Gracious-Fact — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

459

Trades

2,132

lifetime

Volume

$5.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 07:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1420 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	17	$42	101	16	+85	Down	$-2	05-13 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	16	$38	183	12	+171	Down	$-7	05-13 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	17	$37	69	0	+69	Up	+$4	05-14 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	9	$37	32	20	+12	Down	+$11	05-14 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	14	$36	35	20	+15	open	—	05-14 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	9	$36	26	17	+9	Up	+$5	05-14 04:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$34	32	19	+13	Down	+$7	05-13 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	13	$34	32	16	+16	Up	+$12	05-13 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	10	$32	34	27	+7	Down	$-1	05-13 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$31	55	6	+49	Up	$-5	05-13 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	7	$31	28	12	+16	Up	+$7	05-13 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	12	$30	31	16	+14	Down	$-0	05-13 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	9	$30	41	0	+41	Up	$-5	05-13 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	6	$29	22	22	+1	Down	+$5	05-13 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	6	$28	27	9	+18	Up	+$7	05-14 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	6	$28	35	7	+28	Down	$-2	05-14 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	10	$27	25	14	+11	Down	$-6	05-13 20:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	12	$27	43	9	+34	Up	$-3	05-13 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	7	$27	22	11	+12	Down	+$4	05-13 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	8	$27	64	0	+64	Up	+$9	05-14 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	7	$27	26	8	+18	Up	+$5	05-13 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	12	$26	122	0	+122	Down	$-7	05-14 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	11	$26	191	10	+181	Down	$-7	05-13 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	9	$25	26	8	+18	Up	$-12	05-13 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	6	$25	25	6	+19	Up	+$4	05-13 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	6	$25	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	11	$25	27	6	+22	Down	+$6	05-13 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	6	$25	21	14	+7	Up	$-5	05-13 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	6	$24	31	2	+29	Down	$-5	05-13 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	10	$24	25	12	+13	Down	$-10	05-14 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 07:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x63f1e1…
05-14 06:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xffe97e…
05-14 06:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xad9fdd…
05-14 06:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x7c2b5f…
05-14 06:51:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdd45dd…
05-14 06:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xf3b574…
05-14 06:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5e829d…
05-14 06:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xcd7dd6…
05-14 06:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xf0bf1d…
05-14 06:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x75d87d…
05-14 06:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x673849…
05-14 06:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x20d6fe…
05-14 06:45:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x985639…
05-14 06:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xed9c87…
05-14 06:44:02	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x428cd4…
05-14 06:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xf33b4f…
05-14 06:44:00	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2d7b71…
05-14 06:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xca2f62…
05-14 06:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbdce7f…
05-14 06:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa59551…
05-14 06:42:59	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x66d34e…
05-14 06:42:59	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x02b34c…
05-14 06:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x5a2b8c…
05-14 06:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x264fb0…
05-14 06:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7be389…
05-14 06:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x16bb25…
05-14 06:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x2dd053…
05-14 06:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x627181…
05-14 06:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x54144a…
05-14 06:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb607f4…
05-14 06:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0xcfe745…
05-14 06:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x890b90…
05-14 06:33:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xbc362d…
05-14 06:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xbab569…
05-14 06:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x9eac17…
05-14 06:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x93a096…
05-14 06:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb5bf60…
05-14 06:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd1278b…
05-14 06:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x703d7e…
05-14 06:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa387cb…
05-14 06:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x316562…
05-14 06:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x79bfa6…
05-14 06:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd535dc…
05-14 06:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x495f67…
05-14 06:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xeebd90…
05-14 06:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0e34de…
05-14 06:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x569d3b…
05-14 06:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7fcfa5…
05-14 06:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x3b2939…
05-14 06:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8794cc…
05-14 06:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd77b9d…
05-14 06:26:13	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x57191f…
05-14 06:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x719d1b…
05-14 06:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xbcb256…
05-14 06:25:41	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1342cc…
05-14 06:25:08	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4fdbcb…
05-14 06:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0xcc6895…
05-14 06:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x917127…
05-14 06:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x9e39ba…
05-14 06:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x28b025…
05-14 06:23:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x10d541…
05-14 06:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x5bdb4c…
05-14 06:19:23	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa25505…
05-14 06:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4eee4a…
05-14 06:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x17cddb…
05-14 06:17:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x356cd8…
05-14 06:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x577617…
05-14 06:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe28cbe…
05-14 06:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x43e5d8…
05-14 06:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x0b3021…
05-14 06:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x3eeff3…
05-14 06:15:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4292b6…
05-14 06:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x46dab6…
05-14 06:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc7dec7…
05-14 06:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x43b8a4…
05-14 06:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x480d60…
05-14 06:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x09d7a7…
05-14 06:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x29b764…
05-14 06:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x20d6a2…
05-14 06:11:26	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa6abba…
05-14 06:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x52f71d…
05-14 06:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xc3925b…
05-14 06:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xfaced8…
05-14 06:09:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xb4a20f…
05-14 06:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xab85e8…
05-14 06:09:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb00569…
05-14 06:09:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1168ee…
05-14 06:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xcb66f8…
05-14 06:08:08	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6a1fcf…
05-14 06:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x3494a0…
05-14 06:07:33	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd31235…
05-14 06:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xd04b22…
05-14 06:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe9b79d…
05-14 06:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x8ef95e…
05-14 06:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x16e371…
05-14 06:03:37	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x188683…
05-14 06:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb658b0…
05-14 06:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe22274…
05-14 06:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc175bb…
05-14 06:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x9c5141…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	491	$96.1K	7,877	05-14 06:59
Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7	490	$24.9K	5,699	05-14 07:01
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	485	$41.5K	5,547	05-14 06:54
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	477	$44.9K	4,018	05-14 06:52
Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe	474	$48.8K	7,319	05-14 06:59
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	471	$68.9K	8,131	05-14 06:54
(anonymous) 0x8176…709a	463	$10.9K	2,026	05-14 06:59
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	461	$13.9K	2,972	05-14 06:54