Old-Breath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.56K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.17K

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,060

lifetime

Volume

$298.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$282

Open exposure

$1.54K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-22 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

89% 61% +$5,253

Politics

9% 78% +$1,838

Sports

2% 36% -$469

Crypto

0% 0% -$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	+9,209	$3,861	15¢	$1.4K	-$2,480	06-27 14:42
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+6,000	$102	2¢	$102	$0	10-22 10:17
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	+1,136	$193	4¢	$41	-$152	06-04 08:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	-861	-$473	1¢	$-12	+$461	04-29 18:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	63	$50.9K	28,267	28,267	+0	No	+$1,237	05-24 13:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	46	$36.0K	26,325	26,325	+0	No	+$2,312	06-25 10:56
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	22	$20.0K	13,927	12,135	+1,792	Yes	+$1,132	05-31 16:33
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	29	$14.3K	7,872	7,872	+0	No	+$1,006	05-31 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$13.6K	7,450	7,450	+0	No	+$170	05-07 23:53
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	23	$12.6K	8,693	8,693	+0	No	+$4,600	06-01 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	33	$10.3K	6,422	6,422	+0	No	+$2,111	04-23 19:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	20	$10.1K	7,411	7,411	+0	No	+$687	05-12 22:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$9.4K	6,080	6,080	+0	No	+$633	03-27 00:34
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	21	$8.0K	14,921	14,921	-0	open	—	09-15 21:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	8	$7.7K	4,025	4,025	+0	No	+$157	06-05 16:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	67	$7.3K	4,495	4,495	+0	Yes	+$773	04-07 23:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	3	$5.6K	2,909	2,901	+8	No	+$178	04-28 18:48
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	19	$5.0K	2,686	2,686	+0	No	+$201	05-19 22:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	7	$4.6K	2,477	2,477	+0	Yes	+$366	05-04 10:25
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	13	$4.5K	9,825	616	+9,209	open	—	06-27 14:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	7	$4.3K	3,520	3,520	-0	Yes	+$257	05-22 04:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	4	$4.2K	4,349	0	+4,349	Yes	+$103	04-30 05:34
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	19	$4.2K	6,300	5,585	+715	Yes	-$3,107	06-26 23:20
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	45	$4.1K	4,897	4,887	+9	No	-$3,081	06-23 13:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	11	$3.9K	2,445	2,445	+0	No	+$84	05-30 00:29
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	4	$3.7K	2,104	2,104	+0	No	+$286	06-10 23:08
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	8	$3.6K	2,124	2,124	+0	No	+$128	05-26 05:33
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	23	$3.6K	1,912	1,912	+0	No	+$125	05-23 11:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	7	$3.4K	2,358	2,358	+0	Yes	+$346	05-15 10:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$3.3K	1,758	1,758	+0	No	+$127	03-12 01:40
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	18	$2.9K	3,383	3,383	+0	Yes	-$2,009	06-19 13:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	20	$2.6K	3,135	3,075	+60	Yes	+$33	04-14 23:46
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$2.6K	1,357	1,357	+0	No	+$79	01-28 03:24
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	3	$2.6K	2,067	2,067	+0	No	-$241	06-04 23:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 10:17:12	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3,212	2¢	$55	0x4b6296…
10-21 03:55:33	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6f58d5…
10-21 03:55:29	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x5c28f6…
10-21 03:55:29	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x0828c5…
10-21 03:55:27	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x7247f0…
10-21 03:25:59	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7f84ac…
10-21 03:25:57	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x9963b2…
10-21 03:25:35	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x3c5e58…
10-21 03:25:18	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x4c3b6e…
10-21 03:25:11	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa88a6c…
10-21 03:25:09	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$0	0xdb1572…
10-21 03:25:09	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xd97525…
10-21 03:25:06	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x3f6c96…
10-21 03:24:59	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x147c29…
10-21 03:16:18	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x79005d…
10-21 03:12:33	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0x4bb17c…
10-21 03:12:33	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x037339…
10-21 02:56:42	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xeeb016…
10-21 02:50:05	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x3b9fa9…
10-21 02:49:42	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd206ce…
10-21 02:49:42	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	309	2¢	$5	0xc0c79a…
10-21 02:49:08	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x8f6d7f…
10-21 02:46:33	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x76bc56…
10-21 02:17:08	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0x72bb6b…
10-21 02:17:08	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x38c138…
10-21 02:17:08	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x143636…
10-21 02:09:56	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xffd256…
10-21 02:09:56	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xddd1b7…
10-21 02:09:54	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x226851…
10-21 02:09:53	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xe930e6…
10-21 02:09:39	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	260	2¢	$4	0xccb338…
10-21 02:09:39	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	344	2¢	$6	0x25fdab…
10-21 00:53:11	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x57f173…
10-21 00:44:33	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x15886f…
10-21 00:44:32	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xc9a436…
10-21 00:39:21	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xbdf216…
10-21 00:39:03	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x778ca2…
10-21 00:38:45	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xf785b5…
10-21 00:38:45	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x37927c…
10-21 00:25:50	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x9fdd4d…
10-21 00:21:39	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xc1daed…
10-20 21:13:06	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	191	2¢	$3	0x4b76f4…
10-20 21:13:03	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x1e9edf…
10-20 21:12:57	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4a4a90…
10-20 21:12:51	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x3ce116…
10-20 21:12:42	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xbc474d…
10-20 21:12:42	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4b94fc…
10-20 21:12:41	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x6f28a0…
10-20 21:12:17	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb61ea2…
10-20 21:12:06	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0xca9e4e…
10-20 21:09:12	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x67e76e…
10-20 20:37:36	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x2050d2…
10-20 20:14:42	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x6f7828…
10-13 21:52:55	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$1	0x343629…
10-13 21:45:19	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$55	0xe277fc…
10-13 21:38:52	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	Yes	BUY	3,000	5¢	$165	0x5d6933…
09-15 21:55:06	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,021	9¢	$92	0x1f15af…
09-15 21:52:04	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0xf36d05…
06-27 14:42:38	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x36df2d…
06-26 23:20:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	715	6¢	$43	0x22840d…
06-26 22:42:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$3	0xe26e4e…
06-26 21:37:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xb28c7e…
06-26 15:25:05	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x499422…
06-26 15:19:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,395	3¢	$39	0xe0f7a6…
06-25 13:33:29	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x0da44e…
06-25 13:21:31	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	347	8¢	$28	0xf05faa…
06-25 13:05:17	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	81	8¢	$6	0x67bc8f…
06-25 13:02:43	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	63	8¢	$5	0x7c671b…
06-25 13:02:41	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x63b475…
06-25 12:59:44	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	250	8¢	$20	0x7e085b…
06-25 10:56:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,962	7¢	$221	0x98d7ae…
06-25 10:50:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0x51bdf7…
06-25 10:36:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	242	10¢	$24	0xdf367a…
06-25 10:28:17	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x4e878a…
06-25 10:28:16	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	702	2¢	$16	0xef4172…
06-25 10:28:16	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xab197c…
06-25 10:25:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	62	63¢	$39	0x72f3cc…
06-25 10:25:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,585	49¢	$782	0x036916…
06-25 10:25:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	644	63¢	$405	0x5df49a…
06-25 10:24:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$201	0x61d2ab…
06-25 10:19:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xacaf7c…
06-25 10:19:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5,339	10¢	$536	0x0b08bd…
06-24 19:35:14	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xed0ec0…
06-24 19:25:43	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x3efcd4…
06-24 12:28:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x5c4adc…
06-23 23:15:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	854	98¢	$833	0x6f5962…
06-23 14:24:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xd0127f…
06-23 13:58:07	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x74dae6…
06-23 11:33:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa07dad…
06-23 00:28:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0xed8fe4…
06-22 08:56:46	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,989	10¢	$199	0x65d90f…
06-22 08:51:53	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xd35129…
06-22 08:51:41	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x53d24e…
06-22 08:51:38	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x7009cd…
06-22 08:51:31	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xb66d4f…
06-22 08:51:26	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xb386f5…
06-22 08:51:22	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xbbdfdf…
06-22 08:51:17	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xb27e3e…
06-22 08:51:11	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x16f93d…
06-22 08:51:04	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x80f710…