Unfit-Crocus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.4%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-03

last 05-20 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

90% 29% -$21

Politics

5% 0% -$1

Tech

5% 50% $0

Sports

0% 65% +$19

Crypto

0% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	05-17 02:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	16	$5.1K	2,555	2,555	+0	No	-$3	02-05 00:47
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	8	$2.5K	1,263	1,263	+0	No	-$1	02-08 07:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$2.1K	1,080	1,080	+0	No	-$1	03-23 02:47
will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	6	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	+0	No	-$1	02-06 01:58
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	6	$2.0K	1,003	1,003	+0	No	-$1	02-09 06:02
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	4	$1.3K	671	671	+0	No	-$1	02-06 01:26
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.1K	577	577	+0	No	-$1	03-23 02:49
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	No	-$1	03-21 03:18
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	2	$1.0K	516	516	+0	No	-$1	03-24 02:12
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	-$1	03-21 03:21
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$964	483	483	+0	No	$0	03-20 08:21
will the next dutch government be another combination	2	$616	308	308	+0	No	$0	02-09 06:10
nhl sea dal 2026 02 25	3	$8	6	6	+0	Stars	$0	02-21 08:30
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	2	$6	4	4	+0	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$2	03-27 02:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	02-11 00:37
ITF Bucharest: Valeriia Artemeva vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas	1	$5	10	0	+10	Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas	+$5	05-18 09:14
cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	2	$5	3	3	+0	UCLA Bruins	+$1	03-21 03:14
nba bos dal 2026 02 03	2	$5	3	3	+0	Celtics	+$1	02-04 03:12
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	1	$4	5	0	+5	Lakers	+$1	02-12 11:32
nba por uta 2026 02 12	1	$4	6	0	+6	Trail Blazers	+$2	02-12 11:32
nhl tor tb 2026 02 25	2	$4	3	3	+0	Lightning	$0	02-21 08:30
nba bos hou 2026 02 04	2	$4	3	3	+0	Celtics	+$2	02-05 03:13
nba nop mil 2026 02 04	2	$4	3	3	+0	Bucks	+$2	02-05 03:49
ITF Toyama: Ayumi Miyamoto vs Mutsumi Uemura	2	$3	2	2	+0	Ayumi Miyamoto	+$1	05-19 08:08
atp zandsch busta 2026 02 21	1	$3	4	0	+4	Busta	-$3	02-21 08:31
cbb txam vand 2026 02 14	1	$3	4	0	+4	Vanderbilt Commodores	+$1	02-14 10:49
will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 5	1	$2	50	0	+50	No	-$2	02-12 00:36
nba okc sas 2026 02 04	2	$2	1	1	+0	Spurs	+$0	02-05 05:46
lol gmb p11 2026 02 04	2	$2	1	1	+0	GMBLERS ESPORTS	+$0	02-05 00:06
lol shg gam 2026 02 05	1	$2	2	0	+2	GAM Esports	+$0	02-05 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 10:24:21	Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4d3f02…
05-19 08:08:54	ITF Toyama: Ayumi Miyamoto vs Mutsumi Uemura	Ayumi Miyamoto	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xee23d2…
05-19 04:38:00	ITF Toyama: Ayumi Miyamoto vs Mutsumi Uemura	Ayumi Miyamoto	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8175bb…
05-18 09:14:50	ITF Bucharest: Valeriia Artemeva vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas	Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd6bf40…
05-18 08:10:03	Partizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	KK Crvena Zvezda	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb7ef0f…
05-18 00:39:00	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf4ae3e…
05-17 09:44:08	Forca Lleida CE vs. Gran Canaria	Gran Canaria	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x183b41…
05-17 09:44:03	Real Madrid vs. Joventut	Joventut	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x173d9a…
05-17 02:14:09	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7df426…
03-27 02:40:41	cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	Iowa Hawkeyes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc8c21b…
03-24 02:12:05	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	516	100¢	$514	0x718b42…
03-24 02:11:57	nba tor lac 2026 03 25	Clippers	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x609756…
03-24 02:11:47	nba was uta 2026 03 25	Wizards	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x429948…
03-24 02:11:29	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	516	100¢	$515	0x5b8fe8…
03-24 02:10:51	bkkbl won any 2026 03 24	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2f8fac…
03-24 02:10:45	dota2 yb1 bb4 2026 03 24	Yakult Brothers	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x98ee0f…
03-24 02:10:15	cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	Iowa Hawkeyes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe0e2d5…
03-24 02:10:01	cbb illst day 2026 03 25	Illinois State Redbirds	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaceea9…
03-23 02:49:25	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	577	100¢	$574	0x1857b1…
03-23 02:49:15	atp nedic sels 2026 03 23	Jelle Sels	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x63e25e…
03-23 02:48:57	cs2 navi aur1 2026 03 23	Natus Vincere	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3ff00a…
03-23 02:48:45	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	577	100¢	$575	0xd75cde…
03-23 02:47:39	nhl tor bos 2026 03 24	Bruins	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xce1cb7…
03-23 02:47:31	nhl chi nyi 2026 03 24	Blackhawks	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb3a5c8…
03-23 02:47:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	586	100¢	$583	0x4f2680…
03-23 02:47:01	cs2 gz1 mf 2026 03 23	Mindfreak	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xcbb4a2…
03-23 02:46:45	cs2 se1 rei 2026 03 22	Sakura Esports	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x45395a…
03-23 02:46:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	586	100¢	$584	0x05234e…
03-23 02:45:43	nhl car mon 2026 03 24	Canadiens	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe612e8…
03-23 02:45:23	ethereum above 2100 on march 23	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9651cd…
03-21 03:21:03	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	SELL	515	100¢	$513	0xf7702f…
03-21 03:20:53	nhl dal min 2026 03 21	Wild	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x404062…
03-21 03:20:43	nhl wpg pit 2026 03 21	Penguins	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5ef3be…
03-21 03:20:21	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	515	100¢	$514	0xd01634…
03-21 03:19:49	dota2 avl re 2026 03 21	AVULUS	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4a5fca…
03-21 03:19:35	bknbl syd ade 2026 03 21	Adelaide 36ers	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x99d630…
03-21 03:18:47	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	524	100¢	$522	0x57fc6d…
03-21 03:18:37	val fcy mtv 2026 03 21	Fancy United	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x56f7cd…
03-21 03:18:23	chi hen wsz 2026 03 21 hen	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe6fe40…
03-21 03:18:01	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	524	100¢	$523	0xc45afe…
03-21 03:16:17	cs2 o49 cce 2026 03 20	Outfit 49	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc36de3…
03-21 03:16:01	cs2 lag wg 2026 03 20	LAG Gaming	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x57fe69…
03-21 03:14:59	cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	UCLA Bruins	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xabb8d0…
03-20 08:21:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	483	100¢	$482	0x9084ae…
03-20 08:21:03	mlbb twph onic1 2026 03 20	Twisted Minds PH	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaa227d…
03-20 08:20:47	bkcba she xin 2026 03 20	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb4545f…
03-20 08:20:29	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	483	100¢	$482	0xae79d6…
03-20 08:19:47	cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	UCLA Bruins	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa36213…
03-20 08:19:25	cbb iowa clmsn 2026 03 20	Clemson Tigers	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x486c4d…
03-20 08:17:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	494	99¢	$491	0xb5c3b5…
03-20 08:17:33	nba tor den 2026 03 20	Raptors	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcf7e8c…
03-20 08:17:01	nba gsw det 2026 03 20	Warriors	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x325138…
03-20 08:16:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	494	99¢	$491	0xf1c1ac…
03-20 08:16:01	dota2 vpp shpili 2026 03 20	Team Shpilit	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x80b6f2…
03-20 08:15:43	val rc cgz 2026 03 20	Crest Gaming Zst	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1f4319…
02-21 08:31:00	atp zandsch busta 2026 02 21	Zandschulp	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xa15f93…
02-21 08:30:18	nhl tor tb 2026 02 25	Lightning	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xdd0cc4…
02-21 08:30:12	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xce6976…
02-21 08:30:00	nhl sea dal 2026 02 25	Stars	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x57c70d…
02-14 10:49:11	cbb txam vand 2026 02 14	Vanderbilt Commodores	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x69281c…
02-14 10:48:51	nhl phi wsh 2026 02 25	Capitals	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7ff018…
02-14 10:48:45	nhl tor tb 2026 02 25	Lightning	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x86583d…
02-14 10:48:39	nhl sea dal 2026 02 25	Stars	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x521cf6…
02-14 10:48:37	nhl sea dal 2026 02 25	Stars	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x261e67…
02-12 11:32:29	nba por uta 2026 02 12	Trail Blazers	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x8addb6…
02-12 11:32:21	nba dal lal 2026 02 12	Lakers	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6574ac…
02-12 01:14:01	will the us add at least 175k jobs in february	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x365d96…
02-12 01:14:01	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x100ccc…
02-12 00:36:59	will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x3648e4…
02-12 00:07:47	cs2 ecs msc 2026 02 12	ECSTATIC	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x282c8c…
02-11 00:37:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xed2a7a…
02-09 13:28:03	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x8a6ba9…
02-09 06:10:37	will the next dutch government be another combination	No	SELL	308	100¢	$308	0xce0189…
02-09 06:04:37	lol ig1 nip 2026 02 10	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd137c2…
02-09 06:04:13	will the next dutch government be another combination	No	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0xfa3830…
02-09 06:02:37	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	SELL	312	100¢	$312	0xe1cc79…
02-09 05:54:11	lol tes we 2026 02 10	Team WE	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbe968b…
02-09 05:53:27	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0x51abd8…
02-08 07:59:23	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	314	100¢	$314	0xba7d58…
02-08 07:47:19	nba det cha 2026 02 09	Hornets	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xffc7d9…
02-08 07:46:41	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0x3cc479…
02-08 07:46:23	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	316	100¢	$316	0x17ddf1…
02-08 07:34:55	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	316	100¢	$316	0x3d7219…
02-08 07:34:11	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	318	100¢	$318	0x242c90…
02-08 07:23:09	lol drx ns 2026 02 08	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2e321d…
02-08 07:22:35	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	318	100¢	$318	0xc53f3e…
02-08 07:22:15	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	314	100¢	$314	0x4128da…
02-08 07:08:15	nba ind tor 2026 02 08	Raptors	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbe1c64…
02-08 07:07:57	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0x9b5292…
02-06 07:48:13	solana above 80 on february 6	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf587e1…
02-06 01:58:53	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	336	100¢	$336	0x6d4e3e…
02-06 01:51:03	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	336	100¢	$336	0x317d4d…
02-06 01:50:17	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	338	100¢	$338	0x52777a…
02-06 01:39:19	nba sas dal 2026 02 05	Spurs	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7ee074…
02-06 01:38:31	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	338	100¢	$338	0xec1f44…
02-06 01:38:05	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	336	100¢	$336	0x879e7c…
02-06 01:28:11	nba uta atl 2026 02 05	Hawks	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf8e80f…
02-06 01:27:41	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	336	100¢	$336	0xee1a37…
02-06 01:26:21	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	335	99¢	$333	0x9ede58…
02-06 01:20:43	nba chi tor 2026 02 05	Bulls	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x831e41…