Dead-Tragedy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

2,427

Trades

2,770

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 09-10 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 73% +$174

Other

18% 38% -$297

Politics

3% 0% -$11

Sports

2% 100% +$135

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
val fpx te 2026 07 10	2	$502	500	500	+0	FunPlus Phoenix	-$8	07-10 05:55
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	13	$475	500	500	+0	Under	+$5	07-06 16:31
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	7	$465	300	300	+0	Yes	+$135	07-14 21:03
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game1	2	$416	500	500	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$4	07-08 14:01
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	5	$356	350	350	+0	No	-$3	07-06 08:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	6	$352	376	376	+0	No	-$11	07-13 20:18
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	3	$285	175	175	+0	Yes	-$2	07-07 18:10
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	3	$253	175	175	+0	open	—	07-11 23:03
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	4	$242	175	175	+0	open	—	07-06 03:41
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts second half	2	$215	500	500	+0	No	-$5	07-11 22:39
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	4	$168	200	200	+0	Yes	-$18	07-13 20:27
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	7	$135	195	195	+0	No	-$27	07-13 20:28
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	2	$124	170	170	+0	No	-$2	07-12 01:44
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	2	$110	170	170	+0	Yes	-$42	07-18 12:06
lol ly tsw 2026 07 08 total games 3pt5	2	$109	202	202	+0	Under	+$0	07-07 14:08
Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?	2	$107	67	67	+0	Yes	+$1	07-10 02:06
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	3	$80	300	0	+300	No	-$80	07-14 19:31
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	2	$49	170	170	+0	Yes	-$2	07-11 13:46
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game1	2	$36	67	67	+0	G2 Esports	+$0	07-07 23:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31?	4	$26	17	17	+0	No	+$2	05-31 14:42
XRP Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$24	61	0	+61	Up	-$24	07-11 02:50
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	2	$22	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-10 20:40
will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	3	$21	25	25	+0	Yes	-$3	07-11 02:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 04:15 UTC	2	$18	17	17	+0	Up	-$10	07-07 04:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 03:20 UTC	2	$18	16	16	+0	Up	-$10	07-07 03:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 18:20 UTC	2	$18	19	0	+19	Down	-$18	07-07 18:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	2	$18	17	17	+0	Down	-$9	07-08 14:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 08:45 UTC	3	$17	17	16	+1	Down	-$9	07-08 08:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 21:10 UTC	2	$17	34	0	+34	Up	-$17	07-10 21:14
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners first half total 4pt5	2	$17	14	14	+0	Under	$0	07-06 21:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 10:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdbf626…
09-10 00:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4b0480…
09-09 19:44:51	XRP Up or Down - September 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x186bd9…
09-09 14:39:48	XRP Up or Down - September 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x27d0ba…
09-09 10:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf4a521…
09-09 02:34:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x83b65b…
09-09 01:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x772cf5…
09-08 21:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0x13b80b…
09-08 16:24:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2dddec…
09-08 15:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbf153a…
09-07 21:29:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x19db3e…
09-07 20:49:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x9c787d…
09-07 14:29:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb7edee…
09-06 03:20:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xeaf785…
09-03 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x78ebd0…
09-03 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x560174…
09-03 16:40:00	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x37ebc9…
09-03 00:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xdfd71c…
09-02 22:59:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb193d1…
09-02 19:09:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x9980c6…
09-02 15:29:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2ba544…
09-02 14:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x1c08ff…
09-02 12:09:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x525079…
09-02 10:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xf81434…
09-02 07:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd9c296…
09-02 07:09:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x2312f3…
09-02 06:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xc75b69…
09-02 00:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8df6a4…
09-01 17:14:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xea5c48…
09-01 16:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x9fb8e9…
09-01 14:44:51	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x00f5ee…
09-01 13:09:46	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x49520b…
09-01 12:09:49	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xfc6a3b…
09-01 12:09:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x7e80d2…
09-01 08:14:45	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x67ec66…
09-01 08:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xb750c1…
08-29 02:34:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3cbce0…
08-28 06:44:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x5d4709…
08-28 01:34:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xd7c407…
08-27 07:39:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x931c7e…
08-27 07:29:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x74b9b2…
08-27 05:09:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x953320…
08-26 21:24:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf8b6c2…
08-26 21:24:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xea183f…
08-26 21:24:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xad36b2…
08-26 18:24:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0faffd…
08-26 10:09:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0x88cf53…
08-26 03:44:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb9971c…
08-25 10:09:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xd1e0b5…
08-25 01:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaa98fe…
08-25 00:29:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x635af2…
08-24 21:24:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x169c89…
08-24 20:54:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x686a44…
08-24 16:14:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x312486…
08-24 15:09:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x5bff9b…
08-24 14:59:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xd46546…
08-24 14:19:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x5075bd…
08-24 11:54:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5df668…
08-24 11:24:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x121f79…
08-24 11:19:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9add0f…
08-24 11:09:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xb3b676…
08-24 10:29:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x5c2425…
08-24 10:29:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xcf81d5…
08-24 09:14:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xdb1d67…
08-24 08:49:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x173ec5…
08-24 07:34:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xc46759…
08-24 06:29:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3038ae…
08-24 06:19:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa19e71…
08-24 05:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x41555e…
08-24 05:29:03	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xd4ad67…
08-24 04:39:03	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x16c6ae…
08-24 04:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x690076…
08-24 02:54:04	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x38650a…
08-24 02:24:04	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xd34726…
08-24 02:24:03	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa66b92…
08-24 01:44:06	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf3129c…
08-24 01:44:04	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5f61d3…
08-24 01:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb2050b…
08-24 00:14:03	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3d8dd2…
08-23 01:44:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbdf02e…
08-23 01:34:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x40bc8c…
08-23 01:14:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x5f5474…
08-22 21:54:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x596b96…
08-21 20:34:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0x226741…
08-21 15:09:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xeab375…
08-21 13:09:10	XRP Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x247eaa…
08-20 15:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x9b2169…
08-20 09:44:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x8307ac…
08-20 09:39:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x549736…
08-20 07:39:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x37a239…
08-20 05:34:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x3353a4…
08-20 04:04:09	Solana Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x0b6fbf…
08-20 02:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3fe5a4…
08-20 02:14:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdff878…
08-20 01:24:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xb08193…
08-20 01:19:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x032f10…
08-20 01:14:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2d6470…
08-19 18:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbbca71…
08-19 17:34:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x87bfd4…
08-19 17:14:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x5aeb2e…