Old-Breath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$330

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

756

lifetime

Volume

$240.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$318

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-27 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

86% 50% +$16

Politics

11% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-346

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	63	$50.9K	28,267	28,267	+0	open	—	05-24 13:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	31	$26.3K	17,294	19,186	-1,892	open	—	06-25 10:56
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	29	$14.3K	7,872	7,872	+0	open	—	05-31 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$13.6K	7,450	7,450	+0	open	—	05-07 23:53
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	21	$11.5K	7,489	8,693	-1,204	open	—	06-01 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	33	$10.3K	6,422	6,422	+0	open	—	04-23 19:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$9.4K	6,080	6,080	+0	open	—	03-27 00:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	18	$8.9K	6,391	6,778	-387	open	—	05-12 22:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	67	$7.3K	4,495	4,495	+0	open	—	04-07 23:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	3	$5.6K	2,909	2,901	+8	open	—	04-28 18:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	7	$4.6K	2,477	2,477	+0	open	—	05-04 10:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	4	$4.5K	676	4,025	-3,349	open	—	06-05 16:49
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	13	$4.5K	9,825	616	+9,209	open	—	06-27 14:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	7	$4.3K	3,520	3,520	-0	open	—	05-22 04:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	4	$4.2K	4,349	0	+4,349	open	—	04-30 05:34
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	19	$4.2K	6,300	5,585	+715	open	—	06-26 23:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	11	$3.9K	2,445	2,445	+0	open	—	05-30 00:29
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	4	$3.7K	2,104	2,104	+0	open	—	06-10 23:08
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	8	$3.6K	2,124	2,124	+0	open	—	05-26 05:33
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	23	$3.6K	1,912	1,912	+0	open	—	05-23 11:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	7	$3.4K	2,358	2,358	+0	open	—	05-15 10:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$3.3K	1,758	1,758	+0	open	—	03-12 01:40
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	18	$2.9K	3,383	3,383	+0	open	—	06-19 13:33
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	6	$2.9K	6,921	4,900	+2,021	open	—	06-12 20:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	20	$2.6K	3,135	3,075	+60	open	—	04-14 23:46
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$2.6K	1,357	1,357	+0	open	—	01-28 03:24
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	3	$2.6K	2,067	2,067	+0	open	—	06-04 23:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-28 17:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	45	$2.0K	2,468	2,400	+68	open	—	05-18 02:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	8	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$44	04-09 11:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 14:42:38	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x36df2d…
06-26 23:20:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	715	6¢	$43	0x22840d…
06-26 22:42:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$3	0xe26e4e…
06-26 21:37:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xb28c7e…
06-26 15:25:05	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x499422…
06-26 15:19:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,395	3¢	$39	0xe0f7a6…
06-25 10:56:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,962	7¢	$221	0x98d7ae…
06-25 10:50:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0x51bdf7…
06-25 10:36:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	242	10¢	$24	0xdf367a…
06-25 10:25:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	62	63¢	$39	0x72f3cc…
06-25 10:25:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,585	49¢	$782	0x036916…
06-25 10:25:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	644	63¢	$405	0x5df49a…
06-25 10:24:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$201	0x61d2ab…
06-25 10:19:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xacaf7c…
06-25 10:19:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5,339	10¢	$536	0x0b08bd…
06-24 12:28:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x5c4adc…
06-23 23:15:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	854	98¢	$833	0x6f5962…
06-23 14:24:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xd0127f…
06-23 11:33:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa07dad…
06-23 00:28:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0xed8fe4…
06-22 08:30:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	668	50¢	$334	0x3de759…
06-21 08:13:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	126	52¢	$66	0x12679d…
06-21 07:56:59	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x071575…
06-21 07:54:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x6ae7ae…
06-21 06:47:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	711	52¢	$370	0x983c52…
06-21 06:46:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	558	92¢	$513	0xce3b1d…
06-20 13:27:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x845064…
06-20 13:27:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	875	57¢	$499	0x510fab…
06-20 13:26:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	550	90¢	$495	0xc8730a…
06-19 13:37:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	301	93¢	$280	0x371005…
06-19 13:34:55	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	385	51¢	$198	0xe27661…
06-19 13:33:17	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	332	11¢	$36	0x94bf16…
06-19 13:32:29	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	130	11¢	$14	0x29f2b1…
06-19 13:30:55	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x336d4f…
06-19 13:30:53	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,545	10¢	$155	0xf6b21a…
06-19 12:53:35	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	389	19¢	$74	0x0a4c72…
06-19 12:50:53	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xa1efd3…
06-19 12:49:07	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0xb0983d…
06-19 12:48:37	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x592fbe…
06-19 12:46:49	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	210	19¢	$40	0xd46b9c…
06-19 12:46:25	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	350	19¢	$66	0x4c7441…
06-19 12:38:41	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	263	19¢	$50	0xd73593…
06-19 12:37:22	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x36771f…
06-19 12:36:52	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x3b2299…
06-19 12:23:25	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x6f7648…
06-19 12:19:56	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xa30535…
06-19 12:19:02	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	49	19¢	$9	0x5e6943…
06-19 11:43:25	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,093	21¢	$440	0x9035bc…
06-19 11:42:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	500	91¢	$455	0xbe84b9…
06-18 10:42:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	489	62¢	$303	0xfeef42…
06-17 07:55:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	108	35¢	$38	0x76e170…
06-17 07:51:34	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	77	35¢	$27	0x72a29c…
06-17 07:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	400	81¢	$324	0x9c2831…
06-16 19:07:28	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,486	24¢	$357	0xbcd2a9…
06-16 16:58:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0xb5512d…
06-16 13:15:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	177	82¢	$145	0x07daad…
06-15 23:21:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xaf6859…
06-15 12:36:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	217	55¢	$119	0xe7139d…
06-15 11:52:54	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,060	12¢	$127	0x0ad309…
06-12 20:28:52	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0x2b8fcd…
06-12 19:05:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,585	53¢	$838	0xee52f7…
06-12 19:04:18	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,857	18¢	$876	0xc4bf84…
06-12 19:04:18	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xbeaae1…
06-12 17:38:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	330	79¢	$261	0x228980…
06-11 15:07:52	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,079	20¢	$216	0xc9bded…
06-11 15:07:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	240	93¢	$223	0xb96cac…
06-11 04:04:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	722	88¢	$633	0x9df912…
06-10 23:17:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,577	15¢	$237	0x3d4888…
06-10 23:13:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	17¢	$255	0xbd51b5…
06-10 23:08:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	1,204	95¢	$1,144	0xbdc299…
06-10 23:03:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	195	88¢	$172	0x86f827…
06-10 23:02:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	200	84¢	$167	0x5ace45…
06-10 23:01:04	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,083	80¢	$866	0xfd3155…
06-10 23:00:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	900	96¢	$864	0x7ba935…
06-10 22:56:15	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	460	87¢	$400	0xc7b3f9…
06-10 22:42:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,900	93¢	$1,767	0xea413b…
06-10 22:26:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	440	93¢	$409	0x8a42e4…
06-10 22:25:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x4282d3…
06-10 22:24:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	180	93¢	$167	0x890c50…
06-08 10:53:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	904	79¢	$714	0x38bab4…
06-08 10:53:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	800	89¢	$712	0xff6881…
06-08 10:12:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	1,200	84¢	$1,008	0xba0e98…
06-08 10:10:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,112	90¢	$1,001	0x1a8dd5…
06-08 02:06:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	880	79¢	$698	0xefb7d1…
06-08 02:05:16	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,300	70¢	$1,610	0x5c695d…
06-08 02:04:28	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	56¢	$230	0x34d211…
06-08 02:02:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,230	90¢	$2,007	0x35a8d6…
06-08 01:55:31	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	29¢	$1,009	0xc5282a…
06-08 01:54:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,700	89¢	$1,513	0x130d51…
06-08 01:45:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,050	89¢	$1,824	0x6f445d…
06-07 10:38:48	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	623	52¢	$324	0x8d2b87…
06-07 10:20:04	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0xc5752a…
06-07 10:19:22	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	49¢	$119	0x6d19f5…
06-07 10:18:12	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	565	53¢	$299	0x58b46d…
06-07 10:17:30	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	591	53¢	$313	0x9ab3eb…
06-07 10:16:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	86¢	$516	0xc235ea…
06-07 01:18:39	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xba1d1e…
06-07 01:16:15	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,545	48¢	$1,229	0xa605f6…
06-07 01:15:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,500	85¢	$1,275	0x2c3fd2…
06-05 16:51:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x12c684…