Delirious-Buzzard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$900

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$174

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-22 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

64% 0% $-900

Other

35% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$900	15,790	+15,790	open	—	05-22 11:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$800	1,901	+1,901	open	—	05-06 10:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$800	3,228	+3,228	No	$-800	05-06 10:46
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$700	20,354	+20,354	open	—	03-15 22:46
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$500	21,709	+21,709	open	—	03-05 19:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$500	4,620	+4,620	open	—	05-06 10:43
will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	3	$500	2,410	+2,410	open	—	02-25 01:12
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$470	2,169	+2,169	open	—	02-25 01:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$400	11,143	+11,143	open	—	05-22 11:15
will trump say witkoff during the state of the union address 785	1	$400	483	+483	open	—	02-25 01:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$400	674	+674	open	—	03-05 19:38
will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	1	$400	613	+613	open	—	02-25 01:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$300	2,310	+2,310	open	—	03-05 19:37
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$300	17,969	+17,969	open	—	03-05 19:41
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	1	$300	700	+700	open	—	03-05 19:38
will jd vance clap between 2029 times during the state of the union	2	$300	2,440	+2,440	open	—	02-25 01:12
will trump say putin during the state of the union address 958	1	$275	529	+529	open	—	02-25 01:14
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$250	250,000	+250,000	open	—	05-22 11:27
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$200	36,685	+36,685	open	—	03-05 19:40
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$200	200,000	+200,000	open	—	05-22 11:27
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$200	28,035	+28,035	open	—	03-05 19:41
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$200	27,993	+27,993	open	—	03-05 19:41
Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$200	20,701	+20,701	open	—	03-05 19:42
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$200	32,340	+32,340	open	—	03-05 19:41
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$200	10,372	+10,372	open	—	03-05 19:40
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$200	4,279	+4,279	open	—	03-05 19:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$172	956	+956	open	—	02-25 01:03
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$150	730	+730	open	—	03-15 22:54
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	1	$100	540	+540	open	—	05-06 10:51
Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$100	29,797	+29,797	open	—	03-05 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:27:19	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x357992…
05-22 11:27:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0xcaccf1…
05-22 11:27:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x53a04e…
05-22 11:24:57	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x7606ea…
05-22 11:24:50	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0xf82708…
05-22 11:24:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x9dc59e…
05-22 11:21:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	13,790	6¢	$800	0x53e482…
05-22 11:15:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11,143	4¢	$400	0x1c4163…
05-22 11:10:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,450	7¢	$100	0xcffef2…
05-22 11:04:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x731ec8…
05-22 11:01:08	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	Yes	BUY	4,436	2¢	$100	0x16ee11…
05-06 10:51:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	Yes	BUY	540	19¢	$100	0x73422f…
05-06 10:48:00	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	519	19¢	$100	0x3cb154…
05-06 10:46:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,228	25¢	$800	0xefdd9a…
05-06 10:43:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,901	42¢	$800	0xb5587c…
05-06 10:43:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,620	11¢	$500	0xdad18e…
03-15 22:54:19	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xce6b94…
03-15 22:54:09	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	564	18¢	$100	0x853ca2…
03-15 22:46:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	20,354	3¢	$700	0xf8a726…
03-05 19:50:05	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x5fb37b…
03-05 19:47:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xd1d64d…
03-05 19:42:53	Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	17,114	1¢	$100	0x98563c…
03-05 19:42:25	Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	28,967	0¢	$100	0x8edb38…
03-05 19:42:07	Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20,701	1¢	$200	0x0fbfb0…
03-05 19:41:59	Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	32,340	1¢	$200	0x0ca357…
03-05 19:41:41	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	24,288	1¢	$135	0x843623…
03-05 19:41:41	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3,705	2¢	$65	0x6635c8…
03-05 19:41:33	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	11,803	0¢	$59	0x96eba0…
03-05 19:41:33	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6,165	4¢	$241	0x4159f8…
03-05 19:41:19	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	7,042	1¢	$100	0x904b52…
03-05 19:41:13	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20,992	0¢	$100	0x087a1c…
03-05 19:41:07	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	26,901	0¢	$100	0xa4f959…
03-05 19:40:55	Will Massoud Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	22,595	0¢	$100	0x4a3cf1…
03-05 19:40:47	Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	15,095	1¢	$100	0x8698cd…
03-05 19:40:43	Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10,372	2¢	$200	0x52cb3d…
03-05 19:40:39	Will Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	13,015	1¢	$93	0x5ba2ca…
03-05 19:40:31	Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	29,797	0¢	$100	0xc00173…
03-05 19:40:19	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	36,685	1¢	$200	0x87799b…
03-05 19:40:13	Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	7,001	4¢	$300	0xfbec16…
03-05 19:40:01	Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	654	3¢	$19	0x535970…
03-05 19:40:01	Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	14,054	1¢	$181	0x00d158…
03-05 19:39:39	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	15,176	1¢	$100	0xc2548d…
03-05 19:39:31	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x4e11f6…
03-05 19:39:21	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,850	4¢	$100	0x495b57…
03-05 19:39:15	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,670	4¢	$100	0x55200b…
03-05 19:39:09	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,206	5¢	$100	0xcf0494…
03-05 19:38:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	701	14¢	$100	0x5a90e2…
03-05 19:38:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	674	59¢	$400	0xf6aa86…
03-05 19:38:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	700	43¢	$300	0x364cbe…
03-05 19:37:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,310	13¢	$300	0x1cb3b5…
02-25 01:14:02	will trump say putin during the state of the union address 958	Yes	BUY	529	52¢	$275	0xfd6a14…
02-25 01:13:14	will trump say witkoff during the state of the union address 785	Yes	BUY	483	83¢	$400	0x978890…
02-25 01:12:14	will jd vance clap between 2029 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	1,212	17¢	$200	0x4bfde5…
02-25 01:12:02	will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	982	31¢	$300	0x564e18…
02-25 01:11:40	will jd vance clap between 3039 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	1,953	5¢	$100	0xf54d52…
02-25 01:11:34	will jd vance clap between 2029 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	1,228	8¢	$100	0xe1fbc8…
02-25 01:11:30	will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x99af65…
02-25 01:11:24	will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	993	10¢	$100	0xd4c249…
02-25 01:11:14	will jd vance clap between 8089 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	737	14¢	$100	0x0ad892…
02-25 01:11:08	will jd vance clap between 7079 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	1,455	7¢	$100	0x8db411…
02-25 01:11:06	will jd vance clap between 6069 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	2,827	4¢	$100	0x7bef9e…
02-25 01:09:54	will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	Yes	BUY	613	65¢	$400	0x35f5dc…
02-25 01:08:02	will trump say iq during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0xba077e…
02-25 01:07:42	will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xcd727b…
02-25 01:07:16	will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x65be90…
02-25 01:07:08	will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x3bfaa5…
02-25 01:06:30	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x0347b5…
02-25 01:05:24	will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	Yes	BUY	513	19¢	$100	0xcb0d10…
02-25 01:04:16	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x031451…
02-25 01:03:38	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x8635fe…
02-25 01:03:26	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x446959…
02-25 01:02:34	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x308f91…
02-25 01:01:54	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xf963da…
02-25 01:01:26	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	21¢	$150	0xc3761a…
02-25 01:00:48	will trump say maduro during the state of the union address 456	Yes	BUY	85	85¢	$72	0x7a1689…
02-25 01:00:20	will trump say kushner during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xcca2aa…