Stormy-Gaiters — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

397

Trades

1,002

lifetime

Volume

$53.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-27 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

58% 39% -$260

Crypto

40% 32% -$3,367

Politics

2% 50% -$132

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	8	$4.8K	3,484	3,484	+0	No	+$107	05-26 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$4.6K	2,741	2,741	+0	No	+$856	05-15 14:25
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	4	$2.2K	1,302	1,302	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$10	05-22 18:03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,056	1,056	+0	Yes	+$52	05-25 15:55
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	5	$1.8K	3,702	1,202	+2,500	Gujarat Titans	+$213	05-21 17:26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	20	$1.8K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	+$183	05-27 10:04
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	7	$1.6K	1,903	1,239	+664	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$95	05-20 18:12
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	16	$1.4K	853	853	+0	Yes	+$325	05-20 08:52
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	7	$1.2K	1,742	1,742	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	-$171	05-15 17:27
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 27?	3	$1.1K	1,432	1,432	+0	No	-$852	05-27 19:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$1.1K	695	695	+0	No	+$72	05-22 13:49
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	5	$949	1,335	182	+1,153	Rajasthan Royals	-$855	05-24 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	5	$929	1,057	433	+624	Up	-$71	05-16 08:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	5	$900	1,533	1,383	+150	Yes	-$91	05-18 14:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	2	$723	384	384	+0	No	+$43	05-16 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	7	$693	743	592	+151	Up	+$43	05-15 19:45
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 27?	2	$690	641	641	+0	Yes	+$590	05-28 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$675	951	404	+547	Up	-$189	10-04 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	6	$646	678	452	+226	Down	-$4	05-16 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET	6	$627	1,027	526	+500	Up	+$17	05-16 15:48
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	6	$602	1,422	1,422	+0	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$2	05-26 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	14	$570	2,624	2,624	+0	No	-$361	05-25 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	6	$553	584	584	+0	No	-$75	05-29 13:34
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	8	$537	502	502	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$47	05-24 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	2	$505	411	411	+0	Up	+$308	05-16 14:00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 21?	2	$468	600	600	+0	No	-$132	05-21 08:07
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	3	$445	377	377	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$45	05-29 15:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$407	222	222	+0	No	+$7	05-29 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	4	$398	315	315	+0	Down	+$148	05-16 18:00
bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	3	$397	506	506	+0	Up	+$43	10-04 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:49:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	92¢	$42	0xb12657…
10-27 05:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0x32d642…
10-26 16:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x890ef0…
10-26 10:12:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	82¢	$18	0x35aeb9…
10-24 20:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x54adf6…
10-24 20:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x66e5d6…
10-24 20:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xec37a5…
10-24 20:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x991205…
10-24 20:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x77214b…
10-24 20:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7c8474…
10-24 20:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc9ccb1…
10-24 20:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0x141a3b…
10-24 20:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0xb736aa…
10-24 20:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7ecbb3…
10-24 20:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0x61c641…
10-24 20:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xedfd9c…
10-24 20:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5ec946…
10-24 20:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc207f7…
10-24 20:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x27311e…
10-24 20:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf607dd…
10-24 19:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf295dd…
10-24 19:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb3bbd3…
10-24 19:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc23c55…
10-24 19:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4f5151…
10-24 19:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	134	57¢	$76	0x29f478…
10-24 19:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	134	22¢	$30	0xccd4c3…
10-24 19:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xcfe031…
10-24 19:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x93cf66…
10-24 19:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	89¢	$19	0x82ffe2…
10-24 19:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x37c381…
10-24 19:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xd93a10…
10-24 19:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	83	64¢	$53	0x72e292…
10-24 19:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xec6da2…
10-24 18:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x35d744…
10-24 18:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x950982…
10-24 18:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x256d7e…
10-24 18:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	93	95¢	$89	0x082e15…
10-24 18:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xe32334…
10-24 18:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x2bc604…
10-24 18:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0x11962f…
10-24 18:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x226a8f…
10-24 18:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0x9df924…
10-24 18:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x2df03b…
10-24 16:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x8d2028…
10-24 16:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x44cd1f…
10-24 16:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x69cd62…
10-24 14:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xc5d252…
10-24 14:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x4b3f48…
10-24 14:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc625ae…
10-24 13:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xed9601…
10-17 10:07:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	56	28¢	$16	0x3bc53f…
10-12 07:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	452	14¢	$63	0x6d8fd7…
10-12 07:29:59	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xb66e3b…
10-12 06:32:53	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x327c5c…
10-12 04:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	104	78¢	$81	0x08b256…
10-12 04:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	104	55¢	$57	0x7918b4…
10-04 16:58:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeda1a5…
10-04 16:58:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	542	42¢	$226	0xf25399…
10-04 16:53:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	399	60¢	$240	0xc6e1b0…
10-04 16:50:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x55c259…
10-04 16:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc47bf2…
10-04 16:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	402	51¢	$203	0x90227d…
10-04 16:09:04	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	506	43¢	$220	0xfa745e…
10-04 16:04:16	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9bf23f…
10-04 16:03:58	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	503	35¢	$176	0x089e19…
10-04 15:58:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x4dacc1…
10-04 15:49:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xbee549…
10-04 15:48:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	251	69¢	$174	0x5c8c6d…
10-04 15:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	251	57¢	$144	0xa85ecf…
10-03 18:37:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xed5112…
10-03 18:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xdf3cf8…
10-03 18:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x43e400…
10-03 17:59:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	322	2¢	$6	0x4e55ad…
10-03 17:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x000297…
10-03 17:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2dc5a6…
10-03 13:35:59	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 3 2026	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x72d992…
10-03 13:02:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-03 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x41ff8b…
10-03 12:59:20	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 3 2026	No	BUY	434	23¢	$100	0x897da7…
10-03 12:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x83ffbe…
10-03 12:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?	Up	SELL	831	7¢	$61	0xae1457…
10-03 12:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x04c5cf…
10-03 11:05:39	ethereum up or down on october 3 2026	Up	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x28fe50…
10-03 07:11:51	Solana Up or Down on October 3?	Up	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xb63eba…
10-03 06:34:11	Solana Up or Down on October 3?	Up	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xf33f59…
10-03 03:05:57	Solana Up or Down on October 3?	Up	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x060170…
10-02 23:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7ac7b1…
10-02 21:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?	Up	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xec5960…
10-02 21:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xedb845…
10-02 21:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x942eed…
10-02 21:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x3652e2…
10-02 21:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x98ae90…
10-02 21:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x40aa3d…
10-02 21:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbe8960…
10-02 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x034ad9…
10-02 21:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xebac98…
10-02 21:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x5f652a…
10-02 21:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xaf3cda…
10-02 21:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x3d6eac…
10-02 21:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x607564…
10-02 21:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x260aa6…