Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 04-16 00:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% — —

Other

36% 50% $-20

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nothing Ever Happens: March	2	$326	400	200	+200	open	—	03-22 04:52
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$247	400	200	+200	open	—	03-20 21:45
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	2	$247	153	153	+0	open	—	03-04 17:31
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	2	$186	0	310	-310	open	—	02-03 08:03
btc updown 5m 1772928900	9	$145	200	100	+100	open	—	03-08 00:20
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	2	$130	144	50	+94	open	—	03-08 03:55
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$126	165	165	+0	open	—	03-08 04:01
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$117	157	57	+100	open	—	01-19 15:58
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	1	$105	107	0	+107	open	—	03-04 17:39
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-04 02:52
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 6 2026	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	03-05 22:12
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	1	$100	139	0	+139	open	—	03-08 00:10
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	03-06 04:37
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$100	114	0	+114	No	+$14	03-19 00:09
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$71	2,848	0	+2,848	open	—	03-25 17:54
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	03-19 00:09
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	2	$36	103	103	+0	Yes	$-34	04-16 00:51
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$31	77	77	+0	open	—	03-22 17:50
btc updown 5m 1773876600	3	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	03-18 23:31
btc updown 5m 1773876300	3	$15	149	0	+149	open	—	03-18 23:28
btc updown 5m 1772940300	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	03-08 03:29
btc updown 5m 1773679500	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	03-16 16:47
btc updown 5m 1773710400	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	03-17 01:20
btc updown 5m 1773681300	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	03-16 17:17
btc updown 5m 1772939400	1	$5	300	0	+300	open	—	03-08 03:14
btc updown 5m 1773710700	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	03-17 01:27
btc updown 5m 1773876900	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-18 23:36
btc updown 5m 1772939700	2	$4	50	0	+50	open	—	03-08 03:17
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	1	$2	0	40	-40	open	—	01-07 14:58
btc updown 5m 1772646000	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-04 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-16 00:51:24	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0x5705d0…
03-25 17:54:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x420954…
03-23 23:29:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xfe2f98…
03-23 16:33:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x7821c0…
03-22 17:50:47	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xb5b4fe…
03-22 04:52:29	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0x80c61e…
03-22 04:51:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x47cd7c…
03-20 21:45:03	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x02667f…
03-20 20:16:47	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xf1adba…
03-19 00:30:13	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	400	56¢	$224	0xf93b2f…
03-19 00:29:43	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	400	40¢	$160	0xd2db05…
03-19 00:09:23	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x183efd…
03-19 00:09:11	Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xa0164c…
03-18 23:36:05	btc updown 5m 1773876900	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4c4382…
03-18 23:31:47	btc updown 5m 1773876600	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xe9b5df…
03-18 23:31:25	btc updown 5m 1773876600	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcf0e2c…
03-18 23:31:03	btc updown 5m 1773876600	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8893a2…
03-18 23:28:39	btc updown 5m 1773876300	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x209496…
03-18 23:28:03	btc updown 5m 1773876300	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x51d387…
03-18 23:27:27	btc updown 5m 1773876300	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x991229…
03-17 01:27:05	btc updown 5m 1773710700	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x95bbcd…
03-17 01:20:39	btc updown 5m 1773710400	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xf594f3…
03-16 17:17:37	btc updown 5m 1773681300	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbc277d…
03-16 17:09:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x6287d5…
03-16 16:47:59	btc updown 5m 1773679500	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf24599…
03-16 16:40:37	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	34¢	$35	0x845333…
03-08 04:01:47	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	165	44¢	$73	0x6d3c80…
03-08 03:55:01	will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x6535e9…
03-08 03:50:19	will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0xea943f…
03-08 03:29:57	btc updown 5m 1772940300	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2b2a3c…
03-08 03:17:01	btc updown 5m 1772939700	Down	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x706ccb…
03-08 03:16:57	btc updown 5m 1772939700	Down	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x6bcb71…
03-08 03:14:51	btc updown 5m 1772939400	Down	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x38ade2…
03-08 00:20:47	btc updown 5m 1772928900	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4eee1c…
03-08 00:19:53	btc updown 5m 1772928900	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xa81983…
03-08 00:17:55	btc updown 5m 1772928900	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xff09fb…
03-08 00:17:53	btc updown 5m 1772928900	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xfefaed…
03-08 00:17:53	btc updown 5m 1772928900	Down	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0xe4fe8d…
03-08 00:17:53	btc updown 5m 1772928900	Down	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0xa936eb…
03-08 00:17:53	btc updown 5m 1772928900	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0x928b05…
03-08 00:17:53	btc updown 5m 1772928900	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x4d40f3…
03-08 00:17:53	btc updown 5m 1772928900	Down	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x34470c…
03-08 00:10:23	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xb86677…
03-06 04:40:29	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x7ed0d9…
03-06 04:37:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x720a14…
03-05 22:12:47	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 6 2026	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xe08f75…
03-04 17:45:13	btc updown 5m 1772646000	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1df45a…
03-04 17:39:13	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x5444f6…
03-04 17:31:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	SELL	153	96¢	$147	0xea6f9b…
03-04 02:54:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	BUY	153	66¢	$100	0x286f71…
03-04 02:52:45	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc2c700…
02-27 23:58:01	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	165	32¢	$53	0xe57396…
02-03 08:03:52	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	134	60¢	$80	0x9f3252…
01-19 15:58:38	nothing ever happens january 581	Yes	SELL	57	70¢	$40	0x6464a5…
01-08 00:33:33	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	176	60¢	$106	0x278b0d…
01-07 15:20:15	nothing ever happens january 581	Yes	BUY	157	49¢	$77	0xeb993c…
01-07 14:58:35	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x9bcaef…