Known-Stock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$114

Unrealized P&L

+$144

Hit rate

29.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,438

lifetime

Volume

$1.62M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$666

Open exposure

$18.5K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$84

Politics

48% 50% +$29

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+15,000	$14,730	99¢	$14.8K	+$83	06-01 17:07
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No		+3,723	$3,596	98¢	$3.7K	+$61	06-03 16:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$115.1K	115,400	0	+115,400	open	—	04-07 00:31
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	38	$101.4K	80,734	21,120	+59,614	open	—	01-09 11:51
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	54	$76.6K	78,174	0	+78,174	open	—	01-24 08:26
netanyahu out by march 31 854	67	$66.0K	62,943	5,000	+57,943	open	—	03-30 23:28
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$64.8K	65,000	0	+65,000	open	—	01-03 00:53
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	80	$55.0K	40,835	16,000	+24,835	open	—	02-05 20:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	35	$51.3K	65,600	0	+65,600	open	—	03-03 14:27
iran strike on israel by february 28	10	$48.2K	25,563	25,000	+563	open	—	02-28 08:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	247	$47.0K	54,041	0	+54,041	open	—	04-12 06:22
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	16	$43.7K	43,800	0	+43,800	open	—	01-03 23:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	30	$43.4K	30,300	17,300	+13,000	open	—	01-30 04:05
will khamenei leave iran by friday	52	$39.3K	39,736	0	+39,736	open	—	01-09 15:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	10	$37.1K	20,475	20,475	+0	open	—	04-24 22:03
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	133	$36.8K	20,700	17,000	+3,700	open	—	03-13 19:45
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	60	$34.4K	28,140	7,000	+21,140	open	—	02-20 02:17
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	46	$33.8K	30,750	4,000	+26,750	open	—	01-31 16:04
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	32	$33.2K	33,625	3,000	+30,625	open	—	01-03 10:02
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	42	$29.2K	29,700	0	+29,700	open	—	02-28 17:35
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	26	$28.2K	31,975	23,772	+8,204	open	—	03-25 20:27
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	53	$28.2K	14,486	14,486	+0	open	—	03-04 01:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	37	$26.2K	27,352	20,300	+7,052	open	—	04-08 00:37
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	14	$25.6K	28,036	0	+28,036	open	—	03-02 01:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	43	$23.9K	14,200	14,200	+0	open	—	04-07 20:41
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	28	$23.2K	12,025	12,150	-125	open	—	01-19 02:55
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	1	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-03 00:02
trump out as president by march 31	16	$19.5K	10,000	9,828	+172	open	—	03-16 15:02
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	44	$17.9K	18,754	0	+18,754	open	—	04-25 20:46
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	17	$17.4K	14,100	3,600	+10,500	open	—	03-08 22:15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	27	$15.6K	16,017	0	+16,017	open	—	04-18 23:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	27	$14.7K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	06-01 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 16:28:24	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1,642	97¢	$1,586	0xad3da5…
06-03 16:28:15	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1,835	97¢	$1,772	0x38e915…
06-02 10:59:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,395	92¢	$1,285	0x24d39b…
06-02 10:48:21	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xbcd650…
06-02 10:44:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x71972c…
06-01 17:07:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x1768d1…
06-01 17:07:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	171	98¢	$168	0xdf32da…
06-01 17:07:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0xefb580…
06-01 17:06:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7,107	98¢	$6,979	0xc77151…
06-01 17:06:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x90c98d…
06-01 17:05:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd24212…
06-01 17:05:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x5aefe4…
06-01 17:00:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa338a1…
06-01 16:59:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x743e42…
06-01 16:59:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x547ff6…
06-01 16:58:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa7a5c7…
06-01 16:56:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x131a0d…
06-01 16:56:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xd03ea2…
06-01 16:55:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x9c1020…
06-01 16:53:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xdfd4da…
06-01 16:53:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb4efda…
06-01 16:50:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3264e9…
06-01 16:48:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x84d020…
06-01 16:46:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe8c306…
06-01 16:41:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6f380c…
06-01 16:39:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6eb92a…
06-01 16:39:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xfae55f…
06-01 16:35:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xdd1402…
06-01 16:34:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0eb067…
06-01 16:33:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5,907	98¢	$5,801	0xf3c855…
06-01 16:33:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb73da9…
06-01 16:33:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,320	98¢	$1,296	0x004009…
05-31 15:49:06	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	184	97¢	$178	0xa70e47…
05-31 01:07:38	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,291	90¢	$1,167	0xde523c…
05-31 00:51:32	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	309	90¢	$279	0x19520d…
05-31 00:51:06	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xd715ef…
05-28 19:20:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,049	97¢	$7,832	0x2b724d…
05-28 19:17:08	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,519	97¢	$1,478	0x8e71a6…
05-28 19:16:36	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,432	97¢	$5,285	0x769a98…
05-16 13:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xaaab16…
05-16 13:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x075c0d…
05-16 13:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xc4b388…
05-15 18:29:02	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x2cb3b4…
05-15 18:28:15	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xa2efcb…
05-15 18:27:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xdf4816…
05-15 18:26:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0xb0286f…
05-15 18:25:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd239c4…
05-15 18:25:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x05e6a0…
05-15 18:21:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0x202149…
05-15 18:21:24	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	43	69¢	$29	0x7510db…
05-15 18:20:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x8a6a9c…
05-15 18:18:13	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0xd442f4…
05-15 18:17:05	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0be7e6…
05-15 18:16:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xbc5094…
05-15 18:16:05	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa9f8a6…
05-15 18:15:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa4702e…
05-15 18:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xfb2423…
05-15 18:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x265c74…
05-15 18:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x752db9…
05-15 18:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xa09800…
05-15 18:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xf9b219…
05-15 18:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x4cda35…
05-15 17:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xed849e…
05-15 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x058e60…
05-15 17:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3483a6…
05-15 17:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x18b610…
05-15 17:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x777763…
05-14 16:01:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xcf7aec…
05-14 15:59:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	442	97¢	$429	0x0ec27c…
04-25 20:46:16	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,300	98¢	$1,280	0xd07fd7…
04-24 22:03:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	15,475	100¢	$15,459	0x312d82…
04-24 00:42:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xbb3303…
04-20 02:12:28	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	7,500	78¢	$5,872	0x8d8520…
04-19 23:47:42	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x0e8cd6…
04-19 22:38:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x8f8fd9…
04-19 22:33:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	147	96¢	$141	0x758d59…
04-19 22:27:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	1,564	71¢	$1,108	0xc7281d…
04-19 22:21:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0x3a8c51…
04-19 22:19:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0xf4d37a…
04-19 22:16:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2527fb…
04-19 22:16:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0b5f93…
04-19 22:15:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7d92f7…
04-19 22:15:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	154	71¢	$110	0x046887…
04-19 21:05:42	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,561	94¢	$7,138	0x2e5c06…
04-19 04:13:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x1e3a04…
04-19 02:21:48	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0xa0db78…
04-19 02:21:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x89b80c…
04-19 02:09:54	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3f74a9…
04-19 01:14:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xdf4f48…
04-19 01:11:24	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xb3afbb…
04-19 01:11:24	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x94de1d…
04-19 01:11:24	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x5108cf…
04-19 01:11:24	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x211aa0…
04-19 01:10:30	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$944	0x570a2f…
04-19 00:59:56	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6a259a…
04-19 00:59:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xb5b6de…
04-19 00:45:44	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	325	94¢	$307	0x42f17d…
04-18 23:30:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,464	96¢	$3,333	0x760f54…
04-18 21:40:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xac73bd…
04-18 21:25:44	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x7613b1…