13 21:23:48 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x5f6577… |
| 05-13 21:23:46 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0xc3e9b0… |
| 05-13 21:23:03 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 46 | 91¢ | $42 | 0xe61341… |
| 05-13 21:04:09 | Virtual-Destruction 0x3726…b788 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x359381… |
| 05-13 19:49:04 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xd90e22… |
| 05-13 19:42:36 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x655358… |
| 05-13 16:37:46 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xbe467e… |
| 05-13 15:23:36 | Essential-Tongue 0x8327…577d | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x8ace78… |
| 05-13 10:04:53 | Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdc555b… |
| 05-13 05:52:53 | Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x4086f0… |
| 05-13 05:18:27 | Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0f92f2… |