Known-Stock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$114

Unrealized P&L

+$40

Hit rate

29.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,528

lifetime

Volume

$1.71M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$675

Open exposure

$775

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-21 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$84

Politics

46% 50% +$29

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		+886	$735	88¢	$775	+$40	06-11 20:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$115.1K	115,400	0	+115,400	open	—	04-07 00:31
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	38	$101.4K	80,734	21,120	+59,614	open	—	01-09 11:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	32	$92.5K	15,000	78,150	-63,150	open	—	06-21 02:41
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	54	$76.6K	78,174	0	+78,174	open	—	01-24 08:26
netanyahu out by march 31 854	67	$66.0K	62,943	5,000	+57,943	open	—	03-30 23:28
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$64.8K	65,000	0	+65,000	open	—	01-03 00:53
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	80	$55.0K	40,835	16,000	+24,835	open	—	02-05 20:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	35	$51.3K	65,600	0	+65,600	open	—	03-03 14:27
iran strike on israel by february 28	10	$48.2K	25,563	25,000	+563	open	—	02-28 08:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	247	$47.0K	54,041	0	+54,041	open	—	04-12 06:22
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	16	$43.7K	43,800	0	+43,800	open	—	01-03 23:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	30	$43.4K	30,300	17,300	+13,000	open	—	01-30 04:05
will khamenei leave iran by friday	52	$39.3K	39,736	0	+39,736	open	—	01-09 15:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	10	$37.1K	20,475	20,475	+0	open	—	04-24 22:03
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	133	$36.8K	20,700	17,000	+3,700	open	—	03-13 19:45
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	60	$34.4K	28,140	7,000	+21,140	open	—	02-20 02:17
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	46	$33.8K	30,750	4,000	+26,750	open	—	01-31 16:04
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	32	$33.2K	33,625	3,000	+30,625	open	—	01-03 10:02
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	42	$29.2K	29,700	0	+29,700	open	—	02-28 17:35
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	26	$28.2K	31,975	23,772	+8,204	open	—	03-25 20:27
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	53	$28.2K	14,486	14,486	+0	open	—	03-04 01:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	37	$26.2K	27,352	20,300	+7,052	open	—	04-08 00:37
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	14	$25.6K	28,036	0	+28,036	open	—	03-02 01:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	43	$23.9K	14,200	14,200	+0	open	—	04-07 20:41
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	28	$23.2K	12,025	12,150	-125	open	—	01-19 02:55
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	1	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-03 00:02
trump out as president by march 31	16	$19.5K	10,000	9,828	+172	open	—	03-16 15:02
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	44	$17.9K	18,754	0	+18,754	open	—	04-25 20:46
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	17	$17.4K	14,100	3,600	+10,500	open	—	03-08 22:15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	27	$15.6K	16,017	0	+16,017	open	—	04-18 23:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 02:41:43	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	3,750	100¢	$3,731	0x9b7a2d…
06-21 02:41:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8,868	99¢	$8,823	0x6b0a6a…
06-21 02:41:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	53,100	100¢	$52,834	0xc2afab…
06-21 02:38:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x20ec88…
06-21 02:38:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,084	100¢	$1,081	0xa25379…
06-18 14:14:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	15,050	100¢	$14,990	0xa0e5b6…
06-14 18:33:00	btc updown 5m 1781461800	Up	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x0fd8dd…
06-14 18:18:16	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Up	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x99c095…
06-14 18:18:16	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Up	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x3025d9…
06-14 18:18:16	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x1879c6…
06-14 18:18:16	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x0fb5cb…
06-14 18:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd77282…
06-14 18:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcde777…
06-14 18:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Up	BUY	78	53¢	$42	0xa7995c…
06-14 18:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6da12a…
06-14 18:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3d5563…
06-14 18:17:40	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Down	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0xb50717…
06-14 18:16:15	btc updown 5m 1781460900	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc7713b…
06-11 20:42:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x05a18b…
06-11 19:31:30	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xf0ef6d…
06-11 19:29:28	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x041826…
06-11 19:29:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7c75f8…
06-11 19:29:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x54bb13…
06-11 19:25:46	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x33289e…
06-11 19:25:46	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x0f8b58…
06-11 19:25:31	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7e6dd3…
06-11 19:25:15	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x26408c…
06-11 19:25:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xd2e3fd…
06-11 19:25:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x53b908…
06-11 19:25:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x255e14…
06-11 19:24:52	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8c530e…
06-11 19:24:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x17c374…
06-11 19:24:13	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x58841d…
06-11 19:24:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe8a1da…
06-11 19:24:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd913f8…
06-11 19:24:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd6c499…
06-11 19:24:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x35d28e…
06-11 19:24:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1f737a…
06-11 19:24:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x19d6fc…
06-11 19:24:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe8d113…
06-11 19:24:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xe0b6d2…
06-11 16:35:13	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	294	83¢	$244	0xbf8989…
06-11 16:23:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	71	83¢	$59	0xe20b03…
06-11 15:33:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x542676…
06-11 15:29:25	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x093a3b…
06-11 15:29:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xff975c…
06-11 15:29:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdc3e30…
06-11 15:29:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc5ae55…
06-11 15:29:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa80389…
06-11 15:29:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8b25a1…
06-11 15:29:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x69a0bb…
06-11 15:29:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3c39fa…
06-11 15:29:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1cdba7…
06-11 15:27:16	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0bc978…
06-11 15:24:39	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xa47810…
06-11 15:21:54	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x237517…
06-11 15:21:36	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x82e122…
06-11 15:21:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf7bbaa…
06-11 15:21:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xba2670…
06-11 15:21:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x86466c…
06-11 14:24:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe319f8…
06-11 14:18:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4add70…
06-11 13:57:57	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd6b9e5…
06-11 09:47:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xb2a54a…
06-11 09:47:10	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x6f92ca…
06-11 09:47:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xff5916…
06-11 09:47:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x11884f…
06-11 09:46:36	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x889276…
06-11 09:46:21	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe4e81a…
06-11 09:46:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xebb913…
06-11 09:46:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x18abed…
06-11 09:45:54	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x80ade5…
06-11 09:45:48	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x817e56…
06-11 09:45:45	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x52696e…
06-11 09:45:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9d7f56…
06-11 09:45:40	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7b2afd…
06-11 09:45:39	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x77af00…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc19cc9…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc066de…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa077dc…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x99eba4…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x87d07a…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x77e6dc…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7706ba…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x46a20e…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x409ba3…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x19bafd…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x16f9f7…
06-11 09:45:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x01f3c1…
06-11 09:45:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf5d53f…
06-03 16:28:24	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1,642	97¢	$1,586	0xad3da5…
06-03 16:28:15	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1,835	97¢	$1,772	0x38e915…
06-02 10:59:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,395	92¢	$1,285	0x24d39b…
06-02 10:48:21	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xbcd650…
06-02 10:44:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x71972c…
06-01 17:07:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x1768d1…
06-01 17:07:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	171	98¢	$168	0xdf32da…
06-01 17:07:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0xefb580…
06-01 17:06:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7,107	98¢	$6,979	0xc77151…
06-01 17:06:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x90c98d…