XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$325
Trades
25
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$2,671
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-14 06:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+16.3¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $52
vs crowd: 4% YES on $323)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $229 | $229 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $11 | $31 | $20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $1 | $51 | $50 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $10 | $42 | $31 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $18 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $0 | $209 | $209 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | +212 | $209 | $209 | 3 | 05-14 06:29 |
| Smoggy-Ornament 0x7d82…9792 | Down | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 06:26 |
| Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Down | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 06:29 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | +17 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 06:15 |
| Soupy-Benefit 0x61e9…0e4c | Down | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 06:29 |
| Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 06:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:21 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 06:24 |
| Gracious-Fact 0x00b6…b539 | Up | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:16 |
| Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:21 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:25 |
| Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:26 |
| Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 06:18 |
| Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 06:16 |
| Complicated-Firm 0xecd7…3139 | Down | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 06:29 |
| Fat-Bathroom 0xcf0b…0242 | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:21 |
| Gracious-Fact 0x00b6…b539 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:26 |
| Well-Informed-Union 0x5226…a357 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:21 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 06:29:18 | Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xe5e45d… |
| 05-14 06:29:13 | Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | BUY | 108 | 99¢ | $107 | 0x569c44… |
| 05-14 06:29:10 | Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | BUY | 88 | 99¢ | $87 | 0xa70183… |
| 05-14 06:29:06 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Down | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xa4dba3… |
| 05-14 06:29:03 | Complicated-Firm 0xecd7…3139 | Down | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xdcf7fd… |
| 05-14 06:29:03 | Soupy-Benefit 0x61e9…0e4c | Down | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xc5979b… |
| 05-14 06:28:54 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x151ee0… |
| 05-14 06:28:52 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xff7ae8… |
| 05-14 06:26:18 | Smoggy-Ornament 0x7d82…9792 | Down | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x957007… |
| 05-14 06:26:13 | Gracious-Fact 0x00b6…b539 | Down | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x57191f… |
| 05-14 06:26:08 | Unsung-Exocrine 0x363e…fad6 | Down | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xe2e8c2… |
| 05-14 06:26:04 | Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd177b4… |
| 05-14 06:25:41 | Gracious-Fact 0x00b6…b539 | Up | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1342cc… |
| 05-14 06:25:34 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb26d99… |
| 05-14 06:24:45 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x2d6659… |
| 05-14 06:21:35 | Well-Informed-Union 0x5226…a357 | Down | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x425244… |
| 05-14 06:21:29 | (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x37513d… |
| 05-14 06:21:24 | Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xae2cd2… |
| 05-14 06:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xb2f1d9… |
| 05-14 06:18:50 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x2c8566… |
| 05-14 06:18:43 | Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xbf41d1… |
| 05-14 06:16:09 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x6c68f7… |
| 05-14 06:16:00 | Fat-Bathroom 0xcf0b…0242 | Down | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xd3d5a8… |
| 05-14 06:16:00 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x0d3a28… |
| 05-14 06:15:10 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 17 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xa8b5b8… |