Jaded-Alert — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

293 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$3.32K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-05 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-05 16:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 14:35
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:27
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:46
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 10:38
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:54
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 06:42
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:20
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:38
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:40
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 04:41
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:34
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:04
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:44
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:33
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:16
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 04:10
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:53
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 16:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb364ba…
11-04 12:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa5b785…
11-03 09:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5a737b…
11-02 13:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd04a38…
10-31 17:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd5caa8…
10-31 09:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0513d…
10-30 09:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1be30b…
10-29 08:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0xa1c1a9…
10-28 05:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe42676…
10-27 08:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91b58e…
10-26 05:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31c086…
10-24 06:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6b4bf…
10-22 09:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f96b6…
10-20 04:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7faa82…
10-19 07:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf696de…
10-18 07:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e9ba3…
10-17 07:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64e8bd…
10-16 08:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8eea49…
10-15 08:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb53443…
10-14 07:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa11b57…
10-13 05:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0d0d9…
10-12 04:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2203dd…
10-11 03:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01ee38…
10-08 07:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72e81b…
10-07 09:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fd95c…
10-06 07:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a428c…
10-04 08:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9b9b6…
10-03 04:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1f4ff…
10-02 07:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x835654…
10-02 03:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f016c…
10-01 07:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d9ba0…
09-30 09:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5d542…
09-29 08:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08160c…
09-28 08:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51ba96…
09-27 08:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x000ece…
09-25 07:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d7a79…
09-24 06:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9780aa…
09-23 05:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5d2dd…
09-22 06:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x894236…
09-21 08:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc0212…
09-20 03:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x373a67…
09-19 07:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e3de4…
09-18 01:13:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49fce5…
09-17 03:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b5343…
09-16 08:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd17fc3…
09-15 23:37:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbbd4c…
09-15 02:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00f82f…
09-14 02:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39ac96…
09-12 08:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0be8a4…
09-11 06:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1135d…
09-10 01:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69b401…
09-09 09:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc19428…
09-08 15:43:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfbee3…
09-08 01:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4671f8…
09-07 01:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dbae9…
09-06 01:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x298575…
09-05 09:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b465c…
09-04 08:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd24956…
09-03 07:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff935f…
09-01 01:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74884c…
08-30 01:03:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76b2b4…
08-29 05:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf8b6b…
08-28 02:02:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ec237…
08-27 01:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x82464f…
08-26 02:05:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed47fc…
08-25 08:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf57178…
08-24 07:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x664f13…
08-23 07:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e6c70…
08-22 06:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0a5a0…
08-21 01:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20b89a…
08-20 08:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc3bca…
08-19 07:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18efbf…
08-18 01:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25cfa5…
08-17 06:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68e12b…
08-16 10:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8b280…
08-15 05:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71d16f…
08-14 06:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a8ffa…
08-13 01:00:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa01461…
08-12 06:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad9659…
08-11 00:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22b31a…
08-10 00:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46404b…
08-09 01:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb55418…
08-08 07:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf2acb…
08-07 00:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d3767…
08-06 00:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cd5b8…
08-05 00:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf69306…
08-04 03:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa99af…
08-03 01:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x564ebf…
08-02 00:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca7568…
08-01 00:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b8c56…
07-31 07:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd08539…
07-30 00:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01dd15…
07-29 01:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31c836…
07-28 00:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7e61c…
07-27 07:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x804385…
07-26 01:13:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ac70a…
07-25 00:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f0c39…
07-24 06:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6907f7…
07-23 01:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09e06b…
07-22 01:35:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70633b…