Kindly-Hiccups — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$243

Unrealized P&L

-$123

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$496

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 07-13 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

76% 50% -$142

Politics

23% 60% -$101

Tech

1% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	-200	-$182	96¢	$-192	-$10	06-18 18:10
Discord IPO before 2027?	No	-149	-$60	94¢	$-140	-$80	05-06 21:51
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	-110	-$82	97¢	$-106	-$24	07-13 16:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	-60	-$49	96¢	$-58	-$9	05-01 14:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	5	$598	350	349	+1	Yes	+$11	04-07 19:46
atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	10	$367	215	215	+0	Tibo Colson	+$4	04-08 04:28
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	7	$364	212	212	+0	Yes	+$13	04-23 10:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	6	$314	178	178	+0	No	+$6	05-21 04:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$303	210	210	+0	No	-$53	04-08 04:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$262	210	165	+45	Yes	-$111	04-19 13:23
atp hemery alexmar 2026 04 07	21	$240	212	211	+1	Calvin Hemery	-$8	04-07 12:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	11	$230	300	300	+0	Yes	+$18	04-12 13:03
atp nava molcan 2026 04 12	6	$200	132	131	+1	Alex Molcan	+$9	04-12 11:37
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	2	$182	0	200	-200	open	—	06-18 18:10
atp wendelk kotov 2026 04 12	4	$164	130	130	+0	Pavel Kotov	$0	04-12 10:59
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$156	200	200	+0	Yes	-$56	06-16 19:54
atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	10	$156	90	90	+0	Li Tu	+$8	04-10 04:48
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	2	$115	100	50	+50	No	-$35	04-21 15:33
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$114	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	03-28 01:56
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	5	$109	200	150	+50	Yes	+$19	05-15 03:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$9	05-07 10:09
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$82	0	110	-110	open	—	07-13 16:13
Discord IPO before 2027?	2	$60	0	149	-149	open	—	05-06 21:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$55	210	120	+90	No	-$54	05-06 08:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$52	50	50	+0	Yes	-$22	03-04 01:50
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	1	$49	0	60	-60	open	—	05-01 14:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$35	172	172	+0	Yes	+$10	05-08 18:02
highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	7	$19	50	50	+0	No	-$12	04-10 05:00
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn	5	$18	50	30	+20	Fabian Marozsan	-$7	04-23 12:09
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	1	$12	20	0	+20	Yes	-$12	01-22 11:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$2	20	0	+20	Yes	+$18	01-22 11:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 16:13:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	110	75¢	$82	0xed3344…
06-18 18:10:04	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	195	91¢	$178	0x4a3259…
06-18 07:37:02	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0xa0582a…
06-16 19:54:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xae0713…
05-21 04:44:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x3b555e…
05-21 03:23:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0xfe8b57…
05-21 03:20:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x5a24f4…
05-19 19:03:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x7f926e…
05-15 03:13:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x20a6d0…
05-15 03:13:35	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x2e6828…
05-14 03:41:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	78	90¢	$70	0x83be7c…
05-12 14:17:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x2d4bd7…
05-11 13:54:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	78	87¢	$68	0x7f7849…
05-08 18:02:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	18¢	$15	0x96a711…
05-07 17:01:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xfce7a6…
05-07 15:11:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x7dc14e…
05-07 10:09:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb5f178…
05-06 21:51:30	Discord IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	106	40¢	$43	0xecd23e…
05-06 08:57:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x0114d1…
05-05 21:28:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x429870…
05-05 15:21:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xdad94b…
05-05 14:29:12	Discord IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	43	40¢	$17	0x87ce12…
05-01 14:40:30	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	60	81¢	$49	0x666c9f…
04-26 08:07:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd4327d…
04-23 12:09:24	Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xd24f9d…
04-23 12:01:24	Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xbeda23…
04-23 11:42:52	Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbec304…
04-23 11:42:52	Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x7bdff5…
04-23 11:38:42	Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x2a4239…
04-23 10:58:34	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x7cf5d7…
04-21 19:36:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	8¢	$7	0x55d7fe…
04-21 15:33:42	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xfc6938…
04-21 02:06:22	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x5cfce2…
04-20 23:13:26	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	79	83¢	$65	0x3156f4…
04-20 14:01:16	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xc85805…
04-19 15:00:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0xf252e9…
04-19 13:23:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xac6010…
04-19 09:50:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x332a00…
04-17 15:03:40	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x6acdb6…
04-13 11:44:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xa90fbd…
04-12 14:59:35	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x047efd…
04-12 13:03:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x2efd15…
04-12 11:41:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x4c0179…
04-12 11:37:57	atp nava molcan 2026 04 12	Alex Molcan	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xbf0e87…
04-12 11:24:05	atp nava molcan 2026 04 12	Emilio Nava	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0xf6763f…
04-12 11:23:53	atp nava molcan 2026 04 12	Emilio Nava	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xc1f240…
04-12 11:23:41	atp nava molcan 2026 04 12	Alex Molcan	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x37b6c2…
04-12 11:18:11	atp nava molcan 2026 04 12	Emilio Nava	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x695b47…
04-12 11:17:29	atp nava molcan 2026 04 12	Emilio Nava	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0efe72…
04-12 10:59:21	atp wendelk kotov 2026 04 12	Pavel Kotov	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x5cc475…
04-12 08:31:15	atp wendelk kotov 2026 04 12	Harry Wendelken	SELL	70	31¢	$22	0x10b7e4…
04-12 08:04:49	atp wendelk kotov 2026 04 12	Pavel Kotov	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xf51e64…
04-12 07:19:29	atp wendelk kotov 2026 04 12	Harry Wendelken	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x1306d1…
04-10 23:33:47	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x8d9b43…
04-10 15:52:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	210	26¢	$55	0x0a7b6f…
04-10 05:00:17	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xebff12…
04-10 04:57:41	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xa998ef…
04-10 04:56:25	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xaa67e1…
04-10 04:48:21	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa8a3ff…
04-10 04:48:09	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0x1acca6…
04-10 04:47:45	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x4132b4…
04-10 04:47:21	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xdaa5be…
04-10 04:45:31	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xaf0ced…
04-10 04:38:29	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1ce9e0…
04-10 04:24:47	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xa737bf…
04-10 04:24:21	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0c3149…
04-10 03:24:05	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xcaff4d…
04-10 03:24:05	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xb612fc…
04-10 03:24:05	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x8b90e3…
04-10 03:24:05	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x73e23a…
04-10 03:24:05	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x4b2c3a…
04-10 03:24:05	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x22a203…
04-10 03:23:31	atp pearson tu 2026 04 09	Li Tu	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x119ad1…
04-09 08:37:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	46	33¢	$15	0x8aea7d…
04-09 08:37:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x2469e6…
04-09 08:34:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x23097c…
04-09 08:22:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	43	33¢	$14	0xfa496f…
04-08 04:36:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	90	18¢	$16	0xab1ef0…
04-08 04:34:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x26e5db…
04-08 04:30:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	150	48¢	$72	0x82931c…
04-08 04:28:51	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xdc8058…
04-08 03:06:05	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x74aac6…
04-08 03:00:27	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x3727ec…
04-08 03:00:15	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xe7c3fd…
04-08 03:00:15	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x9583a7…
04-08 02:55:45	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xeeb3eb…
04-08 02:53:59	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xfbeef0…
04-08 02:53:59	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xaa6794…
04-08 02:52:51	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x847a2d…
04-08 02:52:45	atp colson tobon 2026 04 07	Tibo Colson	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8cdbd0…
04-07 19:46:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xa5fddf…
04-07 15:56:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x6aee9a…
04-07 15:54:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	210	89¢	$187	0xcef7f5…
04-07 14:38:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	119	85¢	$101	0xdda4b5…
04-07 14:34:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5aceee…
04-07 14:32:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x049609…
04-07 14:32:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x1d1a94…
04-07 13:35:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0xe06ea7…
04-07 12:50:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x2f00e6…
04-07 12:45:29	atp hemery alexmar 2026 04 07	Calvin Hemery	SELL	37	83¢	$31	0x3662f2…