Previous-Welcome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$44

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-14 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

81% 75% +$13

Crypto

11% 0% $-5

Politics

7% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	+14	$4	61¢	$8	+$4	05-13 09:29
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-20	$-2	9¢	$-2	$-0	05-11 20:33
Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	-30	$-1	4¢	$-1	$-0	05-14 19:59
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	+33	$2	3¢	$1	$-1	05-13 01:06
Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	+10	$0	0¢	$0	$-0	05-10 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 19:59:14	Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x3a6f5b…
05-13 09:29:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xdd0ecd…
05-13 01:06:07	Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x213d2a…
05-13 00:53:19	Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xdcf133…
05-11 20:33:52	Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xa64b6f…
05-11 20:33:45	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x184a82…
05-11 02:30:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x09b43f…
05-11 00:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe3b92f…
05-10 19:04:36	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0xb8f891…
05-10 18:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x8ce23a…
05-10 16:01:19	Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x63edfc…
05-10 14:57:32	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x0ca547…
05-10 06:51:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2984de…
05-09 03:15:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xa40dd3…
05-08 08:34:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xaebf76…
05-07 04:38:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x0d55cf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	5	$22.4K	442	05-14 20:14
Careful-Providence 0xf993…cd9d	5	$10.4K	17	05-14 20:20
Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c	5	$2.82K	29	05-14 22:27
(anonymous) 0xbea8…36ef	5	$2.52K	14	05-13 22:23
Ondra 0x849c…4009	5	$1.98K	52	05-14 20:05
Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b	5	$1.61K	81	05-14 22:17
Popular-Commercial 0x2673…5ac9	5	$929	29	05-14 15:54
Delicious-Peacoat 0xd897…9b49	5	$927	8	05-13 07:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$10	55	0	+55	No	$-10	05-10 18:53
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$8	20	6	+14	open	—	05-13 09:29
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$8	0	30	-30	No	+$8	05-07 04:38
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?	1	$5	83	0	+83	Yes	$-5	05-11 02:30
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$4	16	0	+16	Yes	+$12	05-10 19:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	05-10 06:51
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$2	0	20	-20	open	—	05-11 20:33
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	33	0	+33	open	—	05-13 01:06
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	1	$1	0	20	-20	Yes	+$1	05-09 03:15
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$1	8	8	+0	open	—	05-11 20:33
Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	0	30	-30	open	—	05-14 19:59
Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$0	10	0	+10	open	—	05-10 14:57