Old-Breath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$330

Unrealized P&L

+$657

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

677

lifetime

Volume

$221.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$327

Open exposure

$7.75K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-08 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

86% 50% +$16

Politics

11% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-346

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+3,351	$1,739	90¢	$3.0K	+$1,294	06-08 10:53
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	+5,654	$3,070	48¢	$2.7K	$-328	06-08 02:04
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	+5,842	$1,782	27¢	$1.6K	$-204	06-08 01:55
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	+2,342	$494	16¢	$386	$-107	06-01 21:07
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	+100	$11	13¢	$13	+$2	06-04 08:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	63	$50.9K	28,267	28,267	+0	open	—	05-24 13:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	13	$19.5K	13,393	10,042	+3,351	open	—	06-08 10:53
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	29	$14.3K	7,872	7,872	+0	open	—	05-31 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$13.6K	7,450	7,450	+0	open	—	05-07 23:53
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	21	$11.5K	7,489	8,693	-1,204	open	—	06-01 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	33	$10.3K	6,422	6,422	+0	open	—	04-23 19:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$9.4K	6,080	6,080	+0	open	—	03-27 00:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	18	$8.9K	6,391	6,778	-387	open	—	05-12 22:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	67	$7.3K	4,495	4,495	+0	open	—	04-07 23:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	3	$5.6K	2,909	2,901	+8	open	—	04-28 18:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	7	$4.6K	2,477	2,477	+0	open	—	05-04 10:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	4	$4.5K	676	4,025	-3,349	open	—	06-05 16:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	7	$4.3K	3,520	3,520	-0	open	—	05-22 04:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	4	$4.2K	4,349	0	+4,349	open	—	04-30 05:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	11	$3.9K	2,445	2,445	+0	open	—	05-30 00:29
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	10	$3.7K	6,246	591	+5,654	open	—	06-08 02:04
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	8	$3.6K	2,124	2,124	+0	open	—	05-26 05:33
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	23	$3.6K	1,912	1,912	+0	open	—	05-23 11:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	7	$3.4K	2,358	2,358	+0	open	—	05-15 10:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$3.3K	1,758	1,758	+0	open	—	03-12 01:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	20	$2.6K	3,135	3,075	+60	open	—	04-14 23:46
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$2.6K	1,357	1,357	+0	open	—	01-28 03:24
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	3	$2.6K	2,067	2,067	+0	open	—	06-04 23:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-28 17:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	45	$2.0K	2,468	2,400	+68	open	—	05-18 02:40
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	2	$1.8K	5,842	0	+5,842	open	—	06-08 01:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	8	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$44	04-09 11:35
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$1.7K	2,104	0	+2,104	open	—	06-08 10:53
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$1.6K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	06-08 02:05
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$1.6K	910	910	+0	open	—	03-21 23:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 10:53:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	904	79¢	$714	0x38bab4…
06-08 10:53:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	800	89¢	$712	0xff6881…
06-08 10:12:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	1,200	84¢	$1,008	0xba0e98…
06-08 10:10:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,112	90¢	$1,001	0x1a8dd5…
06-08 02:06:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	880	79¢	$698	0xefb7d1…
06-08 02:05:16	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,300	70¢	$1,610	0x5c695d…
06-08 02:04:28	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	56¢	$230	0x34d211…
06-08 02:02:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,230	90¢	$2,007	0x35a8d6…
06-08 01:55:31	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	29¢	$1,009	0xc5282a…
06-08 01:54:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,700	89¢	$1,513	0x130d51…
06-08 01:45:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,050	89¢	$1,824	0x6f445d…
06-07 10:38:48	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	623	52¢	$324	0x8d2b87…
06-07 10:20:04	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0xc5752a…
06-07 10:19:22	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	49¢	$119	0x6d19f5…
06-07 10:18:12	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	565	53¢	$299	0x58b46d…
06-07 10:17:30	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	591	53¢	$313	0x9ab3eb…
06-07 10:16:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	86¢	$516	0xc235ea…
06-07 01:18:39	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xba1d1e…
06-07 01:16:15	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,545	48¢	$1,229	0xa605f6…
06-07 01:15:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,500	85¢	$1,275	0x2c3fd2…
06-05 16:51:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x12c684…
06-05 16:50:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4,709	83¢	$3,908	0x773f09…
06-05 16:49:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	4,025	97¢	$3,909	0xdc2c85…
06-05 07:29:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	682	82¢	$559	0x084804…
06-05 02:57:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0xf7d238…
06-04 23:50:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	596	35¢	$209	0xc462fd…
06-04 23:48:37	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	SELL	2,067	57¢	$1,170	0x1d98f1…
06-04 08:54:25	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x2370b6…
06-02 23:51:40	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,342	33¢	$773	0x88c51c…
06-02 23:25:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	613	41¢	$251	0x43768f…
06-02 23:17:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	836	69¢	$576	0x696736…
06-02 23:15:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	1,231	68¢	$835	0xf90445…
06-02 16:07:33	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	61¢	$58	0x17c883…
06-01 21:07:25	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	21¢	$315	0x32100a…
06-01 20:27:05	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	842	21¢	$179	0x394a98…
06-01 19:44:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x731ba3…
06-01 19:36:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4,536	81¢	$3,674	0xd48e2b…
06-01 19:00:15	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,721	64¢	$1,101	0xaaf992…
06-01 18:59:28	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	8,693	99¢	$8,589	0x467566…
05-31 15:37:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	466	70¢	$326	0xf27fb4…
05-31 13:59:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xe2a079…
05-31 13:58:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	629	94¢	$591	0x08afcd…
05-31 10:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,000	72¢	$2,160	0x0ab697…
05-31 09:00:18	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	3,734	99¢	$3,686	0x6db92c…
05-31 07:51:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x14a711…
05-31 07:36:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	979	99¢	$966	0x645ff2…
05-31 05:02:59	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1,127	99¢	$1,112	0xb65180…
05-30 10:35:47	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	575	90¢	$515	0xbf42d4…
05-30 00:29:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0xc8b61d…
05-28 09:13:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1,657	94¢	$1,558	0xfbc559…
05-28 08:04:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x8c254d…
05-28 08:03:33	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	75	94¢	$70	0xcaa507…
05-27 15:19:45	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	204	89¢	$182	0x794d0f…
05-27 15:18:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	613	87¢	$533	0x49bf9d…
05-26 19:57:41	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	805	44¢	$352	0x47b423…
05-26 16:03:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x105acb…
05-26 11:23:04	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xbd88cb…
05-26 11:21:23	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	75	85¢	$64	0x44042a…
05-26 05:33:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	176	90¢	$158	0xae4701…
05-26 05:28:45	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1,650	90¢	$1,485	0xc57018…
05-26 04:51:16	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xaffcdb…
05-26 04:44:13	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	700	51¢	$357	0x5f0e01…
05-26 04:43:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0xb16a70…
05-24 17:55:39	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	105	65¢	$68	0x4f64f7…
05-24 17:55:23	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	56	65¢	$36	0xfcb04e…
05-24 17:55:11	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xa927b2…
05-24 17:53:01	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	350	66¢	$230	0xfb9522…
05-24 17:51:55	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	298	78¢	$232	0x680b55…
05-24 15:19:36	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	177	79¢	$140	0x70f8f2…
05-24 14:48:31	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xa8d97b…
05-24 14:19:28	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	368	19¢	$70	0xd9c7ef…
05-24 14:18:46	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	600	20¢	$120	0x13e9e8…
05-24 14:04:51	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	515	58¢	$299	0x5d859c…
05-24 13:51:28	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	330	21¢	$69	0x74ea71…
05-24 13:21:25	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	550	75¢	$412	0xbb8df9…
05-24 13:20:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	166	91¢	$151	0xa9cf8b…
05-24 13:19:28	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	292	24¢	$70	0xeaddb7…
05-24 13:17:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x4d3730…
05-24 13:15:20	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	757	25¢	$188	0x815935…
05-24 13:14:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	753	91¢	$686	0xc391cb…
05-24 09:42:02	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	352	74¢	$260	0x1dbc55…
05-24 08:58:59	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	130	72¢	$94	0x74dd0e…
05-24 08:57:58	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	285	28¢	$79	0xb542f0…
05-24 08:57:12	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	260	27¢	$70	0x685b3d…
05-24 01:43:45	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	400	37¢	$148	0x394d61…
05-24 01:43:05	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0xd138b0…
05-24 01:42:42	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	61	35¢	$22	0xe84f57…
05-24 01:11:33	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	205	68¢	$139	0xc5797f…
05-24 01:01:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x1900cc…
05-23 23:05:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	970	83¢	$810	0xd13976…
05-23 11:17:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	152	94¢	$143	0xf18429…
05-22 06:04:55	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	868	83¢	$720	0x3aad45…
05-22 05:20:36	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	265	52¢	$137	0x7be8ef…
05-22 04:58:33	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x495bb5…
05-22 04:57:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	222	74¢	$164	0xb78e77…
05-22 04:52:07	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	895	50¢	$446	0xa88c8a…
05-22 04:48:59	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0x0aa4ac…
05-22 04:47:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	1,252	47¢	$588	0x83ab65…
05-21 20:53:33	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	915	92¢	$842	0xff9ea6…
05-21 20:52:02	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x5c4ec2…