Flamboyant-Disappointment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-13 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Crypto

45% 27% +$39

Sports

1% 0% $-10

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	7	$861	1,048	548	+500	Up	+$113	05-10 21:18
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	3	$498	511	486	+25	open	—	04-14 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$352	355	172	+182	Down	$-48	05-11 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$325	219	219	+0	Up	+$75	05-13 17:34
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	3	$191	356	283	+73	open	—	04-15 07:10
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	2	$160	103	101	+2	open	—	04-18 10:19
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	2	$155	130	125	+5	open	—	04-20 16:41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$126	89	86	+2	open	—	04-27 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$124	157	157	+0	Down	+$24	05-11 19:54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	3	$119	10,406	388	+10,019	open	—	04-27 15:44
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	4	$103	93	93	+0	open	—	03-17 15:37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	3	$101	354	337	+17	open	—	04-24 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$98	136	60	+76	Up	$-11	05-11 20:34
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	3	$95	734	0	+734	open	—	04-17 07:19
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	2	$91	74	71	+3	open	—	04-22 17:22
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	3	$84	171	163	+8	open	—	04-24 11:19
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	2	$69	111	106	+6	open	—	04-13 09:32
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	3	$55	82	79	+4	open	—	04-10 13:17
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	4	$53	1,480	0	+1,480	open	—	04-17 14:36
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$50	114	0	+114	open	—	04-26 11:47
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	2	$48	143	136	+7	open	—	04-15 12:36
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	3	$47	57	40	+17	open	—	04-15 15:53
btc updown 5m 1773762000	2	$41	63	63	+1	open	—	03-17 15:44
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	1	$40	89	0	+89	open	—	04-18 18:33
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	1	$40	89	0	+89	open	—	04-18 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$33	90	0	+90	Down	$-33	05-11 20:37
btc updown 5m 1773704700	3	$32	66	16	+50	open	—	03-16 23:51
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$30	449	0	+449	open	—	04-26 11:47
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	3	$30	675	0	+675	open	—	04-15 20:42
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	3	$30	561	0	+561	open	—	04-20 20:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 17:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	219	92¢	$200	0xfc39ec…
05-13 17:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x3029ec…
05-13 17:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x91e27c…
05-13 17:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb8054d…
05-11 20:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x7594ff…
05-11 20:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x057a06…
05-11 20:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0xae14b8…
05-11 20:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	60	73¢	$43	0x1236b9…
05-11 20:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x638d23…
05-11 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x46d08c…
05-11 19:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xc756c1…
05-11 19:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xb20684…
05-11 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	119	31¢	$37	0x54608e…
05-11 19:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x0f3844…
05-11 19:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x3be766…
05-11 19:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	172	88¢	$152	0x4f9dd4…
05-11 19:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x62445a…
05-10 21:29:16	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x03de38…
05-10 21:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	196	2¢	$4	0x4e6af2…
05-10 21:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x1bc25c…
05-10 21:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	196	13¢	$25	0x028c37…
05-10 21:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x106d04…
05-10 21:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd84eff…
05-10 21:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	548	89¢	$487	0xba00be…
05-10 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	82	69¢	$57	0xec280d…
05-10 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xdf34f3…
05-10 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xa3e970…
05-10 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	74	65¢	$49	0x7f4aa6…
05-10 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	98	65¢	$64	0x6158f2…
05-09 11:23:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	61¢	$20	0xfb8bad…
05-07 23:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x58d80d…
04-29 10:35:32	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	318	2¢	$5	0x62d2c5…
04-27 15:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x7f0257…
04-27 15:44:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc03415…
04-27 07:15:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	388	20¢	$78	0xc65992…
04-26 11:47:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	449	7¢	$30	0xe7b30b…
04-26 11:47:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xc8c39a…
04-25 12:08:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	406	8¢	$32	0xe41a72…
04-25 12:07:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0xeaaff3…
04-24 13:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd9cc8f…
04-24 13:30:02	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x6ac80b…
04-24 13:29:56	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	530	0¢	$2	0x4c6b66…
04-24 13:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x5ef925…
04-24 13:29:38	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9cc02a…
04-24 13:29:32	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xc7637e…
04-24 13:29:24	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5a50c3…
04-24 13:29:20	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x342457…
04-24 13:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdaee8e…
04-24 11:19:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	337	24¢	$80	0x7a4a8a…
04-24 11:19:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	163	47¢	$77	0xb07b59…
04-22 17:25:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0xa0b964…
04-22 17:22:06	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x6e88bc…
04-22 07:30:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0x9b6c2e…
04-22 07:29:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	Yes	BUY	183	5¢	$10	0xfa57b1…
04-21 23:19:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	6¢	$11	0xed7ed2…
04-20 20:48:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	Yes	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0x470065…
04-20 20:47:24	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	387	4¢	$14	0x18ff4f…
04-20 16:44:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xa8bec8…
04-20 16:44:00	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	156	10¢	$15	0x3f258d…
04-20 16:41:02	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xc5c83a…
04-18 18:33:54	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x5f2c24…
04-18 18:33:40	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0xb40624…
04-18 18:32:56	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xeea243…
04-18 18:32:46	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	359	3¢	$10	0x57678a…
04-18 10:19:30	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	Yes	SELL	101	89¢	$90	0x8f9362…
04-18 01:32:08	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	Yes	BUY	103	68¢	$70	0x460118…
04-17 21:54:10	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xb3171d…
04-17 14:36:48	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	Yes	BUY	367	0¢	$1	0x8f0a06…
04-17 07:19:36	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x630193…
04-16 23:36:26	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xfec2dc…
04-16 19:46:02	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0x0fd7e1…
04-15 22:13:32	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	1,471	1¢	$8	0x067376…
04-15 20:44:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xc1261d…
04-15 20:42:42	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x26fad8…
04-15 20:42:32	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	391	0¢	$1	0xacf6a3…
04-15 15:55:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	403	2¢	$10	0xb0b3d3…
04-15 15:54:56	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x5caf81…
04-15 15:53:00	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xfb6b7f…
04-15 15:10:26	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e8e58…
04-15 15:04:42	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	Yes	BUY	1,020	5¢	$50	0xedf6de…
04-15 15:00:24	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa3b2e2…
04-15 14:49:00	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	Yes	SELL	317	0¢	$0	0x6cb53b…
04-15 12:36:38	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	Yes	SELL	136	33¢	$45	0x3fce1c…
04-15 11:39:04	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8e9c66…
04-15 07:15:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xe284b3…
04-15 07:15:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x973285…
04-15 07:15:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	Yes	BUY	177	1¢	$1	0xbe21b6…
04-15 07:15:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 100 119	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5183a3…
04-15 07:14:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 80 99	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf0fee9…
04-15 07:14:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 60 79	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x410e74…
04-15 07:14:50	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 40 59	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x545a07…
04-15 07:14:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 20 39	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x17ffce…
04-15 07:14:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 0 19	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xabbf6c…
04-15 07:14:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x85cf14…
04-15 07:14:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	235	2¢	$5	0x64898a…
04-15 07:13:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa427c0…
04-15 07:13:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0x5b21b8…
04-15 07:10:02	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	Yes	SELL	283	60¢	$170	0xd07c35…
04-15 07:02:32	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x38f9f6…
04-15 07:02:00	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x8b8e03…