Relieved-Respite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

1,607

Trades

11,056

lifetime

Volume

$90.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$136

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 276 days

Categories

Other

100% 44% -$163

Sports

0% 49% +$15

Politics

0% 71% +$18

Crypto

0% 58% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	+128	$112	100¢	$128	+$17	10-28 13:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-7	-$6	96¢	$-7	$0	06-15 12:18
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-6	-$1	16¢	$-1	+$0	05-19 22:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	33	$894	1,911	1,950	-39	No	-$6	02-24 07:45
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	42	$466	622	638	-15	Yes	-$51	02-17 15:43
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	28	$430	391	314	+77	Yes	+$18	04-04 13:08
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	46	$426	534	534	+0	No	+$16	03-31 15:26
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	38	$422	519	505	+15	No	-$29	04-07 13:10
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	43	$420	430	430	+0	Yes	+$12	03-31 14:09
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	32	$413	522	494	+28	No	+$6	03-13 09:13
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	12	$370	635	596	+39	No	+$175	10-07 00:26
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	37	$365	508	513	-5	Yes	+$54	02-27 13:32
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	40	$347	487	487	+0	No	+$13	02-10 15:43
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	36	$342	399	399	+0	No	-$14	02-20 16:12
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	37	$339	707	707	+0	No	+$15	03-06 14:00
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	41	$329	552	529	+24	No	-$6	02-24 07:44
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	28	$328	282	282	+0	Yes	-$14	03-25 14:39
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	38	$325	523	524	-1	Yes	-$6	02-20 16:12
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	37	$324	440	399	+41	No	-$22	04-21 03:06
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	28	$320	525	532	-7	Yes	-$53	03-17 13:20
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	32	$318	399	399	+0	Yes	+$52	02-14 15:17
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	24	$315	369	369	+0	Yes	+$13	03-13 15:08
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	26	$312	286	286	+0	Yes	-$28	03-07 15:27
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	26	$305	325	317	+8	Yes	-$16	04-24 15:48
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	20	$301	252	248	+4	Yes	-$20	04-14 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	16	$299	264	264	+0	Yes	+$19	09-25 09:06
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	26	$294	403	369	+34	No	+$2	02-26 15:28
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	23	$293	495	455	+41	No	-$25	03-13 15:10
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 90 114	25	$286	266	266	+0	No	-$10	02-23 15:33
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	19	$285	646	646	+0	Yes	+$85	03-04 15:09
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	22	$285	479	395	+85	No	-$27	03-10 04:17
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	25	$284	473	458	+16	No	-$26	04-17 13:43
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	30	$282	359	340	+20	No	+$23	02-09 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xd3bd7a…
10-28 14:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x654171…
10-28 13:21:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x832c5e…
10-28 08:16:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xffca7c…
10-28 08:16:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x68d618…
10-28 08:15:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0x4e68d7…
10-28 02:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x88eddc…
10-28 01:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x4e0859…
10-27 22:44:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xecaa58…
10-27 22:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfaff51…
10-27 22:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc41076…
10-27 22:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x518bab…
10-27 22:24:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7f2c02…
10-27 22:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x601fb7…
10-27 15:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x9fe09c…
10-27 15:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x0dd94f…
10-27 15:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x58e53f…
10-27 15:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	79¢	$33	0x0db6ca…
10-27 15:00:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x474518…
10-27 15:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	197	1¢	$2	0x9973d5…
10-27 14:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x3817b8…
10-27 14:27:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0x874616…
10-27 14:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x66d9f0…
10-27 13:43:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x4ee785…
10-27 13:43:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x874db9…
10-27 13:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xb281fb…
10-27 13:28:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x3bd633…
10-27 12:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x8aee0a…
10-27 11:40:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x371b5c…
10-27 11:40:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x3669a1…
10-27 10:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x9fa236…
10-27 10:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	72¢	$48	0x3b8cd5…
10-27 10:58:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xc53b86…
10-27 10:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x73a5c5…
10-27 10:57:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xe25263…
10-27 10:39:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xbb7896…
10-27 03:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xbb984f…
10-27 03:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0xc08fe6…
10-27 02:14:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x46bb96…
10-27 02:13:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xd82118…
10-27 01:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x4621c9…
10-27 01:45:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xeb350f…
10-26 22:16:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x0614bf…
10-26 22:15:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	0¢	$0	0x028a93…
10-26 22:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x2b126c…
10-26 22:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xcaa5a3…
10-26 22:13:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x6d12b7…
10-26 14:36:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xb6768f…
10-26 14:35:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	26¢	$10	0x7cfbe7…
10-26 11:03:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	3¢	$3	0xb64287…
10-26 11:03:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	3¢	$3	0xd682b4…
10-26 11:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x6d64c3…
10-26 11:00:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x5e7e05…
10-26 08:18:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0x3100fb…
10-26 08:17:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	13¢	$8	0xa78ef7…
10-26 08:16:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0xf264ee…
10-26 03:40:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xc695e2…
10-26 03:40:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x467b71…
10-26 02:44:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x00ac88…
10-26 02:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$9	0xe3ed14…
10-26 02:43:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x81be62…
10-26 00:59:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x507316…
10-26 00:56:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x929dc6…
10-25 22:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x7ba033…
10-25 22:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xfa2e88…
10-25 22:54:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x0eb986…
10-25 15:40:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$8	0xdfa12e…
10-25 15:40:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xd06bc0…
10-25 15:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	27¢	$8	0x326f0f…
10-25 15:08:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	35¢	$21	0x370983…
10-25 15:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0x95258b…
10-25 15:08:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xed1a41…
10-25 15:07:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x48b9aa…
10-25 15:07:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x64ba15…
10-25 15:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xf89b98…
10-25 15:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	20¢	$7	0x4a3a06…
10-25 14:20:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x9e063f…
10-25 14:19:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0x3cdb40…
10-25 14:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x17afd4…
10-25 14:18:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xb16263…
10-25 14:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xfdaf7b…
10-25 07:00:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x1d1581…
10-25 06:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xc2266e…
10-25 06:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x5979db…
10-25 06:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x3c00e9…
10-25 06:24:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x62d195…
10-25 06:24:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x921635…
10-25 06:24:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xeb4654…
10-25 06:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x34f49b…
10-25 06:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xa40a67…
10-25 02:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xdcb073…
10-25 01:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xbbcec2…
10-25 01:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x628698…
10-25 01:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x98117b…
10-25 01:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x48ecfc…
10-25 01:30:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0xb2e5c5…
10-25 01:30:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x5e5148…
10-24 22:47:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	2¢	$3	0x9a86bd…
10-24 14:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x320930…
10-24 14:45:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x81fdee…