Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-07 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

77% 89% -$37

Crypto

22% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 50% -$2

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+13	$13	99¢	$13	+$0	05-15 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,622	0	+1,622	No	+$2	07-27 13:44
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,122	0	+1,122	No	+$1	07-29 04:23
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$600	601	0	+601	No	+$1	07-29 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	2	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	08-29 14:50
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	2	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	08-19 16:16
bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	08-06 12:29
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$260	260	0	+260	No	+$0	08-06 12:29
ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	08-06 12:28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-31 02:09
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 29	2	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	07-30 01:57
will bitcoin reach 84k on august 27 2026	2	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	08-28 04:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 23?	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	07-23 13:13
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$100	133	0	+133	Argentina	+$33	07-11 12:48
ethereum above 1800 on august 19 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	08-19 12:37
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 11?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-11 12:49
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-21 12:29
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-18 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-26 09:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-28 08:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$96	97	0	+97	No	+$0	04-14 08:40
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$91	92	0	+92	No	+$1	03-09 12:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	2	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	06-15 12:44
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 140 159	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	01-11 13:42
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$50	77	0	+77	England	+$27	07-11 12:48
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 40 59	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-11 12:43
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$50	85	0	+85	Spain	-$50	07-14 14:12
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-15 13:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	5	$47	31	31	+0	Yes	-$2	07-31 02:06
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$40	69	0	+69	No	-$40	07-11 12:48
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-09 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 13:43:37	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x21d6ce…
09-07 13:30:58	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x183188…
08-29 14:50:28	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x728134…
08-28 08:09:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa33833…
08-28 04:00:28	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbefad3…
08-28 04:00:18	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x1f31b5…
08-21 12:29:33	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbd1cca…
08-20 08:28:19	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x44bff7…
08-19 16:16:37	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x92fd79…
08-19 12:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x0b1426…
08-19 12:38:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa7f1c1…
08-19 12:37:34	ethereum above 1800 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0df3e4…
08-06 12:29:36	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xc2a205…
08-06 12:29:06	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x88379b…
08-06 12:28:48	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x234fa4…
07-31 02:09:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf7c2ae…
07-31 02:06:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0xe3afcd…
07-30 01:57:26	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 29	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x379a76…
07-30 01:34:02	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 29	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe03928…
07-29 04:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1,122	100¢	$1,121	0xf90b41…
07-29 01:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0xe1b373…
07-28 01:09:33	bitcoin above 66k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1e33ff…
07-27 13:44:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x8cf485…
07-27 13:44:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,622	100¢	$1,620	0xd1012f…
07-26 09:36:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xecef91…
07-26 09:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x25e844…
07-24 01:37:09	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x43727f…
07-24 01:37:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x003773…
07-23 13:13:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 23?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf5b002…
07-23 08:18:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x6fa258…
07-23 08:17:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7bf69e…
07-18 07:26:19	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3629b9…
07-15 12:59:26	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1d28bc…
07-15 12:56:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x516dce…
07-14 14:12:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x4e286b…
07-11 12:49:14	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x68745b…
07-11 12:48:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xd18ac7…
07-11 12:48:43	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb91223…
07-11 12:48:23	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xfeadd6…
07-11 12:48:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x1cb636…
07-09 14:16:56	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x88f53d…
07-09 12:53:16	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x28b32d…
07-09 12:53:04	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x27db22…
06-15 12:44:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x10c138…
06-15 12:42:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x160468…
06-15 12:41:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x54052c…
05-15 13:39:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb40f5f…
05-15 12:38:57	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4a6a69…
05-15 12:38:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xca97e1…
05-15 12:38:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5c52e3…
05-15 12:38:12	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x88567b…
04-14 08:40:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$96	0x454e27…
04-14 08:40:05	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x27bcea…
04-14 08:39:53	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x10fd55…
03-09 12:04:29	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x38c9cd…
03-09 12:04:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4dfd58…
03-09 12:04:01	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bac8a…
02-25 07:13:54	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x80944e…
02-25 07:13:40	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa8dfb7…
02-25 07:13:20	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x32a1bd…
02-25 07:13:06	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x393092…
02-11 12:45:01	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0b752e…
02-11 12:44:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7fcdf4…
02-11 12:44:03	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xc385c7…
02-11 12:43:51	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 40 59	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x25cbac…
02-11 12:43:31	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 580plus	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x891d02…
02-11 12:42:49	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7e8719…
01-11 13:42:10	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 140 159	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xb17eb8…
01-11 13:41:56	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1758e0…
01-11 13:41:42	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x49ff86…
01-11 13:41:02	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf7173b…