Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,303
$5,504 in 24h
Trades
68
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$8,849
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 21:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.2¢
(top1%: 63% YES on $117
vs crowd: 66% YES on $986)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $29 | $18 | +$11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $624 | $297 | +$327 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $74 | $43 | +$31 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $200 | $86 | +$113 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| Median | 6 | $26 | $168 | $142 |
| Below median | 4 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $125 | — | +$125 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $112 | $35 | +$77 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 6 | $70 | — | +$70 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alert-Pagoda 0x4d32…76e1 | Yes | +252 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 09:24 |
| Remote-Batter 0x7e2f…febc | Yes | +240 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 16:27 |
| United-Lox 0x5658…14fd | No | +221 | $168 | $168 | 1 | 05-12 13:02 |
| Giving-Shallows 0x6b2a…5aa6 | Yes | +208 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-11 18:30 |
| Passionate-Reform 0xa9f0…469c | Yes | +151 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 23:22 |
| Arctic-Insolence 0x5965…33b5 | Yes | +125 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 04:41 |
| Complex-Departure 0x96fc…6119 | Yes | +106 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-13 21:13 |
| Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | +99 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-13 00:16 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | +70 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-13 21:29 |
| Mad-Funding 0xe5cc…879c | Yes | +61 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7ba…1349 | No | +57 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-13 00:01 |
| Bold-Maybe 0xff18…d073 | Yes | +50 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-12 19:40 |
| Insubstantial-Pudding 0xe2a0…4230 | Yes | +42 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 00:46 |
| Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | Yes | +40 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 05-12 20:57 |
| Moist-Marketing 0x2eef…eaca | Yes | +40 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 15:23 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-13 18:38 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | No | +29 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | No | +29 | $16 | $45 | 5 | 05-13 20:53 |
| Clear-Interchange 0xee95…87fb | Yes | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 05:02 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 20:57 |
| Narrow-Transplantation-Med 0x81ef…8ea1 | Yes | +19 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 03:23 |
| Admirable-Mayor 0x73ec…9659 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:52 |
| Portly-Difficulty 0x3958…2152 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 01:07 |
| Graceful-Optimisation 0x92e7…e3ad | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 06:51 |
| Quirky-Ninja 0x7809…536b | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 15:18 |
| Foolhardy-Puggle 0xab69…e2b7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 13:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 21:29:31 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | BUY | 70 | 62¢ | $43 | 0x259789… |
| 05-13 21:13:08 | Complex-Departure 0x96fc…6119 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 37¢ | $39 | 0xf06549… |
| 05-13 20:53:09 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | No | BUY | 28 | 63¢ | $18 | 0xd287ad… |
| 05-13 18:38:05 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0x1942e5… |
| 05-13 16:27:44 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x130eda… |
| 05-13 16:27:37 | Remote-Batter 0x7e2f…febc | Yes | BUY | 240 | 42¢ | $100 | 0xde093d… |
| 05-13 16:07:40 | Narrow-Transplantation-Med 0x81ef…8ea1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xfb2013… |
| 05-13 15:18:26 | Quirky-Ninja 0x7809…536b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x22c4be… |
| 05-13 13:53:33 | Impure-Bail 0xd97f…7813 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x6cee38… |
| 05-13 13:48:22 | Foolhardy-Puggle 0xab69…e2b7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x596927… |
| 05-13 12:28:23 | Delirious-Eve 0x8cec…da58 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xddc0fd… |
| 05-13 12:13:27 | Delirious-Eve 0x8cec…da58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xf53e8b… |
| 05-13 09:24:26 | Alert-Pagoda 0x4d32…76e1 | Yes | BUY | 252 | 40¢ | $100 | 0xd32369… |
| 05-13 09:15:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8cf…819e | Yes | SELL | 38 | 38¢ | $14 | 0x87e647… |
| 05-13 09:14:59 | Standard-Verification 0x689a…779e | Yes | SELL | 248 | 39¢ | $97 | 0xe011c4… |
| 05-13 09:04:31 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0x231fca… |
| 05-13 09:04:31 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | No | BUY | 29 | 60¢ | $18 | 0x694f6d… |
| 05-13 09:04:31 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 99 | 41¢ | $41 | 0xc2ce4d… |
| 05-13 06:51:34 | Graceful-Optimisation 0x92e7…e3ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x54f906… |
| 05-13 06:34:08 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 39¢ | $35 | 0x21b922… |
| 05-13 06:34:08 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x6fed4b… |
| 05-13 05:52:57 | Admirable-Mayor 0x73ec…9659 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x8af874… |
| 05-13 05:02:52 | Clear-Interchange 0xee95…87fb | Yes | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0x0d7917… |
| 05-13 04:48:28 | Narrow-Transplantation-Med 0x81ef…8ea1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xa8dd19… |
| 05-13 04:41:12 | Arctic-Insolence 0x5965…33b5 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 40¢ | $50 | 0x39180e… |
| 05-13 03:23:42 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x021034… |
| 05-13 02:49:07 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | Yes | SELL | 44 | 38¢ | $17 | 0x8fa8df… |
| 05-13 02:17:02 | Perfect-External 0x8f88…ff55 | No | SELL | 1 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x858241… |
| 05-13 01:07:42 | Portly-Difficulty 0x3958…2152 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x960d8f… |
| 05-13 00:46:17 | Insubstantial-Pudding 0xe2a0…4230 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 35¢ | $15 | 0x8d9e1d… |
| 05-13 00:18:03 | Crafty-Ordination 0xdfca…645a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x877260… |
| 05-13 00:16:17 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xb1a759… |
| 05-13 00:16:15 | Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | BUY | 99 | 35¢ | $35 | 0xbdd4a4… |
| 05-13 00:06:23 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x566382… |
| 05-13 00:01:59 | (anonymous) 0xd7ba…1349 | No | BUY | 57 | 66¢ | $37 | 0x669e26… |
| 05-12 23:43:17 | Crafty-Ordination 0xdfca…645a | Yes | BUY | 56 | 34¢ | $19 | 0xbf3565… |
| 05-12 23:31:08 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x46e2ef… |
| 05-12 23:31:06 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 35¢ | $23 | 0x360fa9… |
| 05-12 23:22:00 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 32¢ | $0 | 0xf75c6e… |
| 05-12 23:22:00 | Passionate-Reform 0xa9f0…469c | Yes | BUY | 151 | 33¢ | $50 | 0x4f1bab… |
| 05-12 22:26:03 | Growing-Defendant 0x7072…e65c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x69ce97… |
| 05-12 20:57:46 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xf25052… |
| 05-12 20:57:44 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x8e1cb0… |
| 05-12 20:55:44 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xea3860… |
| 05-12 19:40:27 | Bold-Maybe 0xff18…d073 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x68fa6e… |
| 05-12 18:32:10 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x068a93… |
| 05-12 18:32:10 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x7be52d… |
| 05-12 18:32:08 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xd9e868… |
| 05-12 18:32:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 110 | 26¢ | $29 | 0xa4612b… |
| 05-12 18:27:30 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | BUY | 99 | 24¢ | $24 | 0x8bc4da… |
| 05-12 16:06:52 | Crafty-Ordination 0xdfca…645a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 22¢ | $6 | 0xf38f92… |
| 05-12 16:06:24 | Crafty-Ordination 0xdfca…645a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x70b6f0… |
| 05-12 16:06:15 | Crafty-Ordination 0xdfca…645a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x72da82… |
| 05-12 15:23:17 | Moist-Marketing 0x2eef…eaca | Yes | BUY | 40 | 28¢ | $11 | 0x3260eb… |
| 05-12 13:37:56 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xa8aa99… |
| 05-12 13:02:54 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0xff28da… |
| 05-12 13:02:49 | United-Lox 0x5658…14fd | No | BUY | 221 | 76¢ | $168 | 0xa3baba… |
| 05-12 03:04:05 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | No | SELL | 13 | 63¢ | $8 | 0xe83591… |
| 05-11 23:31:03 | Mad-Funding 0xe5cc…879c | Yes | BUY | 61 | 41¢ | $25 | 0x6c0306… |
| 05-11 23:19:09 | Growing-Defendant 0x7072…e65c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 41¢ | $12 | 0xde339b… |
| 05-11 23:11:08 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | No | SELL | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xc2a3fc… |
| 05-11 23:03:42 | Crafty-Ordination 0xdfca…645a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x602aa0… |
| 05-11 23:03:38 | Crafty-Ordination 0xdfca…645a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xff25ba… |
| 05-11 20:32:23 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | No | BUY | 14 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xa2e6e3… |
| 05-11 19:58:50 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x04e63a… |
| 05-11 19:54:08 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x54ff0a… |
| 05-11 18:30:56 | Giving-Shallows 0x6b2a…5aa6 | Yes | BUY | 208 | 48¢ | $100 | 0xbe4718… |
| 05-11 16:36:48 | Homely-Raid 0x4b89…e6d7 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x980be4… |