Fresh-Institute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

1,014

Trades

1,463

lifetime

Volume

$8.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-26 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

98% 82% -$70

Politics

1% 33% -$11

Sports

1% 75% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?	6	$67	59	39	+21	Yes	$0	06-15 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?	3	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	06-15 14:56
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	9	$39	37	35	+2	Delhi Capitals	+$1	04-18 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?	3	$38	43	13	+30	No	+$8	06-17 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	3	$37	22	22	+0	Yes	-$3	06-04 20:41
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?	4	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-15 00:28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?	5	$31	48	48	+0	No	-$21	06-18 16:08
highest temperature in lagos on april 20 2026 28corbelow	4	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	04-20 23:41
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	8	$31	32	17	+15	Yes	-$8	05-04 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?	3	$30	35	12	+23	Yes	-$6	06-17 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?	3	$30	26	15	+11	Yes	+$1	06-19 20:38
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 12?	2	$30	35	0	+35	No	+$5	06-12 19:45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	05-18 22:35
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	4	$23	25	0	+25	Gujarat Titans	+$2	05-09 17:14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?	3	$22	24	11	+13	No	-$18	06-21 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 16?	3	$21	23	11	+11	Yes	-$7	06-16 17:53
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians	4	$21	17	16	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$9	04-20 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	4	$21	46	46	+0	Yes	-$9	06-18 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?	3	$21	22	11	+11	Yes	-$8	06-14 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14?	3	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	06-14 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?	2	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	06-13 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 12?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	06-12 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	2	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	06-16 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 19?	2	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	06-19 15:52
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	6	$20	15	15	+0	No	-$6	05-04 14:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?	3	$20	22	14	+8	Yes	-$2	06-21 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 2?	2	$19	21	0	+21	No	+$1	06-02 07:53
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	4	$19	21	5	+16	Yes	-$1	05-31 16:43
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 18c	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	04-23 03:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	05-12 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 14:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 26?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x999584…
06-26 13:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 26?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xed8263…
06-25 23:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x374113…
06-25 13:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x20a08d…
06-25 12:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1a2c1b…
06-25 12:25:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xfe4637…
06-24 21:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x18e372…
06-23 14:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9c0607…
06-23 14:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5247e8…
06-23 14:41:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x4702c5…
06-23 11:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdbc0ab…
06-23 11:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7200f2…
06-23 11:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 23?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x354afa…
06-23 10:46:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x80044f…
06-22 11:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb13d25…
06-22 11:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 22?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x0242cd…
06-21 21:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x3448a6…
06-21 21:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?	No	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x567a94…
06-21 16:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x91b620…
06-21 11:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf17d4f…
06-21 04:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc035fa…
06-21 04:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?	No	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xdc328b…
06-21 01:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x207ef7…
06-21 01:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x424695…
06-21 01:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9f751d…
06-21 01:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x59c14d…
06-21 01:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf67258…
06-21 00:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe33f9d…
06-20 12:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4b197a…
06-20 12:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf3ab71…
06-20 12:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc58cfe…
06-20 12:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x32f68c…
06-20 12:00:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x31c652…
06-20 11:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5aca6b…
06-19 22:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdb2c7f…
06-19 22:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc48022…
06-19 20:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6b20b7…
06-19 17:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x46418a…
06-19 15:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8689e5…
06-19 15:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 19?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc8fee1…
06-19 12:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 19?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x11844d…
06-19 12:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbeab77…
06-19 01:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x437f43…
06-18 19:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9133f7…
06-18 19:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xaa462a…
06-18 16:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x12b8a9…
06-18 16:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x346272…
06-18 16:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	No	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x96625d…
06-18 15:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xc0ed86…
06-18 15:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xcc615f…
06-18 15:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x512356…
06-18 15:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xef73be…
06-18 15:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?	No	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x8e202c…
06-18 15:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x11babb…
06-18 15:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1b40ae…
06-18 15:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe8b3c6…
06-18 12:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe64374…
06-18 03:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x296daf…
06-18 01:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6c4c34…
06-18 01:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa212c4…
06-18 01:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd3e0fa…
06-17 21:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xcc8e33…
06-17 21:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?	No	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x7a33cf…
06-17 16:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xfb9e78…
06-17 14:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x077c0c…
06-17 11:51:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x79d858…
06-17 10:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x084f5e…
06-17 10:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9e12e2…
06-17 03:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x580c05…
06-17 03:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x815864…
06-17 03:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?	No	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0x417c0b…
06-17 01:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x2d4be2…
06-17 01:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc687e3…
06-17 00:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x4323c1…
06-17 00:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xcf94c4…
06-16 23:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa584ff…
06-16 17:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 16?	No	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xcac804…
06-16 17:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x596e63…
06-16 15:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe368ba…
06-16 15:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbf68ba…
06-16 14:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x7779cf…
06-16 13:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9f950e…
06-16 13:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd8c877…
06-16 10:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd52747…
06-16 10:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 16?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa9c54b…
06-16 10:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x91e4f2…
06-16 03:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x3ef01d…
06-16 03:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 16?	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x2902fd…
06-16 01:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 16?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xfad0a8…
06-16 01:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8e7bcd…
06-16 01:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 16?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0d353a…
06-16 01:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb1a78a…
06-16 00:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xeab2dc…
06-16 00:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2e2cfa…
06-15 21:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x969e1e…
06-15 21:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x261df8…
06-15 20:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 15?	No	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xdf7f4f…
06-15 19:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 15?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc3f6ac…
06-15 18:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x70c467…
06-15 17:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x064b4c…